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FED Hearing July 10
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testifies during the House Financial Services Committee hearing (Tom Williams/Getty Images)

Gold and silver spike to record highs after Powell says DOJ subpoenas are latest Trump attempt to influence monetary policy

“The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the president,” Powell said.

Precious metals are proving their mettle as a store of value, up big in early trading on Monday after the head of the Federal Reserve explicitly said that the executive branch is attempting to use judicial tools to interfere with the conduct of monetary policy.

Gold reached $4,599 while silver traded as high as $84.60, both records for the shiny stuff, as they continue their sensational runs.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that the US central bank had been served with grand jury subpoenas by the US Department of Justice, “threatening a criminal indictment” pertaining to Powell’s testimony before the Senate Banking Committee in June, which touched on the contentious renovation plans of the Fed’s facilities. President Trump and critics of the chair have mused about firing Powell for cause over alleged cost overruns related to the project.

“The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the president,” Powell said in a video message. “This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions — or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation.”

Typically, countries in which central bank policy is judged to be subordinated to political whims face weakness in their domestic currencies and higher borrowing costs. This can increase the appeal of safe haven assets such as precious metals. Since 7 p.m. E.T yesterday evening, the US Dollar Index has shed about ~0.4%, weakening against a basket of major currencies including the euro, yen, and pound sterling.

The iShares Silver Trust and SPDR Gold Shares ETF are the top two trending tickers on the r/WallStreetBets subreddit over the past 12 hours, per SwaggyStocks.

SwaggyStocks SLV GLD
Source: SwaggyStocks

Trump has suggested that the Federal Reserve’s policy rate (currently in a range of 3.5% to 3.75%) should be “1% and maybe lower than that” this year, in part to help reduce the cost of financing government debt. The president is expected to announce his pick to succeed Powell as the top US monetary policymaker imminently.

Interestingly, news of these subpoenas did not see prediction markets meaningfully curb the odds of the “insider” candidate to assume this position, current Fed Governor Christopher Waller. He remains at roughly 10%. Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, retook a narrow lead over former Fed Governor Kevin Walsh as the most likely pick for chair, per prediction markets, with both at around 40% or higher as of 4 a.m. ET on Monday.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Netflix declines to raise bid for Warner Bros., paving the way for Paramount to triumph

Netflix said Thursday evening that it was declining to increase its offer for Warner Bros., effectively ending the streaming platform's pursuit of the studio and ensuring that Paramount Skydance's improved bid of $31 per share would emerge victorious.

In a statement, Netflix's co-CEOs Ted Sarandos and Greg Peters said "this transaction was always a 'nice to have' at the right price, not a 'must have' at any price."

The Warner Bros. Discovery board said Thursday afternoon that it had determined that Paramount’s latest bid constitutes a superior proposal to the $83 billion agreement it has with Netflix.

Before Netflix's announcement Thursday evening, the Netflix-Warner Bros. merger had remained in effect, and Netflix had a four-business-day window to amend its deal to match or beat Paramount’s. The streamer's announcement effectively eliminates that waiting period and allow Paramount's offer to move forward.

Netflix's statement that it is pulling out of the race allows the Warner Bros. board to terminate its merger agreement with the streamer.

It had been reported that Netflix had ample cash to increase its offer for Warner Bros., but in not doing so, it appears that Netflix management saw its share price increase in the wake of Paramount boosting its bid, and took the strong signal that its own investors that they weren't exactly rooting for it to make the purchase to heart.

Earlier on Thursday, Warner Bros.’ announcement boosted Paramount’s odds on prediction markets to end up in control of the company. As of 4:40 p.m. ET on Thursday, event contracts speculating on which company will ultimately come out on top of the bidding war have Paramount at a 62% chance over Netflix’s 33% odds.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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The Warner Bros. Discovery board said Thursday afternoon that it had determined that Paramount’s latest bid constitutes a superior proposal to the $83 billion agreement it has with Netflix.

Before Netflix's announcement Thursday evening, the Netflix-Warner Bros. merger had remained in effect, and Netflix had a four-business-day window to amend its deal to match or beat Paramount’s. The streamer's announcement effectively eliminates that waiting period and allow Paramount's offer to move forward.

Netflix's statement that it is pulling out of the race allows the Warner Bros. board to terminate its merger agreement with the streamer.

It had been reported that Netflix had ample cash to increase its offer for Warner Bros., but in not doing so, it appears that Netflix management saw its share price increase in the wake of Paramount boosting its bid, and took the strong signal that its own investors that they weren't exactly rooting for it to make the purchase to heart.

Earlier on Thursday, Warner Bros.’ announcement boosted Paramount’s odds on prediction markets to end up in control of the company. As of 4:40 p.m. ET on Thursday, event contracts speculating on which company will ultimately come out on top of the bidding war have Paramount at a 62% chance over Netflix’s 33% odds.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Grindr rises after beating earnings, revenue expectations

The company reported earnings results on Thursday.

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