Markets
FED Hearing July 10
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testifies during the House Financial Services Committee hearing (Tom Williams/Getty Images)

Gold and silver spike to record highs after Powell says DOJ subpoenas are latest Trump attempt to influence monetary policy

“The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the president,” Powell said.

Precious metals are proving their mettle as a store of value, up big in early trading on Monday after the head of the Federal Reserve explicitly said that the executive branch is attempting to use judicial tools to interfere with the conduct of monetary policy.

Gold reached $4,599 while silver traded as high as $84.60, both records for the shiny stuff, as they continue their sensational runs.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that the US central bank had been served with grand jury subpoenas by the US Department of Justice, “threatening a criminal indictment” pertaining to Powell’s testimony before the Senate Banking Committee in June, which touched on the contentious renovation plans of the Fed’s facilities. President Trump and critics of the chair have mused about firing Powell for cause over alleged cost overruns related to the project.

“The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the president,” Powell said in a video message. “This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions — or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation.”

Typically, countries in which central bank policy is judged to be subordinated to political whims face weakness in their domestic currencies and higher borrowing costs. This can increase the appeal of safe haven assets such as precious metals. Since 7 p.m. E.T yesterday evening, the US Dollar Index has shed about ~0.4%, weakening against a basket of major currencies including the euro, yen, and pound sterling.

The iShares Silver Trust and SPDR Gold Shares ETF are the top two trending tickers on the r/WallStreetBets subreddit over the past 12 hours, per SwaggyStocks.

SwaggyStocks SLV GLD
Source: SwaggyStocks

Trump has suggested that the Federal Reserve’s policy rate (currently in a range of 3.5% to 3.75%) should be “1% and maybe lower than that” this year, in part to help reduce the cost of financing government debt. The president is expected to announce his pick to succeed Powell as the top US monetary policymaker imminently.

Interestingly, news of these subpoenas did not see prediction markets meaningfully curb the odds of the “insider” candidate to assume this position, current Fed Governor Christopher Waller. He remains at roughly 10%. Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, retook a narrow lead over former Fed Governor Kevin Walsh as the most likely pick for chair, per prediction markets, with both at around 40% or higher as of 4 a.m. ET on Monday.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Chinese food delivery stocks soar as regulatory probe into price wars may save them from themselves

If there’s one thing Chinese companies are known for, it’s ruthless competition on price to make sure the nation’s products are attractive on global markets. Oftentimes, this comes with implicit or explicit state support for favored industries, which draws the ire of other countries.

Production > profitability is a pretty good shorthand for how China attempts to conquer tradable goods (see: electric vehicles). However, when it comes to consumer-oriented services, policymakers clearly don’t feel the same way.

Alibaba, Meituan, andJD.com are all soaring after the Chinese State Council’s anti-monopoly and anti-unfair competition committee said it’s investigating the food delivery sector over practices that are potentially distorting the market and weighing on brick-and-mortar firms.

These tech giants have been investing heavily in their food delivery capabilities, including via subsidies and incentives. Effectively, the market reaction here is that traders believe regulators are saving these companies from themselves.

A commentary in the state-run People’s Daily published midyear 2025, when JD.com announced plans to bolster its food delivery business, argued that there will be no “winners” in these price wars, which would lead to irrational consumption.

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Tempus AI rises on better-than-expected sales numbers

Cancer diagnostics company and retail shareholder favorite Tempus AI surged early Monday after issuing some fresh, though preliminary, financials ahead of an appearance at an investor conference today.

The Chicago-based company reported better-than-expected Q4 sales numbers of roughly $367 million — Wall Street had expected about $361 million — as well as a diagnostics revenue that more than doubled to $266 million. It also posted an updated corporate presentation on its website ahead of an appearance at the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference that’s expected at 4:30 p.m. ET today.

The company noted that it hasn’t completed its official full-year 2025 or Q4 financial statements yet, which it typically files in February.

Wall Street expects Tempus to lose money through 2027. But the stock has been ripping, rising 75% last year, and through Monday’s open has tacked on another 24% in 2026.

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Abivax rises amid report Eli Lilly is preparing a €15 billion bid

French biotech Abivax rose more than 20% in premarket trading after French outlet La Lettre reported that Eli Lilly is preparing a €15 billion bid (or roughly $17.5 billion) for the company.

Lilly has yet to submit a formal bid and is awaiting a regulatory green light, the outlet reported.

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Allegiant to buy smaller-budget airline Sun Country for $1.5 billion

Low-cost airline Allegiant on Sunday announced that will acquire fellow low-cost and leisure carrier Sun Country in a $1.5 billion deal. Allegiant is putting up $1.1 billion in cash and stock, plus assuming about $400 million in debt as part of the transaction.

In a note to employees announcing the deal, Allegiant CEO Gregory Anderson cited a need to consolidate to compete, pointing out that five airlines control 85% of the domestic market in the US. Anderson said that the two airlines share complementary route networks and have no overlap between their bases, which should “minimize the traditional friction that has occurred in past other airline combinations.”

Sun Country, which has a multiyear cargo agreement with Amazon, climbed 14% in premarket trading on Monday.

Amid steep competition, budget airlines have flailed as of late. Allegiant’s deal should be an interesting test of the Trump administration’s feelings on airline consolidation, as Frontier Airlines and Spirit are reportedly once again weighing a merger.

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