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Gold smashes past $4,000 an ounce, cementing its dominance over stocks over the last 1, 5, 10, and 25 years

The precious metal is soaring in value.

All that glitters is gold... especially in today’s market.

On Tuesday, the precious metal climbed above $4,000 per troy ounce for the first time, fueled by worries on inflation, soaring debt piles, the decline of the dollar, and geopolitical volatility (among other reasons).

Long considered a safe haven asset, gold bullion surpassed $1,000 during the financial crisis, $2,000 through the pandemic, and the $3,000 threshold in March, just ahead of President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs. More recently, both central banks and individual investors have been pilling into gold, with still stubborn US inflation, Fed cuts, and the ongoing US government shutdown encouraging investors to diversify their exposure away from USD — extending a rally that has sent prices up more than 50% this year.

With this latest run, the simple price return of gold now outshines that of the SPDR S&P 500 Trust across 1, 5, 10, and 25 years (note: dividends not included).

Gold vs Stocks
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So, where do we go from here?

Looking ahead, some of Wall Street has mixed thoughts on gold. Bank of America analysts see the potential for “uptrend exhaustion” that could lead to “a consolidation or correction” in the fourth quarter, with many banks’ price forecasts lagging the price action of the last few weeks. Goldman Sachs analysts, however, also chimed in with a still bullish note this week, hiking their end-of-2026 target price to $4,900 from $4,300, citing central bank and ETF demand.

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AST SpaceMobile rises after favorable commentary from BofA

Mobile-services-from-space play — and retail investor favorite — AST SpaceMobile rose after receiving a target price upgrade from Bank of America analysts.

In a note published Thursday, BofA telecom services analysts lifted their price target for the stock to $100 from $85, while noting that the low-Earth orbit satellite industry — which supercharged stocks like Rocket Lab, Planet Labs, and AST in 2025 — is set to gain more attention this year:

“We expect the momentum to intensify in 2026 as providers like ASTS and Starlink jockey to offer full cellular service and capture subscribers. Debates will likely grow regarding Starlink’s plans to offer full cellular service and regulatory decisions on Ligado and EchoStar spectrum transactions are events to watch. Carrier partnerships could evolve and pricing and plan decisions should be clearer by year end as ASTS approaches full constellation operability.”

Still, they maintained their “neutral” rating on the stock, saying they “await progress on ASTS 1) fully producing and subsequently launching its BlueBird satellite constellation, 2) successfully operating the constellation, and 3) capturing subscribers and turning them into revenue paying subscribers before becoming more constructive on the story.”

The market has been less reticent: the money-losing company’s shares are up approximately 300% over the last year.

Bulls pour into Joby and Archer options as Trump’s push for record defense budget boosts eVTOL names

Options traders appear bullish on electric aircraft makers like Archer Aviation and Joby Aviation on Thursday, with large volumes boosting the stocks following President Trump’s call for a record $1.5 trillion US military budget for 2027.

Both companies, as well as newly public rival Beta Technologies, have sizable defense contracts. In July, Archer CEO Adam Goldstein told Sherwood News that he believes the company’s defense side will outpace its civil air taxi service for at least a decade.

Traders seem to believe him. As of 10:53 a.m. ET, about 31,000 Archer call options had exchanged hands, around 9,000 short of its 20-day average for a full day. Joby saw roughly 20,000 call options traded by the same time, eclipsing its 20-day average. For the most actively traded calls for Joby and Archer (C$17s expiring February 20 and C$9s expiring on Friday, respectively), volumes on the ask side are outstripping the bid or mid, indicating motivated buyers.

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