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HP slides on weak 2026 outlook and layoffs despite topping quarterly estimates

HP slumped more than 5% in premarket trading after the computer and printer giant announced weaker-than-expected guidance for fiscal 2026 alongside plans for a roughly 10% cut to its workforce. The company reported having 58,000 employees as of October 2024, per its latest annual filing.

For the fiscal fourth quarter ended October 31, sales rose 4% year over year to $14.64 billion, topping the $14.48 billion expected. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.93, just about 1% ahead of the LSEG consensus.

What spooked investors was HP’s soft FY2026 EPS forecast of $2.90 to $3.20, well below Wall Street’s $3.33 estimate at the midpoint. The company said its outlook reflects “the added cost driven by the current U.S. trade-related regulations in place, and associated mitigations.”

Behind the muted outlook is a sharp rise in memory chip prices — now 15% to 18% of a typical PC’s cost — which may offset some of the lift HP’s PC business is getting from Windows 11 upgrades, while the printer segment remains a drag, with revenue down 4% as customers delay purchases.

The company also announced plans to reduce global headcount by around 4,000 to 6,000 employees as part of a restructuring tied to a new AI push — with CEO Enrique Lores saying in an interview with Yahoo Finance that AI will eventually do many tasks better and faster. HP expects the plan to generate $1 billion in annualized savings by FY2028. The move mirrors its 2022 restructuring, which also targeted up to 6,000 job cuts and ultimately delivered $2.2 billion in gross savings, per the company.

With this morning’s slide, HP shares are down nearly 30% for the year.

What spooked investors was HP’s soft FY2026 EPS forecast of $2.90 to $3.20, well below Wall Street’s $3.33 estimate at the midpoint. The company said its outlook reflects “the added cost driven by the current U.S. trade-related regulations in place, and associated mitigations.”

Behind the muted outlook is a sharp rise in memory chip prices — now 15% to 18% of a typical PC’s cost — which may offset some of the lift HP’s PC business is getting from Windows 11 upgrades, while the printer segment remains a drag, with revenue down 4% as customers delay purchases.

The company also announced plans to reduce global headcount by around 4,000 to 6,000 employees as part of a restructuring tied to a new AI push — with CEO Enrique Lores saying in an interview with Yahoo Finance that AI will eventually do many tasks better and faster. HP expects the plan to generate $1 billion in annualized savings by FY2028. The move mirrors its 2022 restructuring, which also targeted up to 6,000 job cuts and ultimately delivered $2.2 billion in gross savings, per the company.

With this morning’s slide, HP shares are down nearly 30% for the year.

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Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemons geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected halo effect across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemons valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retails richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi ONeill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brands growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

markets

US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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