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Intel analyst: “Storyline seems concerning”

Some analysts were less than impressed with new CEO Lip-Bu Tan’s first quarterly conference call at Intel.

Matt Phillips

Intel’s post-earnings sell-off continued on Friday, with several analysts who cover the company putting out skeptical to bearish takes on Q1 results and the weak outlook the chip giant offered Thursday after the close.

Barclays analysts, who cut their full-year sales and earnings-per-share estimates for the company but kept their “neutral” rating and $19 price target for the stock, seemed unnerved by the fact that customers were boosting purchases of Intel’s older, cheaper, less-than-cutting-edge chips, perhaps because they were jittery about the economy. They wrote:

“The company was more enthusiastic about n-1/n-2 PC and server product, where customers have supposedly re-engaged to save in turbulent tariff times. This entire storyline seems concerning to us. While improving [gross margins] near-term, this does not bode well for leading-edge product, nor AI PC, where the company revised targets lower.”

JPMorgan analysts cut their Intel target from $23 to $20 a share, axed full-year EPS estimates from $0.53 to a penny, and maintained their “underweight” rating. They seemed unimpressed with the first performance from former Cadence Design CEO Tan, who was tapped to take the top job at Intel last month.

“New CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, highlighted several new strategic initiatives including creating a flatter/leaner leadership structure in efforts to drive more costs out of the business and improve FCF generation. However, Lip Bu did not provide much insights/detail on how he will return Intel back to a leadership position in core compute and leading edge manufacturing — nor did he provide much insights into how he would attract more external foundry customers to Intel Foundry.”

The fate of Intel’s foundry business — where Intel makes chips on behalf of others, sort of the way TSMC does — was also a sticking point for analysts at Citibank, who cut their earnings estimates but maintained their “neutral rating on the stock and $21 target for shares.

It appears Intel is committed to becoming a merchant foundry. We continue to believe Intel shareholders would be better served by the company exiting the merchant foundry business given mounting losses.

Intel was recently down 7.8% in morning trading.

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Walmart’s earnings have high bar to clear as search for safety pushes valuations into stratosphere

If recent history is any guide, Walmart’s Q4 earnings release Thursday before the bell will be appointment viewing.

This time last year, it wasn’t the DeepSeek freak-out or tariff chatter that caused the S&P 500 to definitively begin its downturn from all-time highs. It was Walmart’s underwhelming full-year guidance that catalyzed a momentum stock meltdown.

Since then, the retail behemoth has become a more important — and richly valued — part of the S&P 500, joining the trillion-dollar market cap club in the process. Investors have clamored for safety within the US stock market in 2026, and that’s meant bidding up the income streams associated with moving loads of volume at everyday low prices.

Jeff Jacobson, head of derivatives strategy at 22V Research, offers some perspective on just how well things have been going for the Bentonville-based giant:

  • Walmart versus the SPDR S&P 500 ETF is at its highest level since the aftermath of the global financial crisis;

  • The implied volatility of calls that offer exposure to additional upside in Walmart is very elevated relative to history (that is, they’re expensive);

  • This is the only time in the past five years where Walmart has traded above Wall Street’s 12-month price target.

That makes the bar to clear, regardless of how the actual numbers and guidance end up, fairly high.

In Jacobson’s view, it would be prudent for Walmart holders to try to take advantage of this elevated implied volatility by selling upside, or attempting to lock in gains after this hot run.

His recommendations:

  • Covered calls: sell April $145 calls at $3 or better.

  • Collar the position: sell WMT May $155 calls, buy May $125 put, sell May $110 put.

markets

AMC gains amid report on efforts to refinance $2.5 billion in debt

AMC is enjoying a solid start to the week as management looks to make progress on managing its onerous (and expensive) debt load.

Bloomberg reports that the theater chain is marketing a $750 million term loan and seeking $1.73 billion in secured debt, citing a person with knowledge of the matter.

The obligations that the chain is reportedly looking to refinance are its $2 billion term loan due in 2029 (priced at one-month SOFR plus 700 basis points) and $400 million in senior notes due next year that carry a coupon of 12.75%.

markets

Florida-based construction company announces $1.5 billion merger with drone maker Xtend in pact backed by Eric Trump

Florida-based construction company JFB Construction Holdings climbed 14% in premarket trading on Tuesday following an announcement that it will merge with Israeli drone maker Xtend in a $1.5 billion deal.

The shares were halted for news pending Tuesday morning, per a Bloomberg trading notice, before resuming trading.

JFB said the deal is backed by investments from Eric Trump. Unusual Machines, a drone tech company linked to Donald Trump Jr., is also listed as a strategic investor.

Xtend has marketed some of its drone products as “low cost‑per‑kill” and in November announced it won a multimillion-dollar Pentagon contract.

markets

ServiceNow CEO steps up with $3 million stock purchase announcement as executives cancel stock-selling plans

ServiceNow’s executives have banded together to try to restore confidence in the struggling software company’s stock.

A filing released this morning showed CEO Bill McDermott entered into an agreement to purchase $3 million in company stock on February 27.

In addition, the CEO, CFO Gina Mastantuono, and three other executives ended their 10b5-1 trading plans (in which company stock is typically divested by an insider’s broker according to a preset schedule).

Shares were up about 3% in early trading before paring much of those gains.

ServiceNow was one of many software stocks to struggle this earnings season despite reporting better-than-expected results and rosy near-term guidance, as investors worry about the potential for industry-wide disruption by AI tools.

McDermott had attributed the slide in the stock to acquisitions announced in December. During the conference call following the company’s Q1 earnings report in late January, he told investors, “The worry is gone, you can give us back the market cap.”

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