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HOUSTON, TEXAS - FEBRUARY 27: JPMorgan Chase CEO, Jamie Dimon trades high fives with community partners (Kirk Sides/Getty Images)

JPMorgan’s big earnings beat drives biggest bank stock gains of 2024

Solid results from America’s biggest bank, as well as Wells Fargo, are propelling US financials sharply higher on Friday.

And so it begins. JPMorgan Chase got a big bump this morning after unofficially opening the spigot on the flow of Q3 earnings reports this morning.

The nation’s largest bank by assets posted a better-than-expected profit of nearly $13 billion, driven in part by a healthy spread between what it pays to borrow and what it charges to lend, a key metric known as its net interest margin.

On the downside, its earnings were curtailed slightly by a rise in the amount of loan losses — driven by credit cards — it recognized and an increase in the amount of money it set aside to cover potential losses going forward. That total stash rose to $3.1 billion, up from $1.4 billion over the same period last year.

JPM gets special attention from the market not only because of its primus inter pares position in earnings season, but also because its vast scale should, in theory, give JPM executives a level of visibility into the economic behavior of a large chunk of the American populace, potentially allowing them to suss out economic trends early.

On that front, JPM CFO Jeremy Barnum basically said all signs indicate that the US consumer continues to plow forward, despite the supposedly downbeat mood that economic surveys — like the one just released this morning — consistently show.

“We see the spending patterns as being sort of solid and consistent with the narrative that the consumer is on solid footing, and consistent with a strong labor market,” he told analysts.

JPM wasn’t the only bank to report today. Good numbers from Wells Fargo also put it on track for its second-best daily gain this year, after the fees it charges for investment banking pushed its bottom line results above Wall Street’s expectations.

Banking stocks as a group also bounced, with a well-watched index of bank shares, the Invesco KBW Bank ETF, posting its biggest intraday gain of the year.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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