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Luke Kawa

JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon warns that US recession is “likely outcome”

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon’s degree of economic angst appears to have ratcheted higher from Monday, when he sent a lengthy letter to shareholders.

“Whether or not the menu of tariffs causes a recession remains in question, but it will slow down growth,” he wrote.

He provided some detail on how he’d answer that question in an interview with Fox Business on Wednesday morning. A few headlines from the appearance:

*DIMON: ‘PROBABLY’ A RECESSION IS ‘LIKELY OUTCOME’

*DIMON: I EXPECT MORE CREDIT PROBLEMS THAN IN A LONG TIME

*DIMON: NOT SEEING DEFAULTS YET ‘BUT I EXPECT THEM’

*DIMON: PUT SOME HEADCOUNT CONTROLS IN PLACE, NOT FORCING CUTS

The CEO of America’s preeminent bank added that he’s hopeful any recession would be short, and that “fixing these tariff issues and trade issues would be a good thing to do.”

JPMorgan reports earnings on Friday morning before the bell.

*DIMON: ‘PROBABLY’ A RECESSION IS ‘LIKELY OUTCOME’

*DIMON: I EXPECT MORE CREDIT PROBLEMS THAN IN A LONG TIME

*DIMON: NOT SEEING DEFAULTS YET ‘BUT I EXPECT THEM’

*DIMON: PUT SOME HEADCOUNT CONTROLS IN PLACE, NOT FORCING CUTS

The CEO of America’s preeminent bank added that he’s hopeful any recession would be short, and that “fixing these tariff issues and trade issues would be a good thing to do.”

JPMorgan reports earnings on Friday morning before the bell.

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Nvidia spikes on report that the Trump administration is considering letting Nvidia sell its best Hopper chips to China

One big headline really can change price action.

Shares of Nvidia popped 2% after Bloomberg reported that the Trump administration is internally discussing the idea of letting Nvidia sell its H200 chips to China. These chips, unlike the H20, are not the nerfed versions that Nvidia designed specifically for sale to China, but rather are its best chips from its Hopper generation, which preceded Blackwell.

The president had mused about allowing Nvidia to sell Blackwell chips to China ahead of talks with Chinese President Xi in late October, but this item was reportedly axed from the agenda at the last minute, per The Wall Street Journal.

Nvidia’s success in 2025 has come despite, not because of, its China business. New export restrictions weighed on its ability to send H20 chips to the world’s second-largest economy. The company took a $4.5 billion impairment charge in its Q1 earnings related to this export ban, and said Q2 sales would have been $8 billion higher if these curbs were not in effect.

After Nvidia reached a deal with the Trump administration that restored its ability to ship that chip, China reportedly responded by banning its domestic technology companies from buying these semiconductors.

“Sizable purchase orders [for the H20] never materialized in the quarter due to geopolitical issues and the increasingly competitive market in China,” CFO Colette Kress said on a conference call with analysts on Wednesday.

Ahead of Nvidia’s earnings report, this headline had hit the wires:

*TRUMP: IF NVIDIA’S HUANG IS HAPPY, I’M HAPPY

Well, the CEO didn’t seem too thrilled by the market’s reaction to the chip designer’s strong Q3 results. Perhaps this will cheer him up.

Pharmaceutical Company Eli Lilly Headquarters

Eli Lilly jumps into the tech-dominated $1 trillion club

Lilly is crossing $1 trillion in market cap just as Wall Street is getting jittery over a potential AI bubble.

Airlines climb on falling oil prices as the US pushes for a Russia-Ukraine peace deal

Oil prices fell on Friday, with West Texas Intermediate crude futures down more than 2% amid a US push for a peace plan between Russia and Ukraine. The US has reportedly pitched a deal that would see Ukraine cede land to Russia and agree to never join NATO.

As the market repeatedly shows: what’s bad for crude is good for airlines, which stand to benefit from lower fuel costs. Shares of major US carriers are up on oil’s price action, with Southwest Airlines up more than 5% and the rest of the big four airlines — American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, and United Airlines — up more than 3%.

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