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Lilly reports positive final trial results for weight-loss pill, says it’s headed for regulatory approval

Eli Lilly reported encouraging trial results for its next-generation weight-loss pill, putting it on track to file for regulatory approval by the end of the year.

The pill, orforglipron, resulted in up to 10.5% weight loss in overweight or obese patients with diabetes in a late-stage trial, Lilly said Tuesday. The company shot up more than 4% on Tuesday.

“With these positive data in hand, we are moving with urgency toward global regulatory submissions to potentially meet the needs of patients who are waiting,” Kenneth Custer, Lilly’s head of cardiometabolic health, said in a statement. “If approved, we are ready to offer a convenient, once-daily pill that can be scaled globally — removing barriers and redefining how obesity is treated around the world.”

The company reported similar results in a late-stage trial less than three weeks ago. That trial disappointed Wall Street, which was hoping for higher weight-loss numbers from the once-daily pill. That news overshadowed a cheery earnings report, which showed its weight loss drugs outsold Novo's for the first quarter ever.

Even with Tuesday's gains, the stock is down over 10% in the past month.

Analysts at Bank of American reiterated their "buy" rating and $900 price target on Lilly after the announcement, saying its still ahead of the game when it comes to finding the next weight loss drug. "To us, LLY undisputedly remains in pole position in obesity," they wrote on Tuesday.

While Lilly's pill may not help patients lose more weight than the injectables currently on the market, there are a still some major upsides:

  1. Pills are less scary than needles, so naturally more people will likely be pulled in.

  2. Pills are cheaper to manufacture than injector pens. This is particularly important as both Novo and Lilly struggle to get insurance providers to cover their drugs and build direct-to-consumer models.

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Ford beats revenue estimates in Q4, with weaker-than-expected earnings

The Detroit automaker released its fourth-quarter and full-year results after the bell on Tuesday.

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Robinhood Q4 revenue misses estimates, but earnings beat

Robinhood Markets posted fourth-quarter revenue that fell short of analysts’ estimates, but earnings topped Wall Street’s forecasts.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

The stock, crypto, and options trading platform reported:

  • Q4 earnings per share of $0.66 vs. analysts’ consensus estimate of $0.63, according to FactSet.

  • Sales of $1.28 billion vs. expectations of $1.35 billion.

  • Transaction-based revenue of $776 million vs. expectations of $797.6 million. 

Shares of the company were down 5.4% shortly after the report.

Robinhood shares notched gains of 193% and 204% in 2024 and 2025, respectively, though they’ve recently given up some of those gains amid volatility in the crypto markets.

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The tech sector’s biggest winners and losers are swapping places

It’s bizarro world for the tech sector.

Software stocks, the market’s collective whipping boy in 2026 in light of the presumptive threat of AI disruption, are continuing to recover on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the biggest winners of the AI boom this year — memory stocks, benefiting from intense shortages — are taking their turn in the red.

The iShares Expanded Tech Software ETF’s gains are being led by Datadog, a rare case of a software stock rising after reporting earnings this season, with heavyweights Oracle and ServiceNow outperforming the industry. Figma, which isn’t in this product, is also up double digits.

On the other side of the spectrum, Micron, Sandisk, Seagate Technology Holdings, and Western Digital are selling off.

The seesaw of modern markets often requires that as one group’s fortunes inflect positively after a long drubbing, so too must a high-flyer have its wings clipped.

That is, if you’re a portfolio manager long memory and short software stocks, and enough investors are willing to catch a falling knife and buy the beaten-down group, staying market-neutral and reducing this position would require you to purchase software and dump some memory stocks.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.