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Lilly reports positive final trial results for weight-loss pill, says it’s headed for regulatory approval

Eli Lilly reported encouraging trial results for its next-generation weight-loss pill, putting it on track to file for regulatory approval by the end of the year.

The pill, orforglipron, resulted in up to 10.5% weight loss in overweight or obese patients with diabetes in a late-stage trial, Lilly said Tuesday. The company shot up more than 4% on Tuesday.

“With these positive data in hand, we are moving with urgency toward global regulatory submissions to potentially meet the needs of patients who are waiting,” Kenneth Custer, Lilly’s head of cardiometabolic health, said in a statement. “If approved, we are ready to offer a convenient, once-daily pill that can be scaled globally — removing barriers and redefining how obesity is treated around the world.”

The company reported similar results in a late-stage trial less than three weeks ago. That trial disappointed Wall Street, which was hoping for higher weight-loss numbers from the once-daily pill. That news overshadowed a cheery earnings report, which showed its weight loss drugs outsold Novo's for the first quarter ever.

Even with Tuesday's gains, the stock is down over 10% in the past month.

Analysts at Bank of American reiterated their "buy" rating and $900 price target on Lilly after the announcement, saying its still ahead of the game when it comes to finding the next weight loss drug. "To us, LLY undisputedly remains in pole position in obesity," they wrote on Tuesday.

While Lilly's pill may not help patients lose more weight than the injectables currently on the market, there are a still some major upsides:

  1. Pills are less scary than needles, so naturally more people will likely be pulled in.

  2. Pills are cheaper to manufacture than injector pens. This is particularly important as both Novo and Lilly struggle to get insurance providers to cover their drugs and build direct-to-consumer models.

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Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemons geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected halo effect across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemons valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retails richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi ONeill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brands growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

markets

US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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