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Lilly reports positive final trial results for weight-loss pill, says it’s headed for regulatory approval

Eli Lilly reported encouraging trial results for its next-generation weight-loss pill, putting it on track to file for regulatory approval by the end of the year.

The pill, orforglipron, resulted in up to 10.5% weight loss in overweight or obese patients with diabetes in a late-stage trial, Lilly said Tuesday. The company shot up more than 4% on Tuesday.

“With these positive data in hand, we are moving with urgency toward global regulatory submissions to potentially meet the needs of patients who are waiting,” Kenneth Custer, Lilly’s head of cardiometabolic health, said in a statement. “If approved, we are ready to offer a convenient, once-daily pill that can be scaled globally — removing barriers and redefining how obesity is treated around the world.”

The company reported similar results in a late-stage trial less than three weeks ago. That trial disappointed Wall Street, which was hoping for higher weight-loss numbers from the once-daily pill. That news overshadowed a cheery earnings report, which showed its weight loss drugs outsold Novo's for the first quarter ever.

Even with Tuesday's gains, the stock is down over 10% in the past month.

Analysts at Bank of American reiterated their "buy" rating and $900 price target on Lilly after the announcement, saying its still ahead of the game when it comes to finding the next weight loss drug. "To us, LLY undisputedly remains in pole position in obesity," they wrote on Tuesday.

While Lilly's pill may not help patients lose more weight than the injectables currently on the market, there are a still some major upsides:

  1. Pills are less scary than needles, so naturally more people will likely be pulled in.

  2. Pills are cheaper to manufacture than injector pens. This is particularly important as both Novo and Lilly struggle to get insurance providers to cover their drugs and build direct-to-consumer models.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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