Markets
Luke Kawa

US stocks jump as small cap surge continues

The S&P 500 snapped its longest losing streak since April with its largest gain in over a month, ending up 1.1%. The Nasdaq 100 gained 1%, while the Russell 2000 led the way again with a 1.7% advance. 

Small caps have outperformed for six consecutive sessions, tying their longest such run since September 2022.

The S&P 500, however, still ended up posting back-to-back weekly losses for the first time since April, and a jam-packed week of market-moving events looms.

Brian Garrett, managing director at Goldman Sachs, said in a note to analysts that “next week is arguably the busiest week of the summer,” and flagged that the options-implied move for the S&P 500 was +/-2%. That’s the biggest anticipated weekly move for the benchmark index this year.

Not only is there a Federal Reserve meeting and the monthly US non-farms payroll report, but 40% of the S&P 500 (by market cap) reports, including Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazon. 

Friday’s gains were broad-based, with seven stocks in the S&P 500 up for every one that was down. Eight S&P sector ETFs gained more than 1% and all were positive, led by the 1.9% rise in communication services.

A number of standout earnings reports buoyed US stocks to close out the week.

3M had its best day in more than four decades, gaining 23% on strong quarterly results that inspired hopes that the new CEO’s turnaround plan would bear fruit. 

Mohawk Industries also exceeded expectations on earnings and boosted its guidance for the current quarter, sparking a 19.5% advance. 

Charter Communications enjoyed its best day on record, up 16.6% with analysts pleasantly surprised by its strong free cash flow and lower-than-expected subscriber losses.

Shares of Bristol Myers also rose double digits — its best day since 2000 — after hiking its full-year profit forecast and having all of its largest drugs post better-than-expected sales.

On the other side of the spectrum, Dexcom cratered, down 40.7% for its worst day ever. The company slashed its sales forecast, with analysts expecting more pressure on operating performance as GLP-1 weight loss drugs dent demand for its glucose monitoring products.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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Rocket Lab deal lifts space stocks

Shares of Rocket Lab are surging after announcing an $8 billion acquisition of satellite communications operator Iridium Communications, helping lift a broader basket of space-related stocks as investors piled back into the sector.

Planet Labs, AST SpaceMobile and Redwire all traded higher alongside Rocket Lab, extending gains in an industry that has drawn enhanced investor attention in recent months in light of the strategic importance that governments place on space and satellite communications infrastructure.

In a presentation, Rocket Lab’s management called the purchase “a shortcut” for its satellite communications business.

Under the terms of the agreement, Iridium shareholders will receive $27 in cash and Rocket Lab stock, valuing Iridium at $54 per share. Backed by a $3.6 billion bridge loan committed by Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo, Rocket Lab absorbs Iridium’s globally licensed spectrum and an active base of 2.5 million subscribers.

Rocket Lab has also remained one of the most active launch providers in the sector. The company completed its 12th launch of the year last week, maintaining one of the highest launch cadences among commercial space companies.

Today's rally helps offset a brutal stretch for the group. Rocket Lab shares had fallen over 35% over the prior month, while Planet Labs stock was down more than 40% and AST SpaceMobile stock was down around 30% over the same window.

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