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Luke Kawa

US stocks surge by most since 2022 on a small bit of good news

The S&P 500 had its best day since November 2022, up 2.3%, while the Russell 2000 gained a tick more and the Nasdaq 100 surged 3.1%.

A small upside surprise on US initial jobless claims helped spur a very broad rally on Wall Street. The advance-decline line for the benchmark US stock index was a whopping 411, tying its highest level of 2024.

While cyclical parts of the equity market did well – consistent with a perceived reduction in recession risk –  tech was far and away atop the S&P 500 sector ETF leaderboard, continuing to hint at a strong flow and momentum-based accelerant behind the market’s moves.

Parker-Hannifin was the second-best S&P 500 constituent, up 10.8% as the industrial manufacturer’s profit forecast for the year ahead was well above Wall Street’s estimates, buoyed by a solid order book.

Eli Lilly was right behind, advancing 9.5% after its quarterly results showed it was gaining ground on Novo Nordisk in weight loss drug sales much more than anticipated.

Warner Bros., on the other hand, was near the bottom of the S&P 500’s leaderboard after reporting a colossal quarterly loss that included a writedown to the value of its cable networks. Shares fell 9% to close just shy of a record low.

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Arista Networks Reports Q3 Earnings

Arista Networks beats expectations, but stock dives on mediocre guidance

All those data centers are going to need a lot of switches and routers as well as GPUs.

markets

AMD posts top- and bottom-line beat in Q3 with Q4 sales guidance ahead of estimates

Advanced Micro Devices reported third-quarter results that exceeded analysts’ expectations on the top and bottom lines, with guidance to match.

  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share: $1.20 (compared to an analyst consensus estimate of $1.17)

  • Revenue: $9.25 billion (estimate: $8.74 billion, guidance: $8.4 billion to $9 billion)

  • Data center revenue: $4.34 billion (estimate: $4.14 billion)

  • Adjusted gross margin: 54% (estimate: 54%, guidance: 54%)

Its Q4 guidance for sales of $9.3 billion to $9.9 billion was strong relative to the anticipated $9.2 billion, while its adjusted gross margin outlook of 54.5% is bang in line with estimates.

Even so, shares are off about 2% in after-hours trading as of 4:24 p.m. ET.

“AMDs strong 3Q sales beat and 4Q outlook were likely driven by stronger PC and server CPU demand — similar to Intels results — along with continued share gains,” Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Kunjan Sobhani and Oscar Hernandez Tejada wrote. “The GPU ramp-up remains ahead of expectations, aided by a gaming rebound.”

AMD has had a high-profile Q4 so far, striking a megadeal with OpenAI that its CFO said “is expected to deliver tens of billions of dollars in revenue.” That announcement prompted more than 20 price target hikes from Wall Street analysts in a 24-hour span.

The company followed that up with a pact with Oracle, which said it would deploy 50,000 of AMD’s new flagship chips in data centers starting in the second half of next year. On the upcoming conference call, the Street will be looking for as much color as possible on the sales outlook for those MI450 chips.

Ahead of this release, Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore wrote:

“The focus should remain on MI450. AMDs rack scale solution shipping next year is the key, and we are excited to see what the company can do. Its still early to make market share assessments, and while the Open AI agreement is clearly an accelerant, the reliance on cloud providers to ramp those 6 gigawatts still creates some uncertainty. Ultimately, to drive share gains, the company will need to provide better ROI than NVIDIA can offer, and customers still raise questions about that given lower rack density and the need to resolve ecosystem issues.

The chip designer was the third-best-performing member of the VanEck Semiconductor ETF in 2025 heading into this report, with shares having more than doubled year to date.

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