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The McDonald's logo is pictured in front of a store in Dearborn, Michigan, on October 17, 2024 (Charly Triballeau/AFP via Getty Images)
Speaking Volumes

Trading activity in McDonald’s goes parabolic on E. coli outbreak

Here’s what sparked the most active trading days in the fast-food chain’s history.

Luke Kawa
10/23/24 3:52PM

Traffic at McDonald’s locations across America probably wasn’t too high today, what with the E. coli breakout and all. The same cannot be said for McDonald’s stock: its shares changed hands like crazy on their way to a 5.1% loss on the day.

Trading volumes totaled about 18.7 million shares, one of the 50 busiest days on record (based on data going back to July 1980). For context, that’s about 650% above its recent 20-day average volume — and nearly 3x the typical amount of burgers the fast-food chain sells per day (though maybe not today!).

Here’s a look at what was happening to cause volumes to go haywire on McDonald’s top 10 most active sessions.

#1,2,4: 10/5/06, 10/4/06, 10/3/06

These were the final sessions in which McDonald’s was spinning off its Chipotle stake by swapping those shares for its own, producing a burst of trading activity. The stock price move wasn’t big on any of these days, though, with a gain of 0.4% on Tuesday and an advance of 0.8% on Wednesday followed by a 0.5% drop on Thursday, the heaviest-volume session.

#3: 1/28/08

The stock tumbled 5.6% after reporting earnings during the early innings of the Great Recession. You want #5 with that?

#5: 1/4/11

Down 3% on not too much news beyond a giant block trade that went up in the premarket and set a negative (and busy) tone for the day.

#6: 12/17/02

Warned the market of its imminent first-ever quarterly loss, tied to the cost of closing restaurants and a value menu that backfired. Shares plummeted 8%.

#7: 7/23/09

The golden arches reported lower-than-anticipated quarterly sales, catalyzing a 4.6% retreat in the stock.

#8: 1/11/08

A survey of McDonald’s franchises suggested that same-store sales growth decelerated to its lowest level since 2003, sparking a 6.6% drop in the stock and portending the no-good, all-bad day that was #3 on this list.

#9: 10/10/08

We could attribute this to the prior day’s announcement from Venezuela that it was shuttering some locations temporarily because of concerns about sales-tax collections. But we’d be lying: this just happened to be one of the most dramatic days of the financial crisis for markets, a Friday in which a rout in Asian markets fed through to the US and fueled massive losses that were somewhat pared by the close.

#10: 08/08/08

888 is a lucky number in Chinese culture and an auspicious one for McDonald’s. It’s by far the biggest gainer on this list, with shares up 6.2% on the day after McD’s reported strong same-store sales for July.

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Opendoor soars as co-founders Keith Rabois and Eric Wu added to board of directors, Shopify COO Kaz Nejatian appointed as new CEO


Opendoor Technologies is soaring after announcing that two of the online real estate company’s co-founders, Keith Rabois and Eric Wu, have been added to its board of directors. Rabois will serve as Chairman.

The company said Wu and Rabois’ VC firm are buying $40 million in Opendoor stock via a private investment in public equity (PIPE) financing.

In addition, Opendoor has poached Shopify COO Kaz Nejatian to serve as its new CEO after Carrie Wheeler resigned in mid-August.

“Literally there was only one choice for the job: Kaz. I am thrilled that he will be serving as CEO of Opendoor,” said Rabois.

The company touted that it’s “going into founder mode” with these additions in its press release, with lead independent director Eric Feder championing this injection of “founder DNA.”

That exact phrase, “founder DNA,” was used by Eric Jackson, architect of the initial rally and social interest in Opendoor, as he openly campaigned for these very two individuals to be added to the board.

This underscores how far the company is willing to go in embracing a new strategy of listening to its investors (particularly the most prominent one, it seems!) as management aims to engineer a fundamental turnaround in its business to match the optimism embedded in its stock price.

markets

“Pokemon” trading cards skyrocketing in value and GameStop’s collectibles business taking off are two sides of the same coin


The Wall Street Journal’s fantastic piece “The Hot Investment With a 3,000% Return? Pokémon Cards” includes this vignette:

“...the cards caught fire among amateur investors during the pandemic. As some investors banded together to spark the GameStop meme stock mania, a more fringe group of traders, also stuck at home and armed with cash from government stimulus, began scooping up Pokémon cards.”

And the connection between “Pokemon” cards and the video game retailer is in fact even closer than that:

GameStop’s collectibles business played a big role in why it smashed Q2 revenue expectations! Sales in this segment exceeded $227 million, while the two analysts that provided forecasts had an average estimate of $170.4 million. Fiscal year to date, sales of collectibles make up 25.8% of its revenues, up from 16.4% at this time last year.

The company significantly expanded its footprint in the “Pokemon” trading card world in 2024 by launching in-store buying and selling of individual cards, and introduced Power Packs,” which include one card graded at 8 or above by the Professional Sports Authenticator, in its most recent quarter.

As a 35-year-old man who still plays Pokemon (Nuzlockes are peak math + strategy entertainment!), thinks the release of Pokemon Go marked the peak for Western civilization, and considers Christmas 1998 to be the second-best day of his life because it’s when he got Pokemon Red, I personally view the outperformance of Pokemon cards as being indicative of the power of nostalgia coupled with a drop-off in child rearing by millennials, leaving more room for discretionary purchases and investments.

And the nostalgia business seems like a great place to be.

“...the cards caught fire among amateur investors during the pandemic. As some investors banded together to spark the GameStop meme stock mania, a more fringe group of traders, also stuck at home and armed with cash from government stimulus, began scooping up Pokémon cards.”

And the connection between “Pokemon” cards and the video game retailer is in fact even closer than that:

GameStop’s collectibles business played a big role in why it smashed Q2 revenue expectations! Sales in this segment exceeded $227 million, while the two analysts that provided forecasts had an average estimate of $170.4 million. Fiscal year to date, sales of collectibles make up 25.8% of its revenues, up from 16.4% at this time last year.

The company significantly expanded its footprint in the “Pokemon” trading card world in 2024 by launching in-store buying and selling of individual cards, and introduced Power Packs,” which include one card graded at 8 or above by the Professional Sports Authenticator, in its most recent quarter.

As a 35-year-old man who still plays Pokemon (Nuzlockes are peak math + strategy entertainment!), thinks the release of Pokemon Go marked the peak for Western civilization, and considers Christmas 1998 to be the second-best day of his life because it’s when he got Pokemon Red, I personally view the outperformance of Pokemon cards as being indicative of the power of nostalgia coupled with a drop-off in child rearing by millennials, leaving more room for discretionary purchases and investments.

And the nostalgia business seems like a great place to be.

markets

Oracle’s hyperscaler competitors lag after the cloud computing giant’s blowout revenue forecast

Oracle’s forecast for mind-blowing revenue growth through its fiscal 2030 is lifting most AI-adjacent stocks today.

However, the ones being left behind in this rising tide, falling or lagging well behind Morgan Stanley’s basket of AI tech beneficiaries (up 5.8% as of 12:22 p.m. ET), are its fellow hyperscalers.

Microsoft and Alphabet, which also have massive cloud divisions, are positive — but only just. Amazon, whose cloud revenue growth was deemed a disappointment relative to peers this quarter, is down 2.8%. Meta is down 1.2%.

This suggests, at the very least, that traders aren’t mapping Oracle’s outlook for Nvidia-like revenue growth onto the other major cloud players or one of their biggest customers.

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