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The McDonald's logo is pictured in front of a store in Dearborn, Michigan, on October 17, 2024 (Charly Triballeau/AFP via Getty Images)
Speaking Volumes

Trading activity in McDonald’s goes parabolic on E. coli outbreak

Here’s what sparked the most active trading days in the fast-food chain’s history.

Luke Kawa

Traffic at McDonald’s locations across America probably wasn’t too high today, what with the E. coli breakout and all. The same cannot be said for McDonald’s stock: its shares changed hands like crazy on their way to a 5.1% loss on the day.

Trading volumes totaled about 18.7 million shares, one of the 50 busiest days on record (based on data going back to July 1980). For context, that’s about 650% above its recent 20-day average volume — and nearly 3x the typical amount of burgers the fast-food chain sells per day (though maybe not today!).

Here’s a look at what was happening to cause volumes to go haywire on McDonald’s top 10 most active sessions.

#1,2,4: 10/5/06, 10/4/06, 10/3/06

These were the final sessions in which McDonald’s was spinning off its Chipotle stake by swapping those shares for its own, producing a burst of trading activity. The stock price move wasn’t big on any of these days, though, with a gain of 0.4% on Tuesday and an advance of 0.8% on Wednesday followed by a 0.5% drop on Thursday, the heaviest-volume session.

#3: 1/28/08

The stock tumbled 5.6% after reporting earnings during the early innings of the Great Recession. You want #5 with that?

#5: 1/4/11

Down 3% on not too much news beyond a giant block trade that went up in the premarket and set a negative (and busy) tone for the day.

#6: 12/17/02

Warned the market of its imminent first-ever quarterly loss, tied to the cost of closing restaurants and a value menu that backfired. Shares plummeted 8%.

#7: 7/23/09

The golden arches reported lower-than-anticipated quarterly sales, catalyzing a 4.6% retreat in the stock.

#8: 1/11/08

A survey of McDonald’s franchises suggested that same-store sales growth decelerated to its lowest level since 2003, sparking a 6.6% drop in the stock and portending the no-good, all-bad day that was #3 on this list.

#9: 10/10/08

We could attribute this to the prior day’s announcement from Venezuela that it was shuttering some locations temporarily because of concerns about sales-tax collections. But we’d be lying: this just happened to be one of the most dramatic days of the financial crisis for markets, a Friday in which a rout in Asian markets fed through to the US and fueled massive losses that were somewhat pared by the close.

#10: 08/08/08

888 is a lucky number in Chinese culture and an auspicious one for McDonald’s. It’s by far the biggest gainer on this list, with shares up 6.2% on the day after McD’s reported strong same-store sales for July.

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Powering the positive earnings report was the companys AI-related revenue, which grew 84% in the fourth quarter and now makes up over a third of total revenue. Investors seem to think the increased demand for servers could have trickle-down effects for other companies.

The companys results and commentary reinforced the outlook for strong AI-infrastructure demand while indicating resilient broader traditional server and storage spending, wrote Woo Jin Ho, a senior technology analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. Lenovos $21 billion AI-server pipeline and remarks that demand is outpacing supply support Dells AI-demand momentum and point to robust orders.

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Ross Stores surges as Q1 results beat expectations, full-year guidance raised

Ross shares are rising after the company delivered strong Q1 results, with sales topping Wall Street’s projections.

The stock soared 6.3% just after the open.

Key numbers:

  • Earnings per share of $2.02 vs. $1.47 year over year (estimate: $1.72).

  • Sales of $6.01 billion, up 21% year over year (estimate: $5.61 billion).

  • Comparable sales growth of 17% (estimate: 8.58%).

CEO Jim Conroy attributed the results to better traffic in stores. “Customer traffic was the primary driver of the strong sales trend as compelling merchandise assortments, higher customer acquisition and engagement from our ongoing marketing initiatives, and an improved in‑store experience are resonating with shoppers.”

The company also noted that transaction volume grew across all key demographics, including “income levels, ethnicities, and age groups, including younger customers.” Sales were also likely buoyed by standard seasonal tailwinds, including consumer spending from tax refunds.

Backed by the strong quarter, the company lifted its full-year targets. Ross now projects same-store sales growth of 6% to 7%, up from the prior forecast of 3% to 4%, topping Wall Street’s estimate of 4.64%. It boosted its annual EPS guidance to a range of $7.50 to $7.74, versus the prior outlook of $7.02 to $7.36.

Ross Stores has been one of the retail sector’s standout performers this year, rising around 20% year to date as of Thursday’s close.

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