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Megacaps have dragged markets into the red this year, but a majority of the S&P 500 is still in the green

52% of the S&P 500 has made gains in 2025. So far.

Markets have turned red this week, with America’s flagship index, the SPDR S&P 500 Trust, shedding the last of its postelection gains as traders rushed to the exits on “Tariff Tuesday,” compounding Monday’s 1.8% fall.

As companies and investors continue to digest President Donald Trump’s trade policy and the retaliatory measures it has inspired, investors are simultaneously reevaluating the AI trade on the fly. Yesterday afternoon’s price action suggested they aren’t giving up on it just yet.

Middle market

As we take stock on Wednesday morning, it’s worth zooming out and noting that 264 of the S&P 500’s constituents, or a little over 52% of the index, are actually still up in 2025. Indeed, if you woke up this morning after being asleep since New Year’s Eve, you’d have a hard time guessing that we’ve already had the “DeepSeek freak,” uncertainty over rising geopolitical tensions, and tariffs hitting the headlines this year, with the median S&P 500 stock up 0.7% in 2025.

S&P500 Q1 Performance

The star of the S&P 500 Class of Q1 so far is CVS Health, which has jumped 45% since the start of the year, closely followed by Philip Morris International and Super Micro, which is doing the absolute bare minimum to remain on the market. Uber also joins the all-star lineup, ahead of Meta, which is the best of the Big Tech stocks, evading the pain of peers Amazon (-7%), Nvidia (-14%), and Tesla (-33%), which are all down. But the one company that’s down deepest in the trenches is UGG and Hoka shoe company Deckers, which never recovered from getting stomped after its underwhelming Q3 update.

So, not everything is down this year... but if you are nervous about a sustained market drop, it might be helpful to know which stocks are most, and least, sensitive to a market crash. Here’s a handy list of each, based on the last three years of data.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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