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Luke Kawa

Memory stocks forget TurboQuant and remember how to rally

US memory stocks are forgetting about a negative catalyst and remembering what it’s like to lead major indexes.

Shares of Micron, Western Digital, Sandisk, and Seagate Technology Holdings are soaring in early trading on Monday.

Morgan Stanley reiterated its confidence in hard drive disk sellers on Monday, saying that recent channel checks “point to strengthening demand, elongating visibility, and most importantly, a much stronger pricing outlook.”

Analyst Erik Woodring boosted his price target on Seagate to $582 from $468 and on Western Digital to $380 from $369.

Aside from that, there’s no real news supporting their advance, so this looks to be a case of, “We now return to our regularly scheduled programming,” a world in which memory stocks benefit from a substantial supply/demand imbalance and enjoy ample pricing power thanks to the AI boom.

The group slumped in early March when the US-Israeli attacks on Iran began, as the war sparked an unwind of popular trades, and then sold off again late in the month after Google published details on its TurboQuant algorithm, which could decrease memory intensity in data center environments.

It’s worth noting that after March 25 was when the US stock market, in general, really hit the skids. So after that negative catalyst, the group was getting caught up in a tide of risk-off activity.

Wall Street analysts at Bernstein and Bank of America, among others, suggested the TurboQuant-inspired sell-off in the group was overdone.

“Despite TurboQuant, GOOGL capex still up +100% YoY,” wrote BofA analyst Vivek Arya, who added that Google “has been publishing similar techs over the last 18 months.”

With Monday’s early gains, these stocks (ex Micron) have now recovered all their post-TurboQuant declines.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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Rocket Lab deal lifts space stocks

Shares of Rocket Lab are surging after announcing an $8 billion acquisition of satellite communications operator Iridium Communications, helping lift a broader basket of space-related stocks as investors piled back into the sector.

Planet Labs, AST SpaceMobile and Redwire all traded higher alongside Rocket Lab, extending gains in an industry that has drawn enhanced investor attention in recent months in light of the strategic importance that governments place on space and satellite communications infrastructure.

In a presentation, Rocket Lab’s management called the purchase “a shortcut” for its satellite communications business.

Under the terms of the agreement, Iridium shareholders will receive $27 in cash and Rocket Lab stock, valuing Iridium at $54 per share. Backed by a $3.6 billion bridge loan committed by Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo, Rocket Lab absorbs Iridium’s globally licensed spectrum and an active base of 2.5 million subscribers.

Rocket Lab has also remained one of the most active launch providers in the sector. The company completed its 12th launch of the year last week, maintaining one of the highest launch cadences among commercial space companies.

Today's rally helps offset a brutal stretch for the group. Rocket Lab shares had fallen over 35% over the prior month, while Planet Labs stock was down more than 40% and AST SpaceMobile stock was down around 30% over the same window.

markets
Jake Lahut

Comcast shares rise on news of NBCUniversal spinoff deal

Comcast rose on the news that the telecom behemoth is spinning off NBCUniversal and Sky from its cable portfolio. 

Comcast initially jumped up to 17% in early trading, with the deal leaving management to focus on its core verticals of cable, wireless, and business services. 

NBCUniversal and Sky will form a new publicly traded company, similar to Versant Media, the holding company of CNBC and MS NOW that Comcast officially spun off in January. Bravo, one of the most lucrative properties that remained at Comcast, will remain part of NBCUniversal in the deal. The Universal theme parks and studios will also come with the new spinoff entity, along with Telemundo and Peacock.

Mike Cavanagh, the co-CEO of Comcast, will become the CEO for NBCUniversal, according to CNBC. 

The spinoff will be completed in about a year, according to a Comcast company statement. Its shareholders will also own shares in NBCUniversal, according to the same statement.

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