Meta is clinging to its 7% gain, as the only Big Tech stock that’s up this year

Tesla and Nvidia have led Big Tech lower, but Meta is holding on to some of its 2025 gains after a remarkable 20-day green streak earlier this year.

David Crowther

3/10/25 8:08AM

Last week, the Nasdaq Composite Index finally crossed into correction territory, having dropped more than 10% from its previous peak, as the AI trade reversal, tariff turmoil, and growing concerns about an economic slowdown weighed on markets. Collectively, Big Tech stocks have shed their postelection gains, with all of the BATMMAAN stocks now in the red for 2025... except for Meta.

Though Mark Zuckerberg’s company certainly hasn’t been immune to the sell-off, it still has some precious gains to hold onto, after a 20-day green streak earlier this year.

So why has Meta outperformed?

On the surface, it’s not immediately obvious why the company behind Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp managed to outpace its rivals so strongly in the first six weeks of this year. Like its peers, Meta is shelling out insane dollar sums on AI infrastructure, with plans to spend a whopping $65 billion this year, while its VR and AR division (Reality Labs) is still burning cash like there’s no tomorrow. With all of the usual caveats — we never really know why any stock does anything — here are a few possible reasons:

TikTok sale or ban: Though it’s taken a back seat after President Trump signed a 75-day delay via executive order, the potential sale/ban of one of Meta’s chief rivals for American doomscrolling could be propping up the stock. On Sunday, Trump said the US was talking to four different groups about the potential sale of TikTok.
The fundamentals: Meta crushed its earnings, posting Q4 revenue that was up 21% and net income that had risen 49%.
Tariffs: Companies like Amazon, Tesla, Apple, Nvidia, and Broadcom all sell more physical stuff and rely on complicated global supply chains, which could be impacted by the escalating US trade wars. Meta’s core money-spinner remains digital advertising, which might be indirectly affected — advertisers from China might be less likely to buy an Instagram ad if they face tariffs on any goods they sell, for example — but would potentially avoid the direct hit of escalating tariffs.
AI monetization road map: As my colleague Jon Keegan put it, this year is all about hitting a billion Meta AI users. Next year will be all about monetizing them.
Endless efficiency era: Zuckerberg has been ruthlessly focused on keeping his workforce lean, with the company reportedly planning to fire 5% of its workforce this year. Indeed, on a “profit-per-employee” metric, Meta ranked second behind Nvidia.
Political cover: After cozying up to the new administration, investors might be expecting a more favorable regualory landscape over the coming years — with Meta successfully stopping legislation “that would have regulated social media for the first time” in December 2024, per Politico.

Tasha Matsumoto

10h

Stocks bounce back after volatile trading session

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 recovered from an afternoon dip, and the Russell 2000 notched another all time high.

Michael Jordan #23 dribbles towards the net circa the 1990's during a game.

Matt Phillips12h

Diverse partnership’s $40 billion data center may the future of funding for AI

Another day, another multibillion-dollar data center deal.

The announced $40 billion buyout — including debt — of Texas-based Aligned Data Centers on Wednesday was the first for a consortium established last year by a diverse base of investors including giant money management firm BlackRock, Abu Dhabi-based technology investment fund MGX, and Microsoft.

Some analysts suggest the variety of investors in such a deal — including tech giants, sovereign investment funds and the private pools of capital controlled by entities like BlackRock — will be an increasingly common site, as the enormously expensive buildout of AI infrastructure continues over the coming years.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley recently estimated that there will be some $2.9 trillion of spending on data centers globally by 2028. Some $1.4 trillion of that will be covered by the cash flows produced by giant hyper scalers like Microsoft, leaving a need for some $1.5 trillion from other sources. The analysts wrote that their “broad takeaway was bullishness on the availability of those sources of capital.”

Nvidia, Microsoft, xAI and BlackRock part of $40 billion deal for Aligned Data Centers

Luke Kawa13h

Rigetti Computing tanks amid souring retail sentiment, bearish options bets

Rigetti Computing is getting taken to the woodshed on Wednesday amid souring retail trader sentiment and options bets on near-term downside.

In particular, one post on Reddit’s wallstreetbets forum from user bespoketrancheop, which shows the Google Street view (circa March 2025) of Rigetti’s listed headquarters, is generating a lot of attention. It’s the most popular Rigetti-centric post on the subreddit in the past seven months.

Rigetti HQ — r/wallstreetbets via bespoketrancheop

Per our executive editor, it’s giving this:

But as one commenter notes, this isn’t exactly new news: “People been posting this since it was $11,” with another pointing out that “making an assessment on a google street view is lazy dd [editor’s note: due diligence].”

For what it’s worth, Rigetti’s Quantum Fab manufacturing facility in Fremont looks a lot more like a place where next-gen technology is being developed and a lot less like the middle school one of my colleagues went to.

Of course, it’s impossible to single this out as <the> specific catalyst for the price action in Rigetti today. But since there’ve been dozens of days in the past couple months where quantum computing stocks went up on no news whatsoever, it stands to reason there are also going to be days when they go down for no (good) reason whatsoever.

More important, perhaps, is the flurry of major options bets positioning for downside in the quantum computing company this week. Put options with a strike price of $50 that expire this Friday are in demand. That contract had open interest of under 7,000 heading into today but has already seen volumes of more than 30,000, suggesting fresh wagers made on a pullback in the formerly high-flying stock.

Luke Kawa14h

AMD soars as HSBC hikes price target to a Street high of $310

Shares of Advanced Micro Devices are soaring after HSBC analyst Frank Lee strapped his price target for the chip designer to a rocket ship, hiking it to $310 from $185. The new price target ties that of Arete Research’s Brett Simpson for the highest on Wall Street, per data from Bloomberg.

The recently announced deal with OpenAI, which was followed by news that AMD will deploy 50,000 AI chips in Oracle’s data centers, catalyzed a massive wave of Wall Street love for AMD.

But that’s just nowhere near enough compared to what the stock deserves, per Lee, who sees AMD’s MI450 series of AI chips as being sufficiently competitive to Nvidia’s offerings. Through 2030, he sees the revenue opportunity of the OpenAI deal to be $80 billion.

“We believe the Street has underestimated the AI GPU revenue with our estimates 50% and 45% above consensus for 2026e and 2027e, respectively,” he wrote. “We believe there could be further upside driven by pricing premium as well as additional AI GPU volume.”