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Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella (Jason Redmond/Getty Images)

Microsoft beats on earnings and revenue

Microsoft reported earnings on Wednesday.

Microsoft posted fiscal first-quarter earnings that beat Wall Street’s expectations, powered by growth in its Azure cloud business.

For the quarter ended September 30, the software giant reported adjusted earnings per share of $4.13, beating analyst estimates of $3.67. Total revenue was $77.7 billion, up 18% year on year, coming in above forecasts of $75.4 billion.

Microsoft’s Azure cloud business revenues grew 40% year on year, compared with Wall Street’s expectations for 38% growth.

Despite the performance, shares dropped 2.6% in recent after-hours trading. Management indicated that they would provide guidance on the upcoming conference call.

Today, a widespread outage of the cloud service affected Microsoft’s Xbox and 365 platforms, as well as its investor relations site. The Azure support account on X wrote: “We’re investigating an issue impacting several Azure services. Customers may experience issues when accessing services.”

Breaking down the results by the company’s business lines:

  • ☁️ 🤖 “Intelligent Cloud” (Azure, server products): $30.9 billion in revenue, up 28% year on year, beating analyst estimates of $30.2 billion. Digging in deeper, Azure and other cloud services revenue increased 40%.

  • 📝 📊 “Productivity and Business Processes” (Microsoft 365, LinkedIn, Dynamics): $33 billion in revenue, up 17% year on year, beating analyst estimates of $32.3 billion.

  • 💻 🎮 “More Personal Computing” (Windows, Xbox, Bing): $13.8 billion in revenue, up 4% year on year, beating analyst estimates of $12.8 billion.

Tariffs may be starting to pinch Microsoft’s hardware business, as it raised Xbox prices twice this year. The company also announced that it’s moving most hardware production out of China.

CEO Satya Nadella said:

“Our planet-scale cloud and AI factory, together with Copilots across high value domains, is driving broad diffusion and real-world impact. It’s why we continue to increase our investments in AI across both capital and talent to meet the massive opportunity ahead.”

Capital expenditures for the quarter were $34.9 billion, up 74% year on year compared to analysts’ consensus forecast of $25.4 billion. Last quarter, Microsoft said it expected lower capex spending growth in the second half of the fiscal year.

After OpenAI announced the completion of its restructuring yesterday, Microsoft shared new details on the updated partnership between the two companies, which had become strained over the past few months.

Microsoft now holds a stake in OpenAI worth approximately $135 billion, or 27% of the $500 billion startup. The deal includes a commitment from OpenAI to buy $250 billion worth of Azure services, and includes new opportunities for Microsoft to pursue AGI on its own, or with partners.

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Bitcoin-sensitive stocks hammered as crypto declines

Bitcoin-sensitive stocks tumbled Monday, enduring a much steeper drop than the keystone crypto asset itself, which was down nearly 4%, falling below $87,000, as of 12:20 p.m. ET.

Goldman Sachs’ themed basket of bitcoin-sensitive equities was down more than 8%. (It consists of companies tied to bitcoin, either through mining, digital payments, crypto investment, or blockchain technology.) It was one of the worst performers among Goldman’s thematically curated baskets of shares on Monday.

Among the basket’s constituents, miners Cipher Mining, CleanSpark, Hut 8, TeraWulf, and IREN were getting the worst of it.

At midday, the basket was on its way to its worst day since November 24, when bitcoin was also languishing below $90,000 and the broader tech sector was going through a brief downturn related to rising worries about durability of the AI boom.

Among the basket’s constituents, miners Cipher Mining, CleanSpark, Hut 8, TeraWulf, and IREN were getting the worst of it.

At midday, the basket was on its way to its worst day since November 24, when bitcoin was also languishing below $90,000 and the broader tech sector was going through a brief downturn related to rising worries about durability of the AI boom.

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Nvidia’s favorite stocks are getting shellacked as AI credit risk spreads

Nvidia’s “House of GPUs” is looking a little wobbly.

Shares of Applied Digital, CoreWeave, and Nebius — three of the four biggest equity positions held by the chip designer as of September 30 — are getting crushed on Monday.

Nvidia owned about $3.6 billion worth of these data center and neocloud stocks (with the overwhelming majority in CoreWeave) per its most recent 13F filing.

The AI credit risk that’s been most talked about in reference to Oracle’s widening credit default swaps spreads is also present in some of these firms, as well.

An Applied Digital bond due in 2030 is trading below $96 for the first time this month. That issuance was made to support data centers where CoreWeave will be the main tenant.

CoreWeave, which earlier this year received warrants enabling it to purchase a large chunk of Applied Digital shares as part of a data center leasing deal, sank last week after announcing a $2 billion convertible note offering that was later upsized.

Of course, it’s not just Nvidia-owned stocks, but the entire data center ecosystem that’s under pressure on Monday. Cipher Mining and IREN are also getting walloped — with Monday’s crypto tumble also likely weighing on these two bitcoin miners turned data center companies.

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