Markets
Squid Game Season 2
(Apu Gomes/Getty Images)

Netflix, Disney, and other media giants slide as Trump claims he’ll slap 100% tariff on foreign-made films

The president says the move will save the US film industry from a “very fast death.”

Shares of Netflix, Disney, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Paramount dipped Monday morning after President Trump posted on Truth that he was imposing a 100% tariff on all films produced abroad and imported into the US.

The White House framed the move as a drastic but necessary step to revive domestic production, which has increasingly shifted overseas to take advantage of foreign tax incentives. Even recent blockbusters like “Wicked” were filmed in the UK, not California.

The US remains the world’s largest film producer, followed by the UK and China, accoring to The-Numbers.com. But even in California, home of Hollywood, productions have steadily drifted abroad, lured by deeper tax breaks and lower costs. Industry groups have pressed Governor Gavin Newsom to step up local incentives. Last fall, the governor proposed expanding California’s Film & Television Tax Credit program from the current $330 million annual allocation to $750 million annually.

The industry is already under pressure: Disney, which made up a quarter of domestic box office sales in 2024, has already had a tough start to the year. “Captain America: Brave New World” pulled in an impressive $414 million, but that’s still a far cry from Marvel’s billion-dollar highs. March’s “Snow White” live-action release only deepened the slump. Meanwhile, Netflix could be hit the hardest: last year, the No. 1 streaming company allocated over half of its $15.5 billion content budget (about $8 billion) toward international productions.

At the same time, other countries are stepping up. Governments from Europe to Australia have expanded credits and cash rebates to attract production and capture a greater share of the $248 billion that's projected to be spent globally on content this year. Experts say tariffs aren’t likely to stop that trend and if the goal is to bring production stateside, tax credits, not trade barriers, could be a more effective tool.

Disney, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Paramount are set to report earnings this week.

More Markets

See all Markets
markets

United beats Q1 earnings and revenue estimates, lowers full-year profit guidance amid surging jet fuel prices

United Airlines reported its first-quarter earnings results after the bell on Tuesday. The carrier’s shares ticked down in after-hours trading.

For Q1, United reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share, compared to the Wall Street estimate of $1.08 per share compiled by FactSet.

  • $14.6 billion in revenue, compared to the $14.39 billion consensus estimate.

In the first quarter, United’s fuel expense grew 12.6% from the same period last year to $3.04 billion.

For the second quarter, United expects adjusted earnings per share of between $1 and $2, shy of Wall Street expectations of $2.08. For the full year ahead, United said it expects earnings between $7 and $11 per share, compared to its prior guidance of between $12 and $14 per share.

“Guidance assumes United’s revenue recovers 40% to 50% of the fuel price increases in the second quarter, 70% to 80% of the fuel price increases in the third quarter and 85% to 100% of the fuel price increases in the fourth quarter 2026,” read the company’s investor update.

Earlier this month, United was among the first major US airlines to hike its bag fees amid higher fuel costs. Its shares have fallen more than 15% from a February high days before the war in Iran began.

United has also made waves this month following reports that CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea of a merger with American Airlines to President Trump. A merger between two of the big four airlines would create a true US behemoth, controlling more than a third of the American market. American Air last week said it wasn’t interested in merging with United and hadn’t held talks on the idea. On Tuesday, Trump told CNBC that he doesn’t like the idea either.

markets

Hedge funds are following retail traders into the Magnificent 7

Hedge funds are following retail traders into the stocks the masses never stopped buying.

“As we kick off earnings for megacap tech stocks, this stood out: [hedge funds] have started buying Mag7 stocks again this month though positioning remains well below the peak levels seen in early 2016,” wrote Goldman Sachs’ Cullen Morgan.

Goldman PB Mag 7
Source: Goldman Sachs

In early April, JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain noted that retail investors had basically been selling everything but the Magnificent 7 stocks as part of a more cautious stance due to the Iran war.

(Apple has been a long-standing exception to this trend, presumably because retail traders arent fond of its hands-off approach to AI.)

JPM Retail flows

Last August, Jain discussed how retail activity tended to “crowd in” institutional buyers in meme stocks, while Goldman’s John Marshall advised clients to piggyback on stocks beloved by retail traders. Speculative, retail-geared assets proceeded to go on a tremendous run that soured in October.

But there are some early indications that a similar bout of speculative fervor is bubbling up once more.

markets

POET Technologies surges above $10 for first time in 4 years amid explosion in call volumes

POET Technologies is up nearly 40% this week as options market activity goes haywire in a faint echo of what got the stock on retail traders’ radars in October.

As of 11:12 a.m. ET, more than 10 calls have changed hands for every put traded. This bullish impulse has propelled the stock above the $10 threshold for the first time since March 2022.

Shares of the optical communications firm briefly dipped last week after Wolfpack Research said it was short the company because its investors would be exposed to an “IRS tax nightmare.”

The company responded that day saying it was taking measures for US shareholders that “should mitigate certain potential adverse US federal income tax consequences to it that could otherwise result from the Company’s status as a passive foreign investment company.”

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.