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Netflix loses the war for Warner Bros., Wall Street sees a win

Netflix opened sharply higher Friday, after it withdrew from the takeover battle for Warner Bros. Discovery, ceding the ground to Paramount Skydance.

You don’t have to be much of a market sleuth to see that Wall Street never liked the idea of Netflix scooping up the assemblage of media and movie properties for a whooping $83 billion price tag.

The stock slumped both on the day Netflix submitted a bid and the day it entered into an acquisition agreement with Warner Bros.

Now, on the back of Netflix declining to raise its bid and dropping out of the race to acquire Warner Bros., the streaming platform’s shares are having their best day since the market’s bounce back from the April tariff tantrum.

Driving the gains are what HSBC analysts call its “graceful exit” from the WBD brouhaha:

“A positive turn of events in our view, as we believe NFLX’s withdrawal from the race will leave it free to refocus on its business, while its closest competitors grapple with long and distracting regulatory approval and merger integration processes, and with Paramount Skydance saddled with sizable deal debts. And one must not forget the $2.8 bllion breakup fee (around 20% of NFLX 2026 estimated EPS) that NFLX will now be owed from WBD for choosing to go with another suitor.”

You don’t have to be much of a market sleuth to see that Wall Street never liked the idea of Netflix scooping up the assemblage of media and movie properties for a whooping $83 billion price tag.

The stock slumped both on the day Netflix submitted a bid and the day it entered into an acquisition agreement with Warner Bros.

Now, on the back of Netflix declining to raise its bid and dropping out of the race to acquire Warner Bros., the streaming platform’s shares are having their best day since the market’s bounce back from the April tariff tantrum.

Driving the gains are what HSBC analysts call its “graceful exit” from the WBD brouhaha:

“A positive turn of events in our view, as we believe NFLX’s withdrawal from the race will leave it free to refocus on its business, while its closest competitors grapple with long and distracting regulatory approval and merger integration processes, and with Paramount Skydance saddled with sizable deal debts. And one must not forget the $2.8 bllion breakup fee (around 20% of NFLX 2026 estimated EPS) that NFLX will now be owed from WBD for choosing to go with another suitor.”

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Bloom Energy spikes after vastly expanding its deal to supply fuel cells to Oracle

Bloom Energy spiked 15% in postmarket trading on Monday after expanding its pact to supply power to Oracle.

The hyperscaler has contracted an initial 1.2 gigawatts of fuel cell capacity from Bloom, with plans to procure up to 2.8 gigawatts in order to support the power needs of its data centers.

Shares of Bloom boomed last July after the initial announcement that it would be delivering “onsite power for an entire data center within 90 days,” the first time the fuel cell company booked a direct deal with a hyperscaler. Bloom came through with the delivery in 55 days.

Oracle execs are obviously pleased with the execution and the results — and have another reason to be happy about getting more power from Bloom...

In concert with this announcement, a filing showed that Oracle received warrants to buy 3.53 million shares of Bloom Energy for $113.28 apiece on April 9, as part of an agreement reached between the two sides in October. That would be about 1.25% of Bloom's current shares outstanding.

“It was a great strategic partnership where both enterprises had a lot to gain,” Bloom founder, chairman, and CEO KR Sridhar said of the warrant deal during the Q4 earnings call on February 2026. “And remember, these were not penny warrants. These were done at market pricing on the day we agreed to, like what we do. So it is not in lieu of something other than both parties enhancing enterprise value.”

So, Bloom’s business gets a massive boost from a hyperscaler moving from a proof of concept to a seal of approval, and Oracle gets power for about $320 million less than the sticker price (based on the gap between Bloom’s postmarket price on Monday, roughly $204, and the exercise price of the warrants).

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Intel is having its best year since 1987

Intel is up for its ninth straight session on Monday, continuing the romp that has made it the top performer in the S&P 500 this month, ganing roughly 46% in April so far.

The series of deals Intel has recently struck with Alphabet on a custom chip collaboration and with Elon Musk on his Terafab project seem to be helping reshape traders’ views on what was seen only a few months ago as an ailing American tech icon.

That turnaround in perception has been nothing short of historic.

Intel is now up almost 230% over the last year. You have to go back to 1987 to find a better 12-month run for the stock.

Still, the forward-looking market is giving Intel credit for a turnaround that really hasn’t happened yet on an operational level. Wall Street analysts expect another year-on-year sales decline when Intel reports results on April 23, while anticipating that Intel can cobble together adjusted earnings per share of a penny.

All the same, the market clearly sees a future that, at least for now, it likes.

markets

Neoclouds surge as Anthropic’s deals mean the scramble for compute is on

Just because software stocks are crushing semiconductors on Monday in a reversal of recent trends doesn’t mean the AI trade is taking a nosedive.

CoreWeave is on fire yet again, with strong follow-through after having reached deals to provide AI compute to Anthropic and Meta last week. Other data center companies like Nebius, IREN, Cipher Digital, and Applied Digital are also up big.

A scramble for compute is particularly great news for these providers of “surge capacity.”

Anthropic is producing AI tools and capabilities that people love. What people have been less than enamored with about Anthropic (especially as of late!) is access to compute, with myriad complaints of stealth token rationing.

OpenAI has reportedly argued that its immense cash burn to accumulate compute is therefore its competitive advantage over the Claude developer. Anthropic is now under pressure to spend a lot more on compute so that its customers are happy with the ability and availability of its offerings.

Similarly, a lot of networking/connectivity stocks that spiked on Friday, like Astera Labs and POET Technologies, are building on that momentum, with flash memory standout Sandisk up strongly as well.

Separately, PJM warned after the close on Friday that the US grid operator is looking to add 15 gigawatts of new power supply due to expected increases in demand tied to AI through Q1 2027. It’s seemingly clearer that there’s strong visibility into increased appetite for compute, power, and the other materials needed to facilitate the boom.

As such, AI energy plays like Vistra, Bloom Energy, Oklo, and Plug Power are also enjoying a solid start to the week.

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