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Netflix slips despite posting record revenue and hiking sales guidance

Netflix posted strong Q2 earnings results after the bell, including record quarterly revenue.

Revenue came in at a record $11.08 billion, narrowly topping analyst estimates of $11.07 billion and higher the company’s previous guidance of $11.03 billion. Diluted earnings per share landed at $7.19, handily topping the $7.07 estimate from analysts polled by FactSet.

Netflix also hiked its full-year revenue forecast to a range of $44.8 billion to $45.2 billion, up from its previous guidance of $43.5 billion to $44.5 billion.

The company forecast Q3 earnings of $6.87 a share and $11.53 billion in revenue. That compares to analysts’ forecasts for $6.76 of EPS and $11.27 billion of revenue.

That wasn’t enough to satisfy traders, who bid the stock down 0.9% after-hours. The stock has nearly doubled in value over the past 12 months.

Netflix highlighted top-performing original content during the quarter, including Sirens and season 3 of Ginny & Georgia. It also called out Squid Game season 3, now the company’s sixth-biggest season of any series in its history.

The streaming giant did, however, warn that it expected operating margin in the second half of the year to be lower than the first half “due to higher content amortization and sales and marketing.”

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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