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NBA: MAY 31 NBA Finals Preview - New York Knicks
A close-up view of a New York Knicks flag outside a bar in Midtown Manhattan (Erica Denhoff/Getty Images)
hedge of glory

A New York bar is using Kalshi to offer patrons free drinks during the first Knicks Finals game

Sentences are being written that have never been written before.

Tom Jones

Though the cheapest resale tickets to go and see the Knicks play at Madison Square Garden in their first NBA Finals since 1999 are now floating around the ~$4,000 mark (as of writing, there is actually only one seat showing under $5,000), one NYC bar is offering to sweeten the deal for fans who choose to watch the first playoff game in their venue… but only if the Knicks win.

Patrons at The Jeffrey bar in Manhattan who show up before the game starts will have their checks covered if the Knicks win, up to the value of $100 per guest, per the bar’s post on social media. But how, in the middle of a pronounced slump for the American beer industry, can it afford such a promotion? A wealthy Knicks-loving benefactor? A (maybe misplaced) sense of optimism about the coming World Cup’s impact on business? No, it’s down to prediction markets, of course!

Play the percentage

Andrew Freedman — the owner of the bar, the man behind the offer, and, in the daytime, a hedge fund adviser — told Semafor that he used Kalshi to put $5,000 on the Knicks to win on Wednesday, which would pay out ~$8,000 if it comes in and cover around half of the expected outlay from picking up his patrons’ tabs.

Perhaps the most interesting part about the setup at The Jeffrey is that it was Kalshi’s idea, a fact Freedman revealed to Semafor and that a company spokesperson has since confirmed. The prediction market platform reached out to Freedman after a similarly generous offer around an Eastern Conference game set him back $3,700, suggesting that he hedge his promotion this time around.

So, just to recap: Knicks fans drinking at The Jeffrey might get a game day bonus; Freedman likely gets more customers through the door and gets to potentially offset the costs of doing so; and Kalshi, which already saw a whopping $11.5 billion of sports market volumes in April, cements itself as a hub to monetarily express your views on The Big Game.

Prediction markets category volumes chart
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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

markets

Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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