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Luke Kawa

Nvidia dips after report of Chinese “ban” on H200 imports

As the Commerce Department delivers the equivalent of a ribbon-cutting ceremony for H200 sales to China, officials in the world’s second-largest economy are throwing up more red tape.

Reuters reports that China is not allowing Nvidia’s H200 AI chips to enter the country, citing three people briefed on the subject, one of whom said “it is basically a ban for now,” though this could change. The outlet adds that it “was not immediately able to ascertain whether the directives applied to existing orders for H200 chips or only to new orders.”

Shares of the chip designer are down less than 1% as of 5:50 a.m. ET.

China has been wary of allowing foreign chips to dominate its AI market, preferring measures to bolster its domestic semiconductor production capabilities. And for a while, the US was much more reticent to provide any access. Export restrictions put in place in mid-April during the height of US-China trade tensions prevented Nvidia from sending the H20, a chip that had been tailor-made to comply with export controls, to China. Though that export ban was lifted months later, demand from China “never materialized,” Nvidia CFO Colette Kress said in the wake of the company’s Q3 earnings report. Reports suggested that China banned its leading technology giants from purchasing these semiconductors, instead pushing them toward domestic alternatives. However, the H200 is considerably more powerful than the H20, which suggests the calculus for Chinese policymakers could have changed significantly in light of these different circumstances.

Nvidia is hoping to start to get these chips in the hands of Chinese buyers by the start of the Lunar New Year holiday (February 17) amid a very robust order book that could represent a $54 billion sales opportunity for the chip designer. On Tuesday, the Commerce Department tweaked its export license review policy, paving the way for chips like the H200 — the most powerful processor from Nvidia’s Hopper generation, which preceded Blackwell — to be sent to China.

Reuters’ piece also offers some corroboration on reporting from The Information on Tuesday, which said Chinese regulators told their tech companies they’d only be able to buy these chips “under special circumstances.”

Bloomberg had previously reported that China was planning to approve imports for commercial use “as soon as this quarter.”

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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