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Nvidia Unveils Robot Training Tech, New Gaming Chips, and Toyota Deal
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang delivers a keynote address at the Consumer Electronics Show (Artur Widak/Getty Images)
chips smushed

Nvidia slips after poor guidance from one of its “great partners” and fears of chip export curbs

SK Hynix’s quarterly results and comments from the Dutch prime minister are casting a pall over the industry.

Luke Kawa

Nvidia is falling in the premarket after one of its suppliers delivered a lackluster outlook and the Dutch prime minister cautioned that additional export restrictions on chips may be in the offing.

South Korea-based SK Hynix — one of Nvidia’s “great partners,” per CEO Jensen Huang — reported blowout fourth-quarter earnings and raised its dividend. But its guidance for the current quarter and plans to only modestly increase capital spending this year disappointed investors, contributing to a pullback in its shares along with those of the $3 trillion chip designer.

However, the parts of its business most linked to the AI boom still look to be in good shape. Management said that sales of its high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips, a key input for data-center build-outs, are expected to more than double this year after being up 4.5x in 2024. Meanwhile, the company is looking for “inventory adjustment” in the consumer market in the near term before a recovery in the second half of 2025.

SK Hynix’s outlook, along with comments from Dutch Prime Minister Dick Schoof, appear to be driving consolidation across the semi space after a hot run saw the VanEck Semiconductor ETF rise nearly 9% over the last five trading days amid the rollout of the Stargate project. Micron and Dutch-based ASML are two notable underperformers in early trading on Thursday.

Schoof warned that further export curbs to China under US President Donald Trump’s administration were likely.

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GE Vernova jumps after company secures first wind repower upgrade contract outside the US with Taiwan Power

GE Vernova is soaring as its onshore wind repower business goes international.

The company signed a deal to supply 25 repower upgrade kits to Taiwan Power Company, which will modernize its existing fleet to extend its lifespan, along with a five-year operations and maintenance services agreement.

“The milestone international contract builds on GE Vernova’s track record of repowering over 6,000 wind turbines in the United States, extending that expertise to support Taiwan’s decarbonization goals,” per the press release.

GE Vernova boasts 57,000 turbines installed worldwide. Turning past customers into a recurring revenue stream via these upgrade contracts is certainly a tidy piece of higher-margin business for the firm.

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A potential Netflix purchase of Warner Bros. streaming and studio assets is causing headaches for investors, per Morgan Stanley

On the surface, it’s easy to see why Netflix would be interested in bidding for Warner Bros. Discovery’s studio and streaming assets: the opportunity to add iconic franchises like DC Comics, Harry Potter, and “The Lord of the Rings, as well as legions of HBO original shows that have stood the test of time.

However, the introduction of all this content, much of which has traditionally generated revenue in ways that Netflix does not, might be adding too many tentacles for even the creator of Squid Games to effectively manage, per Morgan Stanley, which also notes that it’s questionable if regulators would agree to such a tie-up.

“While Netflix is the largest of the reported bidders by a factor, it may have the smallest synergy opportunity and perhaps the toughest regulatory path,” analyst Benjamin Swinburne wrote. “NFLX shares have been under pressure over concerns that a WB acquisition, if announced, would complicate the investment thesis, distract management, and/or dilute EPS.”

The other interested parties are Paramount Skydance and Comcast, per reports.

In short, a successful Netflix acquisition may see the streaming giant need to be able to raise prices and/or subscribers to make enough money from the acquired properties under its distribution umbrella as it veers away from how these assets have made bank, oftentimes through theaters and third-party distribution.

This introduces many “strategic questions,” as Swinburne wrote:

“If acquired, Netflix could choose to shift all theatrical distribution at Warner Bros. to direct release on Netflix, believing that it can generate more value by keeping these films exclusive to Netflix rather than monetizing in other windows — including theatrical. Over time, it could similarly exit the third-party licensing business and distribute all TV series produced by Warner Bros. studios on its own platform.

Such a transition would take time, as TV distribution is built on run-of-series agreements and multi-year licensing deals and talent relationships would likely require some in-production films to still see theatrical distribution. Long-term, however, this kind of business model pivot would put downward pressure on the earnings power of the acquired businesses, which would need to be recouped through faster growth at core Netflix to justify the acquisition price, if a deal were to be announced.

If Netflix were to announce a bid for WB, HBO could bring some similar strategic questions for Netflix. For example, Netflix could shut the service down and shift all content, both originals and licensed, onto Netflix. That would be walking away from nearly $2bn of adj. EBITDA, but Netflix may feel the content can be better monetized on core Netflix.”

Congressman Darrell Issa has written to the attorney general expressing antitrust concerns over the potential for Netflix to purchase Warner Bros. studio and streaming properties, writing that it “currently wields unequaled market power,” adding that these assets would “further enhance this position” to a level “traditionally viewed as presumptively problematic under antitrust law.”

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OpenAI launching Target app in ChatGPT

OpenAI has announced a partnership to integrate Target’s app into ChatGPT and enable a “curated, conversational shopping experience,” according to the press release. The sprinkle of AI fairy dust helped the retail giant to regain most of the losses it saw in premarket trading Wednesday after a disappointing earnings report earlier in the morning.

OpenAI previously announced similar partnerships with Walmart, Shopify, and Etsy.

But per a YouGov survey published this summer, Americans still have reservations about using AI to help them shop.

OpenAI previously announced similar partnerships with Walmart, Shopify, and Etsy.

But per a YouGov survey published this summer, Americans still have reservations about using AI to help them shop.

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Oklo surges after signing contract with Siemens Energy to accelerate progress of its advanced fission power plant

Oklo is soaring in early trading after the nuclear energy company signed a binding contract with Siemens Energy for steam turbine and generator systems to advance its nuclear power plant.

As part of the agreement, Siemens Energy will “begin engineering and design work to expedite procurement of long-lead components and initiate the manufacturing process for the power conversion system” for the Aurora powerhouse, a brand of advanced fission power plant under construction at the Idaho National Laboratory.

Building and getting power plants up and running is a necessary prerequisite for Oklo to shed its label as a “zero revenues” company as it aims to meet the growing need for power spurred by the AI boom.

Per the press release, “This contract with Siemens Energy for the power conversion system helps to de-risk supply chain and production timeline challenges and demonstrates concrete execution capability.”

Shares of Oklo lost nearly half their value from mid-October through mid-November as part of a broad downturn in speculative stocks.

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