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Oil and defense stocks gain after President Trump says the US plans to “run” Venezuela after Saturday’s military operation

Oil and defense stocks rose in premarket trading Monday as markets reacted to the US military’s Saturday operation in Venezuela, which resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro.

The rally in energy shares followed weekend statements from President Trump, who said the US will temporarily “run” Venezuela throughout the transition and that US oil companies are prepared to spend billions of dollars rebuilding the countrys oil infrastructure. Indeed, Venezuelas oil sector has been crippled by years of underinvestment, US sanctions, and mismanagement, despite the country holding the worlds largest proven oil reserves — estimated at ~19% of global reserves or 303 billion barrels as of 2024, according to OPECs annual statistical bulletin.

Those seen as potential beneficiaries — and among the key movers as of Monday morning — include major names such as Chevron, the only US oil producer still operating in Venezuela, as well as Exxon and ConocoPhillips. Oil field service firms like Halliburton and Schlumberger are also up more than 4.5%, as investors wager their services could potentially be central to repairing the countrys production facilities. Refineries like Valero, Phillips 66, and Marathon Petroleum gained as well, as their US Gulf Coast facilities are designed to process heavy, high-sulfur Venezuelan crude.

The jump in oil equities comes despite little change in crude prices — in fact, both Brent and US West Texas Intermediate are down about 0.4% this morning, as global supply remains ample relative to demand, and OPEC+ said yesterday it would keep its current production policy unchanged.

Retail traders are also looking for ways to profit from any oil-related volatility, with commodity tickers the top three most discussed on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum, per data from SwaggyStocks.

Global defense stocks are trading higher as well as investors price in heightened geopolitical risk, with Lockheed Martin and German manufacturer Rheinmetall AG both up nearly 3%, while defense contractors also jumped across Japan and South Korea. Palantir, which has a number of US defense contracts and recently announced a $448 million deal with the US Navy, is also making gains, up more than 4% as of 6:25 a.m. ET.

International reaction has poured in, the most notable of which came from China — the top destination for Venezuela’s crude oil exports, per CNBC — with officials in Beijing calling on the US to release Maduro and his wife “at once.”

Delcy Rodríguez is set to be sworn in as Venezuela’s new leader this morning.

The jump in oil equities comes despite little change in crude prices — in fact, both Brent and US West Texas Intermediate are down about 0.4% this morning, as global supply remains ample relative to demand, and OPEC+ said yesterday it would keep its current production policy unchanged.

Retail traders are also looking for ways to profit from any oil-related volatility, with commodity tickers the top three most discussed on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum, per data from SwaggyStocks.

Global defense stocks are trading higher as well as investors price in heightened geopolitical risk, with Lockheed Martin and German manufacturer Rheinmetall AG both up nearly 3%, while defense contractors also jumped across Japan and South Korea. Palantir, which has a number of US defense contracts and recently announced a $448 million deal with the US Navy, is also making gains, up more than 4% as of 6:25 a.m. ET.

International reaction has poured in, the most notable of which came from China — the top destination for Venezuela’s crude oil exports, per CNBC — with officials in Beijing calling on the US to release Maduro and his wife “at once.”

Delcy Rodríguez is set to be sworn in as Venezuela’s new leader this morning.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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Rocket Lab deal lifts space stocks

Shares of Rocket Lab are surging after announcing an $8 billion acquisition of satellite communications operator Iridium Communications, helping lift a broader basket of space-related stocks as investors piled back into the sector.

Planet Labs, AST SpaceMobile and Redwire all traded higher alongside Rocket Lab, extending gains in an industry that has drawn enhanced investor attention in recent months in light of the strategic importance that governments place on space and satellite communications infrastructure.

In a presentation, Rocket Lab’s management called the purchase “a shortcut” for its satellite communications business.

Under the terms of the agreement, Iridium shareholders will receive $27 in cash and Rocket Lab stock, valuing Iridium at $54 per share. Backed by a $3.6 billion bridge loan committed by Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo, Rocket Lab absorbs Iridium’s globally licensed spectrum and an active base of 2.5 million subscribers.

Rocket Lab has also remained one of the most active launch providers in the sector. The company completed its 12th launch of the year last week, maintaining one of the highest launch cadences among commercial space companies.

Today's rally helps offset a brutal stretch for the group. Rocket Lab shares had fallen over 35% over the prior month, while Planet Labs stock was down more than 40% and AST SpaceMobile stock was down around 30% over the same window.

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