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Oracle misses, stock down

Corporate software giant and aspiring AI big shot Oracle is down big Tuesday after reporting quarterly numbers last night that underwhelmed on virtually all fronts.

It missed on adjusted earnings per share (realizing $1.47 vs. expectations for $1.49) and the top line was soft at $14.13 billion compared to expectations for $14.40.

It also cut its guidance for its fiscal Q4, undershooting Wall Street expectations for earnings per share.

There was some good news in the report, as Oracle touted the fact its sales backlog — which it calls its “remaining performance obligations,” or RPO — hit $130 billion, driven by a $48 billion increase in fiscal Q3, suggesting surging demand for the company’s cloud computing services.

But in a note on Oracle’s results, Morgan Stanley analysts wrote that investor attitudes toward building big databases in the coming years to train AI have changed.

“An RPO performance like that seen in Oracle’s FY3Q25 would have likely driven a much more positive stock reaction 6 to 12 months ago, but rising concerns on the durability of training revenues (the scaling laws debate), margin impacts of a rising contribution [from Oracle’s cloud business], and a market backdrop less willing to accept those risks, leaves investors with more questions than answers.”

It also cut its guidance for its fiscal Q4, undershooting Wall Street expectations for earnings per share.

There was some good news in the report, as Oracle touted the fact its sales backlog — which it calls its “remaining performance obligations,” or RPO — hit $130 billion, driven by a $48 billion increase in fiscal Q3, suggesting surging demand for the company’s cloud computing services.

But in a note on Oracle’s results, Morgan Stanley analysts wrote that investor attitudes toward building big databases in the coming years to train AI have changed.

“An RPO performance like that seen in Oracle’s FY3Q25 would have likely driven a much more positive stock reaction 6 to 12 months ago, but rising concerns on the durability of training revenues (the scaling laws debate), margin impacts of a rising contribution [from Oracle’s cloud business], and a market backdrop less willing to accept those risks, leaves investors with more questions than answers.”

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Chipotle beats Q4 estimates, but sinks on underwhelming full-year guidance

Chipotle reported earnings results that beat Wall Street estimates, but gave underwhelming full-year guidance.

For the last three months of 2025, Chipotle reported:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.25, compared to the $0.24 analysts polled by FactSet were expecting.

  • Revenue of $3 billion, a bit higher than the $2.9 billion the Street was penciling in.

  • A comparable-store sales decline of 2.5%, less than the 2.9% decline the Street was expecting.

For the full year in 2026, Chipotle expects:

  • Comparable-store sales to be flat, compared to the 1.7% growth analysts were expecting.

Chipotle has struggled to spark sales over the past year and has previously cited strained consumers as a major headwind. The company fell more than 9% in after-hours trading shortly after the report was released.

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Take-Two raises its net bookings outlook, reaffirms November release for “Grand Theft Auto 6”

“Grand Theft Auto” and “NBA 2K” maker Take-Two reported results for its fiscal third quarter on Tuesday. Its shares climbed about 4% in after-hours trading.

The company posted net bookings, or the amount customers spent on its products, of $1.76 billion, up 28% from the same quarter last year. Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet expected $1.58 billion. In November, Take-Two guided for Q3 net bookings of between $1.55 billion and $1.6 billion.

Take-Two hiked its full-year bookings outlook to between $6.65 billion and $6.7 billion, up from a range of $6.4 billion to $6.5 billion. The new outlook compares to Wall Street’s $6.47 billion estimate. The gaming giant trimmed its full-year net loss guidance to between $369 million and $338 million (prior guidance: between $414 million and $349 million).

In its last quarter, Take-Two pushed back the planned release date of “Grand Theft Auto 6” from May 2026 to November 19, 2026. The company reaffirmed that date in Tuesday’s report. The game’s last trailer came in May 2025.

Shares of Take-Two and other major gaming companies have been sinking since late last week as investors react to early showcases of Google’s Project Genie, which allows users to generate interactive, “playable” worlds with a text or image prompt. As of Tuesday’s close, Take-Two has shed nearly $6 billion in market cap since Project Genie was released.

Analysts have called the market reaction unjustified, saying that the tool doesn’t allow for meaningful interactivity or replay-ability. According to mBank analyst Piotr Poniatowski, Project Genie is — at the moment — essentially a “one-minute-long walking simulator generator.”

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