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Palantir analyst: “We acknowledge that we were wrong”

Morgan Stanley analysts, who have been some of Wall Street’s most outspoken skeptics on the run-up in the share price of Palantir, modified some of their views in the aftermath of the company’s knockout Q4 results.

Sanjit Singh, the lead analyst on the shares, upgraded his view from “underweight” to “equal weight” — effectively a move from “sell” to “hold” — and raised his price target on the shares from $60 to $95, writing:

Our concerns on valuation at ~50x CY26 sales and on the potential for slower growth in 2025 given tougher YoY compares suggested that the risk/reward was unattractive leading to our UW rating. However, one of the key principles of growth investing in software is before looking to valuation, to first assess whether the business is getting better or worse and, if getting better, to ask how durable that improvement is going forward.”

The business, he concluded, is clearly getting better, succinctly evinced by the 36% year-on-year revenue growth the company produced in Q4.

Despite an Ultra Premium Valuation, We See Lack of Downside Catalysts Over The Next 3-4 Quarters. Given the strength of the outlook, we acknowledge that we were wrong about our core fundamental catalyst of slowing growth below the 30% level due to the tougher compares in 2025. This leaves us with valuation as the primary remaining concern.”

Of course, valuation remains a worry for many of the analysts covering the shares. But the sheer force of the company’s recent results seems to be forcing some analysts to bite the bullet and change their views.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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