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Palantir up early after Friday’s late-day plunge

Retail favorite, top S&P 500 gainer, and Trump stock par excellence Palantir is up early after a partnership deal was announced with Accenture Federal Services centering on Palantir’s growing AI software business with Uncle Sam.

Essentially, Palantir will train and certify some 1,000 Accenture employees, who will install and help implement the company’s AI software packages throughout the federal government.

The deal could offer some real benefits to the way Palantir interacts with its single largest customer: the US federal government.

That relationship appears to be expanding rapidly under the Trump administration. But the increasing linkages are raising concerns both about threats to the privacy of American citizens as well as the character of the company’s leadership and the potential influence of the Palantir’s cofounder and largest individual shareholder, Peter Thiel. The Republican megadonor and right-wing ideologue famously penned a personal statement for the Cato Institute in 2009 in which he declared, “I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible.”

Just this morning, liberal American economist Robert Reich published a piece with the not particularly subtle headline, “Peter Thiel’s Palantir poses a grave threat.” The concern is not just among the liberal left, either — bro-centric podcaster Theo Von also says of Palantir, “I’m scared of it.”

Bad press doesn’t seem to pose much of a threat to the business at the moment, but the company’s federal contracting business could come in for closer scrutiny should Democrats retake control of one or perhaps both houses of Congress in next year’s midterms.

For a Palantir executive called to testify about its operations, one could imagine the utility of being able to say the software was installed and implemented by a seasoned, sleepy federal contracting company like Accenture, a potentially comforting factor for elected officials.

At any rate, the market seems to like the deal, helping the shares claw back some of the losses seen in a waterfall finish to trading last week. With few obvious catalysts, Palantir plunged in the last 10 minutes of trading Friday, pushing its losses from about 4% to more than 9%.

The deal could offer some real benefits to the way Palantir interacts with its single largest customer: the US federal government.

That relationship appears to be expanding rapidly under the Trump administration. But the increasing linkages are raising concerns both about threats to the privacy of American citizens as well as the character of the company’s leadership and the potential influence of the Palantir’s cofounder and largest individual shareholder, Peter Thiel. The Republican megadonor and right-wing ideologue famously penned a personal statement for the Cato Institute in 2009 in which he declared, “I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible.”

Just this morning, liberal American economist Robert Reich published a piece with the not particularly subtle headline, “Peter Thiel’s Palantir poses a grave threat.” The concern is not just among the liberal left, either — bro-centric podcaster Theo Von also says of Palantir, “I’m scared of it.”

Bad press doesn’t seem to pose much of a threat to the business at the moment, but the company’s federal contracting business could come in for closer scrutiny should Democrats retake control of one or perhaps both houses of Congress in next year’s midterms.

For a Palantir executive called to testify about its operations, one could imagine the utility of being able to say the software was installed and implemented by a seasoned, sleepy federal contracting company like Accenture, a potentially comforting factor for elected officials.

At any rate, the market seems to like the deal, helping the shares claw back some of the losses seen in a waterfall finish to trading last week. With few obvious catalysts, Palantir plunged in the last 10 minutes of trading Friday, pushing its losses from about 4% to more than 9%.

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Cadence Design Systems jumps after Q4 earnings, 2026 profit outlook and sales backlog exceed estimates

Cadence Design Systems jumped in after-hours trading on Tuesday, briefly erasing the day’s big losses after posting better-than-expected Q4 earnings, a bigger pipeline of future business, and a solid profit outlook for 2026.

For Q4, the electronic design automation company reported:

  • Sales: $1.44 billion (estimate: $1.42 billion)

  • Adjusted earnings per share: $1.99 (estimate: $1.91)

  • Remaining performance obligations (RPOs) of $7.8 billion (estimate: $7.25 billion)

Management said that 2026 adjusted earnings per share would range between $8.05 to $8.15, above the consensus call for $8.03.

In recent weeks, investors have worried that Cadence’s software business, which is used by chip designers, could suffer competitive pressure from AI tools. At the very least, that RPO figure says there’s billions of dollars standing between Cadence and any more disrupted future.

Oil prices dip, sending airline stocks climbing amid US-Iran talks

An agreement between the US and Iran on a “set of guiding principles” following talks between officials from the two countries on Tuesday is sending oil prices lower. That, in turn, is boosting airline stocks.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 1.1% Tuesday afternoon. Shares of airlines, including United Airlines, American Airlines, Alaska Air, JetBlue, and Delta Air Lines were up.

Southwest Airlines, which also received an upgrade to “buy” and a price target hike to $73 from $51 by UBS on Tuesday morning, was up more than 7%.

Iran said it temporarily closed the Strait of Hormuz for live fire drills on Tuesday as the talks began. About 20% of the world’s oil passes through the key choke point waterway. Later in the day, however, Irans foreign minister expressed optimism that a deal could be reached with the US, saying a new window has opened.

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Walmart’s earnings have high bar to clear as search for safety pushes valuations into stratosphere

If recent history is any guide, Walmart’s Q4 earnings release Thursday before the bell will be appointment viewing.

This time last year, it wasn’t the DeepSeek freak-out or tariff chatter that caused the S&P 500 to definitively begin its downturn from all-time highs. It was Walmart’s underwhelming full-year guidance that catalyzed a momentum stock meltdown.

Since then, the retail behemoth has become a more important — and richly valued — part of the S&P 500, joining the trillion-dollar market cap club in the process. Investors have clamored for safety within the US stock market in 2026, and that’s meant bidding up the income streams associated with moving loads of volume at everyday low prices.

Jeff Jacobson, head of derivatives strategy at 22V Research, offers some perspective on just how well things have been going for the Bentonville-based giant:

  • Walmart versus the SPDR S&P 500 ETF is at its highest level since the aftermath of the global financial crisis;

  • The implied volatility of calls that offer exposure to additional upside in Walmart is very elevated relative to history (that is, they’re expensive);

  • This is the only time in the past five years where Walmart has traded above Wall Street’s 12-month price target.

That makes the bar to clear, regardless of how the actual numbers and guidance end up, fairly high.

In Jacobson’s view, it would be prudent for Walmart holders to try to take advantage of this elevated implied volatility by selling upside, or attempting to lock in gains after this hot run.

His recommendations:

  • Covered calls: sell April $145 calls at $3 or better.

  • Collar the position: sell WMT May $155 calls, buy May $125 put, sell May $110 put.

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