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Why pension funds’ love affair with private equity is bad for the environment

Jamie Dimon highlighted that pension funds' private market investments are hindering their ESG goals.

Jack Raines

Back in April, I highlighted some concerns I had with pension funds doubling down on private equity. My issue, at the time, was that I thought it was a risky investment. For context, funding ratios (a pension’s assets divided by its liabilities) for state and local pensions had declined from 100%+ to 78% from 2001 to 2022, despite a strong performance from the stock market over that time.

In an attempt to improve their returns, many funds turned to private equity, as it had outperformed the S&P 500 on a 20-year, 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year horizon. However, with private equity funds now distributing less to investors than they are raising through new funds, and capital being tied up in funds longer and longer, some pensions have had to sell their PE fund stakes on secondary markets at an average of 85% of their recent valuations, creating a drag on returns.

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Source: Bain Capital

However, another consequence that I hadn’t thought of was that pension funds’ love affair with private equity could be hindering their environmental activism. On October 9, Reuters reported that JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon recently called out pension fund managers for increasing their allocations to private equity while simultaneously voicing environmental and social concerns:

'You call me up and talk to us about all the issues you're interested in. But when you make huge investments in the private side, you don't get that kind of transparency,’ he told a meeting of the Council of Institutional Investors in New York on Sept 10…

There could be 15,000 publicly traded companies in the U.S. rather than around 4,500 today, Dimon suggested. Instead private markets have taken up a major share of new investments without nearly as much disclosure, liquidity or research, the JPMorgan CEO said.

‘You all are huge causes of that, because you make huge investments on the private side,’ Dimon told the audience that included representatives from Democratic-leaning state and local pension systems that have taken activist stances on environmental and social issues.

Many public pension funds, such as CalPERS, have been outspoken about their environmental activism, with the US’s largest pension plan taking an activist stance against ExxonMobil in May of this year after the company filed a lawsuit to block a vote on a climate proposal.

Unlike public companies, which are beholden to more shareholder disclosures and face increased shareholder scrutiny regarding their ESG disclosures, private companies are less transparent with their operations, making it more difficult for investors to track their environmental impacts.

Given the increased transparency and increased liquidity of public markets, it seems like it would be a win-win, from both a financial and activist perspective, to allocate more capital toward public markets, not less. But considering that CalPERS voted to increase total private market allocation from 33% to 40% in March, it looks like more of the same for the near future.

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ASML rises after Q3 bookings came in 10% ahead of estimates, offsetting a weak outlook in its China business

ASML shares are up over 4% in European trading on Wednesday after the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker reported €5.4 billion ($6.3 billion) in bookings in the third quarter, roughly ~10% ahead of the €4.9 billion expected by analysts (Bloomberg consensus estimates).

After striking a much more cautious tone in July, the company’s strong outlook for the remaining year helped reassure investors, despite realized revenues actually coming in a touch light relative to expectations in the quarter.

In Q3, the company has “seen continued positive momentum around investments in AI, and have also seen this extending to more customers,” said ASML President and CEO Christophe Fouquet in the press release. He added that “We do not expect 2026 total net sales to be below 2025.”

Europe’s largest company now expects fourth-quarter sales between €9.2 billion and €9.8 billion, with a gross margin of 51% to 53%, finishing the full year with 15% growth in total net sales. The lithography systems maker is also now targeting €60 billion of revenue in 2030 from €28.3 billion last year.

The only significant blemish in the report was China. Responsible for ~42% of its net system sales this quarter, revenue from China will “decline significantly compared to our very strong business there in 2024 and 2025,” Fouquet said.

ASML has seen its stock rally nearly 30% this year as the dominant supplier of extreme ultraviolet lithography machines needed to produce sophisticated chips.

markets

Papa John’s jumps on Apollo’s fresh take-private bid at $64 per share

Papa John’s is up more than 10% in premarket trading on Wednesday, following reports that Apollo Global Management submitted a renewed bid last week to take the chain private at $64 per share.

Before Apollo’s fresh offer was first reported by StreetInsider on Monday and confirmed by sources cited by Reuters yesterday, the stock was hovering at just under $42 per share.

Still, “The situation is fluid and no deal is guaranteed,” according to people familiar with the matter, Reuters reported.

Apollo’s latest bid is a jump from the joint offer it reportedly made with Irth Capital Management for the pizza chain in June, then said to be worth a little above $60 per share. If a deal materializes, Papa John’s would be the latest restaurant chain to be picked up by a private equity firm, following in the footsteps of Subway, Dave’s Hot Chicken, and Jersey Mike’s.

Multiple other activists are still looking to take over Papa John’s, per Reuters’ sources.

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Grindr confirms it’s in talks to go private for no less than $15 a share

Grindr said its largest shareholders have “engaged financial and legal advisers” to explore the possibility of taking the company private, according to a Tuesday regulatory filing.

The filing confirms a Monday report from Semafor and adds a tiny bit of clarity: the price for a take-private deal hasn’t yet been determined, the filing said, but it would be no less than $15 a share. Shares of the company, which had surged after the Monday report, pulled back some in Tuesday afternoon trading, to around $12.50.

James Lu and Raymond Zage, the shareholders who together own more than 60% of the gay dating app, have received a preliminary and conditional debt financing proposal of as much as $1 billion, per the filing.

While Grindr has generally performed better than its peers, it is still down about 30% for the year.

The move is being discussed, Semafor reported, as Zage and Lu had pledged nearly all of their Grindr stock for personal loans. Their lender seized some shares and sold them last week after the loans became undercollateralized following the stock’s recent slide.

US airlines take off as oil prices sink amid trade tensions between the US and China

Oil prices are falling on Tuesday as trade tensions between the US and China ripple across markets, with the International Energy Agency warning of a large supply glut that could last into next year. Crude oil contracts were trading at a five-month low on Tuesday.

But what’s bad for crude is good for airlines, which stand to benefit from lower fuel costs. Shares of US carriers including JetBlue, Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, and Southwest Airlines were all up at least 4% on Tuesday afternoon.

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