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Scholz Inaugurates Europe's First IBM Quantum Data Center
A model of IBM Quantum (Thomas Niedermueller/Getty Images)

Quantum stocks sputter after nearly doubling thanks to the US government calling the technology an R&D priority

The happiest words for an emergent technology: “I’m from the government and I’m here to help.”

Luke Kawa

Quantum computing stocks have been on an absolute tear, driven in large part by rumors of more US government support for the nascent technology that were realized in a memo earlier this week highlighting quantum technology as an R&D budgetary priority for fiscal 2027.

Emergent technologies — most notably the internet — have historically benefited from a strong government push. Even now, the President Trump-backed AI joint venture known as Stargate is playing a starring role in driving billions in market value for established tech giants like Oracle.

The quantum industry, and the investors flocking to the space, are hoping that their development is similarly turbocharged by state support.

“Agencies should deepen focused efforts, such as centers and core programs, to advance basic quantum information science, while also prioritizing R&D that expands the understanding of end user applications and supports the maturation of enabling technologies,” the memo says. “Opportunities to support pre-competitive R&D through mechanisms such as consortia and other technology transition efforts, investment in critical infrastructure and testbeds, and advanced manufacturing to enable next-generation quantum devices should also be pursued.”

The memo, which was written by Director Russell Vought and Michael Kratsios, director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy, also calls calls for agencies to “prioritize R&D for cybersecurity resilience, to ensure the Nation is prepared with post-quantum cryptography to defend against future threats.”

The news is being cheered by quantum computing execs, who would also appreciate some more urgency behind this support for their industry.

“It’s encouraging to see the Trump Administration recognize that the private sector must play a central role in applied research and commercialization for quantum technologies,” D-Wave CEO Dr. Alan Baratz told Sherwood News. “As the government explores emerging technologies, we urge policymakers to consider how quantum and AI can work together to address pressing public-sector challenges. While these priorities are reflected in the FY27 budget, there’s no need to wait.”

The handful of pure-play quantum computing companies we track closely — IonQ, D-Wave Quantum, Rigetti Computing, and Quantum Computing — have added a whopping $23 billion in market capitalization over the past month, nearly doubling in the process through Wednesday’s close. That hot run is reversing course on Thursday, however.

Other positive catalysts for the industry over this period include M&A activity, tech breakthroughs, new deals with governments and affiliated agencies, and a wave of price target hikes by Wall Street — even as those more optimistic outlooks have been outstripped by each and every pure-play quantum stock’s recent rallies.

That being said, current valuations for quantum computing firms embed a lot of optimism around the idea that a government push will soon lead to explosive revenue growth in the future. Combined, these firms have generated less than $100 million over the past four quarters. And these companies have their fair share of detractors, including former hedge fund manager and biotech founder Martin Shkreli, who has been a vocal opponent of their businesses. Short interest as a share of float is about 18%, on average, across these four stocks as of mid-September, per exchange data.

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Lightwave Logic drops following Q1 earnings

Lightwave Logic released its Q1 earnings report Wednesday postmarket. The company reported increasing shortfalls as the photonics company continues to scale. Investors reacted by pushing the stock slightly down after-hours.

Here are the numbers: 

  • Revenue of $29,000, 27% growing year-over-year.

  • Net loss of $6.3 million, widening 34% year-over-year.

The material photonics company, which designs and provides polymers to speed the flow of information from chip to chip, hit a four-year high this week and has risen nearly 400% since January. Daily options volumes on the stock hit a record high ahead of this release.

The stock has been boosted by an explosion of AI data center demand and interest in the growing industry of photonic integrated circuits for data center connectivity.

On their afternoon earnings call, Lightwave Logic CEO Yves LeMaitre reiterated that he believes the company is "positioned to help address some of the most important challenges facing AI infrastructure over the coming decade."

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USA Rare Earth gains after delivering better-than-expected quarterly results

USA Rare Earth is rising in postmarket trading after releasing better-than-expected Q1 results.

Key numbers:

  • Revenue of $5.67 million (compared to analyst estimates of $4.22 million).

  • An adjusted loss per share of $0.12 (estimate: a $0.14 loss).

Management aims to achieve 3,000 metric tons per annum of run rate for metal-making and alloy capacity by year-end, along with 600 MTPA of run rate for magnet manufacturing capacity.

The results come during a period of unease in the global rare earth market. China previously moved to drastically curb critical mineral access in October, adding five new elements to its export controls and freezing supplies to semiconductor manufacturers. These materials may be on the agenda during discussions between US and Chinese leadership this week.

In response, the US has scrambled to build domestic production buffers. In January 2026, USA Rare Earth secured a landmark $1.6 billion government-backed package from the Department of Commerce, which included a $1.3 billion senior secured loan under the CHIPS and Science Act and $277 million in direct incentives in exchange for a 10% federal equity stake.

The company also announced a definitive agreement to acquire Serra Verde Group, owner of the Pela Ema rare earth mine and processing plant in Goiás, Brazil. The $2.8 billion acquisition is expected to close in the third quarter of 2026, subject to customary closing conditions and regulatory approvals.

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Cisco surges on Q3 earnings beat and better-than-expected Q4 outlook

Cisco rose double digits after beating Q3 revenue and earnings estimates and giving optimistic projections due to increasing demand from the AI industry.

Shares were 13% higher in after-hours trading.

The tech company reported: 

  • Q3 revenue of $15.8 billion (compared to analyst estimates of $15.6 billion).

  • Q3 adjusted earnings per share of $1.06 (estimate: $1.04).

  • Q4 revenue guidance between $16.7 billion and $16.9 billion (estimate: $15.8 billion).

  • Q4 adjusted earnings guidance of $1.16 to $1.18 (estimate: $1.07).

Management upped its outlook for expected orders from hyperscalers this fiscal year to $9 billion from $5 billion.

Shares in the company have climbed more than 60% over the past calendar year and traded at record highs this week — surpassing $100 on Wednesday afternoon — fully riding the AI infrastructure wave. All these data centers need Cisco’s networking equipment as well as more from the likes of Arista Networks and HP Enterprise, both of which are being boosted postmarket from these results.

Chuck Robbins, chair and CEO of Cisco, said:

Cisco is well positioned as the critical infrastructure for the AI era, building on our technology leadership and customer trust, while innovating at the speed and scale that our dynamic world demands.

While demand for Cisco’s products has been climbing, the price of memory also remains elevated — which can create tension between booming sales and pressure on profitability.

Looking toward the full year, the company updated its outlook to expect revenue ranging between $62.8 billion and $63.0 billion, ahead of analysts’ estimates of $61.1 billion.

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