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We’ve never been richer

But we’re still quite cranky about the economy.

6/7/24 2:16PM

American households have never been wealthier.

The latest quarterly numbers from the Federal Reserve show that the net worth of the U.S. household sector hit a new high of $160.8 trillion in the first quarter, after rising $5.1 trillion during the first three months of the year. Net worth was up 8.8% compared to the first quarter of 2023, handily outpacing 3.5% rise in inflation over that period. Happy days are here again, right?

Not so much. Americans remain quite cranky about the economy, as they have generally been since Covid hit, followed by the post-pandemic inflation.

This might sound paradoxical, but it makes sense because these aggregate statistics are a bit misleading. Basically they obscure the fact that a huge share of this wealth belongs to a relatively small group of the richest households.

Last year, for example, the vast majority (75%) of the increase in US household wealth — created by the strong stock market and a return to rising home prices — went to the richest 10% of U.S. households. (The Fed’s distributional numbers on household wealth aren’t yet out for the first quarter.)

Of course, this is kind of always how it works. Since the richest households own an overwhelming share of stock holdings, they benefit the most when the market moves up. They also tend to own homes, unlike less affluent Americans, meaning they benefit from rising real estate values. Of course, they also stand to lose the most if those prices fall.

So, don’t expect parades in the streets based on the fact that we’re hitting never before seen levels of wealth.

J. Edward Moreno

Lilly Endowment unloads about $600 million in Eli Lilly stock during early October

The nonprofit still owns about 10% of the company, a stake now worth about $80.9 billion.

Pharmaceutical Company Eli Lilly Headquarters

Max Knoblauch4h

Global automakers sink as Trump implies the trade war is heating back up

Shares of several major automakers with large footprints in China sank on Friday following President Trump’s threats to massively increase tariffs on goods from China in response to what he called “hostile” export controls.

Chinese EV titans like BYD, Nio, and XPeng plunged after Trump’s Truth Social post, along with automakers like Tesla and Stellantis that heavily rely on revenue from sales in the country.

EV makers like Rivian and Lucid, which source raw materials and or batteries from China, were also down following the post.

The move comes at a rocky time for US automakers, with the end of the EV tax credit expected to heavily ding sales for the rest of the year.

Matt Phillips4h

Rare earth stocks spike after Trump says China should not be allowed to hold the world “captive” on rare earths

Shares of rare earth metal producers soared Friday after the president published a Truth Social statement decrying what he describes as Chinese efforts to control the pipeline of the sought-after minerals.

Companies such as MP Materials — which the US government recently took a stake in — USA Rare Earth, and Critical Metals jumped, suggesting investor bets that the the administration could play a bigger role in ensuring US access to rare earths.

Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump)

Luke Kawa4h

US stocks sink after Trump says he’s considering a “massive increase” of tariffs on Chinese imports

More tariffs might be back on the menu.

US stocks reversed lower after US President Donald Trump said in a Truth Social post that he is considering a “massive increase” on tariffs of Chinese imports.

Trump said he’s mulling higher levies as well as “many other countermeasures” because of “the hostile ‘order’ that they have just put out” restricting the export of rare earth metals. He also seemingly canceled his upcoming meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping in South Korea in two weeks, saying “now there seems to be no reason to do so.”

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF, Invesco QQQ Trust, and iShares Russell 2000 ETF all gave up early gains to fall more than 1%. A basket of stocks compiled by Goldman Sachs of US companies that have significant revenue exposure to China is off more than 2%.

Wafer fab equipment stocks Lam Research, Applied Materials, and KLA Corp, which all count China as their top market, are underperforming, as is iPhone seller Apple.

Chip stocks Advanced Micro Devices, Intel, Broadcom, and Nvidia are all getting hit on the news, as rare earths are needed components for semiconductor production. For Tesla, it’s a similar story given its footprint in China and the importance of rare earths for EVs.

There’s also a lot of plain old dumping of recent winners.

Super Micro Computer, Coinbase, and Robinhood Markets are among the biggest laggards since Trump’s post as investors cut risk.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

The rare earth curbs are far from the only recent example of China stepping up its defense of domestic industry and resources. Qualcomm is the subject of an antitrust investigation, stringent checks of semiconductor shipments are reportedly in place as officials look to keep Nvidia’s chips from entering the country, and separate reporting indicates that US ships will be charged an escalating fee for docking at Chinese ports.

Luke Kawa5h

Oklo surges amid heavy activity in call options expiring today

The most valuable pre-revenues company listed in the US, nuclear energy company Oklo, is up double digits on Friday amid heavy call options demand.

Call volumes of 74,230 have already outstripped the 10-day average for a full session an hour into the trading day, and the top three contracts traded are all in options that expire today with strike prices of $150, $145, and $160.

The first two contracts have jumped from out of the money to in the money amid the surge. Volumes transacted on the “ask” side (the lowest price a seller is willing to accept) are running more than 2x higher than on the “bid” side (the highest price a buyer is willing to pay), indicating motivated buyers in the C$150s, the most active contract.

Overall, options activity is firmly tilted to the bull side, with more than two calls trading for every put:

Nuclear energy companies have emerged as retail trader favorites as the power-hungry AI boom continues.

“A new $350 billion US nuclear build cycle could raise capacity 60% by 2050, sparking a renaissance to meet surging energy demand from AI and data centers,” wrote Bloomberg Intelligence senior analysts Rob Barnett and Scott Levine. “Energized by bipartisan policy support, the nuclear industry is positioned as a critical solution for securing and decarbonizing America’s power grid for the AI era.”