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Luke Kawa3/6/25

Retail traders are doubling and tripling down on Tesla and Nvidia

Tesla’s sales are falling all over the world. The stock is following suit, recently breaking down below its 200-day moving average for the first time since August.

Nvidia has traded the same way, if not worse, even though its fundamentals haven’t shown anywhere near as much deterioration.

Yet, retail traders remain undaunted.

“Retail investors returned as aggressive buyers on Wednesday, breaking the $2 billion threshold in the first half of the day (the 2nd time this year), and ending the day at $3.7 billion inflows (+7z),” JPMorgan strategists led by Bram Kaplan wrote. “We observed their allocation into ETFs/single names are at 30/70% during a typical heavy buying day. Among single names, NVDA and TSLA led the inflows.”

That +7z means net flows from retail traders were a whopping seven standard deviations above their 12-month average.

“Among single names, their interest in short-dated TSLA calls has increased, consistent with their directional tilt in the cash market,” they added.

To adapt Marilyn Monroe, I guess if you don’t love me below my 200-day moving average, you don’t deserve me at my 52-week high.

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RadNet tumbles after Hunterbrook Media calls it “the AI story that doesn’t add up” and investment arm announces short position

In investigating the company, “what emerged was a gap between story and substance: a Digital Health business that generates much of its growth by invoicing a different RadNet business line; a same-center sales metric seemingly juiced by undisclosed consolidations; financial disclosures that don’t add up; and insiders using the stock run-up to cash out,” wrote Hunterbrook authors led by Bethany McLean.

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Frontier sinks as longtime CEO, who regularly feuded with United, suddenly departs

Shares of ultra-budget airline Frontier are down more than 10% on Tuesday morning following the carrier’s announcement that it would replace its longtime CEO, Barry Biffle. Frontier President James Dempsey will fill in as interim CEO.

Biffle, who has been Frontier’s CEO since early 2016, will remain at the airline in an “advisory capacity” until December 31. The move is “not the result of any disagreement with the Company on any matter relating to the Company’s operations, policies or practices,” per a company filing.

Under Biffle, Frontier attempted to acquire rival Spirit twice since 2022 — both unsuccessful. Last week, the carrier’s shares dropped after Spirit’s pilots ratified a lower-paying contract in an effort to keep it afloat through its latest bankruptcy.

Biffle was a staunch defender of the ultra-budget model, which has been falling out of fashion in the US market in recent years. He’s regularly feuded with United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby over comments about budget airlines.

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Nuclear power startup Oklo clears another regulatory hurdle

Oklo said the Department of Energy’s Idaho office approved a safety plan for its proposed nuclear fuel production plant at the Idaho National Laboratory, a center of nuclear research and testing in the US.

The zero-revenue designer of smaller nuclear power plants was the first company to receive approval under the Department of Energy’s new Fuel Line Pilot Program, established by executive order from President Trump in May. The program is designed to speed up the approval process for domestic production of nuclear fuel, helping to reduce reliance on foreign sources of raw materials needed for nuclear power. The approval is “effectively granting permission to start facility assembly,” Oklo said in a statement.

Prior to the new fuel line program, the Department of Energy didn’t typically regulate the plans for private sector production of nuclear fuel, which was left to the Nuclear Regulatory Council, an independent regulator with a mandate to protect public health and safety.

Government approvals have been an important source of credibility for Oklo, whose shares have soared this year by almost 300% despite having no profits or sales.

The stock was recently down 1.7%.

Those approvals have drawn scrutiny, however, to the close connections between the company and the Trump administration, including the fact that the current secretary of energy, Chris Wright, served on the board of Oklo until he took office in February.

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Rezolve Ai soars after management boosts 2025 annual recurring revenue guidance by 33%

It’s been a rocky stretch for the AI trade as of late — but not so bad that surprisingly strong results can’t send a smaller company levered to the theme to the moon.

Shares of Rezolve Ai are surging, up more than 20% in early trading after a boost to its 2025 guidance.

Management said that December would be a record month for sales, which are poised to exceed $17 million, and that the company is on track to exit 2025 with annual recurring revenues of $200 million. That’s 33% above its previous guidance for a year-end exit rate of $150 million issued at the start of October. The company also reaffirmed its 2026 guidance that it would exit next year with $500 million in ARR.

Rezolve Ai specializes in agentic commerce tools and boasts partnerships with Microsoft and Google.

Reading in between the lines, management also clearly thinks its stock price should be higher based on this operational performance. Per the press release:

“Rezolve Ai currently has a market capitalization of under $1 billion. While the Company does not comment on valuation, management believes that the scale of its recurring revenue base, improving operating leverage, and visibility into future growth provide investors with a clearer framework for evaluating the Company’s long-term trajectory.”

This bullishness is also present in the options market, where over 23,000 calls have traded a little more than half an hour into the session versus a 20-day average of 6,373.

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