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Robinhood event this week a “key catalyst,” bullish analyst says

Wednesday meeting may “add new vectors for growth and instill greater investor confidence that they are a real company.”

Matt Phillips

Robinhood shares are on track for their fourth consecutive gain Monday, as the free brokerage app claws back ground lost in the recent market correction. Robinhood plunged 45% between its February 17 peak of more than $65 a share and March 10.

(Disclosure: Sherwood Media is an editorially independent subsidiary of Robinhood Markets Inc. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

The jump comes amid a broad rally in shares sporting high price-to-earnings ratios — Tesla and Palantir are the two top S&P 500 performers in the early going on Monday — that reflects a sudden revival of a speculative itch among traders.

The animal spirits were stoked by the fact that the Trump administration seems to be scaling back threatened tariffs after acknowledging weaker expectations for the economy and the ugly market sell-off.

The bullish backdrop is good news for brokerage houses broadly, with others like Charles Schwab and Interactive Brokers enjoying a healthy rise Monday.

The additional oomph for Robinhood may be tied to a new note from Morgan Stanley’s analysts following the stock, who happen to be some of the most bullish on the Street. Their $90 price target, far above the average consensus of about $68, implies a gain of nearly 90% for the shares.

In a note published Monday, lead analyst Michael J. Cyprys wrote that Robinhood’s corporate event on Wednesday will spotlight the company’s plans to diversify its business to include more wealth management, credit, and banking, and called the San Francisco meeting a “a key catalyst event for the stock.” He wrote:

“We expect mgmt to outline their vision for the future of Robinhood Gold, their paid subscription service offering premium services. We also expect new product launches and announcements that will add new vectors for growth and instill greater investor confidence that they are a real company; namely a mobile-first technology software company operating in financial services that’s quickly evolving to address broader customer needs beyond free stock trading, that will bolster and diversify the revenue stream.”

Morgan Stanley reiterated its $90 target for the shares, which analysts slapped on the stock on February 13 before the stock peaked and turned sharply lower.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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Sherwood Media, LLC and Chartr Limited produce fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and are fully owned subsidiaries of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Money, LLC, Robinhood U.K. Ltd, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, Robinhood Gold, LLC, Robinhood Asset Management, LLC, Robinhood Credit, Inc., Robinhood Ventures DE, LLC and, where applicable, its managed investment vehicles.