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Robinhood hits new highs, valuations be damned

Robinhood Markets shares hit new all-time highs of over $101 Friday morning amid an upsurge in crypto prices.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

The company has been on a tear, rising more than 170% since the start of the year and more than 350% over the last 12 months. It’s been lifted, in part, by a series of federal government steps to link the world of crypto currencies more closely to the regulated financial system, opening up a range of opportunities for crypto-linked operations, analysts have said. The resilience of retail trading — even after the market almost plunged into a bear market in April — has also been a boon to the company’s business.

But the rapid rise has also pushed traditional metrics investors use to determine whether they’re paying too much for shares to quite high levels.

Robinhood’s price-to-sales ratio — based on expectations for sales over the next 12 months — is nearly 22x, and its price-to-earnings multiple is nearly 70x. (The same figures for the Nasdaq Composite are 4.5x and 28x, respectively.)

In a recent Lex column, linked above, scribes from the Financial Times commented that to justify the current valuation, “investors are making some heroic assumptions” about the company’s ability to continue to deliver rapid growth. They wrote:

“Nothing in markets ever moves in a straight line, be that trading activity or prices. There’s a lot happening that makes Robinhood worth watching but its share price at these levels involves using a lot of imagination.”

The company has been on a tear, rising more than 170% since the start of the year and more than 350% over the last 12 months. It’s been lifted, in part, by a series of federal government steps to link the world of crypto currencies more closely to the regulated financial system, opening up a range of opportunities for crypto-linked operations, analysts have said. The resilience of retail trading — even after the market almost plunged into a bear market in April — has also been a boon to the company’s business.

But the rapid rise has also pushed traditional metrics investors use to determine whether they’re paying too much for shares to quite high levels.

Robinhood’s price-to-sales ratio — based on expectations for sales over the next 12 months — is nearly 22x, and its price-to-earnings multiple is nearly 70x. (The same figures for the Nasdaq Composite are 4.5x and 28x, respectively.)

In a recent Lex column, linked above, scribes from the Financial Times commented that to justify the current valuation, “investors are making some heroic assumptions” about the company’s ability to continue to deliver rapid growth. They wrote:

“Nothing in markets ever moves in a straight line, be that trading activity or prices. There’s a lot happening that makes Robinhood worth watching but its share price at these levels involves using a lot of imagination.”

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Hardware stocks jump thanks to server demand and record Lenovo revenue

Server stocks are rallying as Dell, Super Micro Computer, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise ride the momentum of Hong Kong-based Lenovo. The PC makers stock rose 19% on Friday, hitting an all-time high, on record Q4 earnings.

Powering the positive earnings report was the companys AI-related revenue, which grew 84% in the fourth quarter and now makes up over a third of total revenue. Investors seem to think the increased demand for servers could have trickle-down effects for other companies.

The companys results and commentary reinforced the outlook for strong AI-infrastructure demand while indicating resilient broader traditional server and storage spending, wrote Woo Jin Ho, a senior technology analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence. Lenovos $21 billion AI-server pipeline and remarks that demand is outpacing supply support Dells AI-demand momentum and point to robust orders.

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Dell will report first-quarter earnings on Thursday, May 28.

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Ross Stores surges as Q1 results beat expectations, full-year guidance raised

Ross shares are rising after the company delivered strong Q1 results, with sales topping Wall Street’s projections.

The stock soared 6.3% just after the open.

Key numbers:

  • Earnings per share of $2.02 vs. $1.47 year over year (estimate: $1.72).

  • Sales of $6.01 billion, up 21% year over year (estimate: $5.61 billion).

  • Comparable sales growth of 17% (estimate: 8.58%).

CEO Jim Conroy attributed the results to better traffic in stores. “Customer traffic was the primary driver of the strong sales trend as compelling merchandise assortments, higher customer acquisition and engagement from our ongoing marketing initiatives, and an improved in‑store experience are resonating with shoppers.”

The company also noted that transaction volume grew across all key demographics, including “income levels, ethnicities, and age groups, including younger customers.” Sales were also likely buoyed by standard seasonal tailwinds, including consumer spending from tax refunds.

Backed by the strong quarter, the company lifted its full-year targets. Ross now projects same-store sales growth of 6% to 7%, up from the prior forecast of 3% to 4%, topping Wall Street’s estimate of 4.64%. It boosted its annual EPS guidance to a range of $7.50 to $7.74, versus the prior outlook of $7.02 to $7.36.

Ross Stores has been one of the retail sector’s standout performers this year, rising around 20% year to date as of Thursday’s close.

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Sherwood Media, LLC and Chartr Limited produce fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and are fully owned subsidiaries of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Money, LLC, Robinhood U.K. Ltd, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, Robinhood Gold, LLC, Robinhood Asset Management, LLC, Robinhood Credit, Inc., Robinhood Ventures DE, LLC and, where applicable, its managed investment vehicles.