Markets
markets

Robinhood hits new highs, valuations be damned

Robinhood Markets shares hit new all-time highs of over $101 Friday morning amid an upsurge in crypto prices.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

The company has been on a tear, rising more than 170% since the start of the year and more than 350% over the last 12 months. It’s been lifted, in part, by a series of federal government steps to link the world of crypto currencies more closely to the regulated financial system, opening up a range of opportunities for crypto-linked operations, analysts have said. The resilience of retail trading — even after the market almost plunged into a bear market in April — has also been a boon to the company’s business.

But the rapid rise has also pushed traditional metrics investors use to determine whether they’re paying too much for shares to quite high levels.

Robinhood’s price-to-sales ratio — based on expectations for sales over the next 12 months — is nearly 22x, and its price-to-earnings multiple is nearly 70x. (The same figures for the Nasdaq Composite are 4.5x and 28x, respectively.)

In a recent Lex column, linked above, scribes from the Financial Times commented that to justify the current valuation, “investors are making some heroic assumptions” about the company’s ability to continue to deliver rapid growth. They wrote:

“Nothing in markets ever moves in a straight line, be that trading activity or prices. There’s a lot happening that makes Robinhood worth watching but its share price at these levels involves using a lot of imagination.”

The company has been on a tear, rising more than 170% since the start of the year and more than 350% over the last 12 months. It’s been lifted, in part, by a series of federal government steps to link the world of crypto currencies more closely to the regulated financial system, opening up a range of opportunities for crypto-linked operations, analysts have said. The resilience of retail trading — even after the market almost plunged into a bear market in April — has also been a boon to the company’s business.

But the rapid rise has also pushed traditional metrics investors use to determine whether they’re paying too much for shares to quite high levels.

Robinhood’s price-to-sales ratio — based on expectations for sales over the next 12 months — is nearly 22x, and its price-to-earnings multiple is nearly 70x. (The same figures for the Nasdaq Composite are 4.5x and 28x, respectively.)

In a recent Lex column, linked above, scribes from the Financial Times commented that to justify the current valuation, “investors are making some heroic assumptions” about the company’s ability to continue to deliver rapid growth. They wrote:

“Nothing in markets ever moves in a straight line, be that trading activity or prices. There’s a lot happening that makes Robinhood worth watching but its share price at these levels involves using a lot of imagination.”

More Markets

See all Markets
markets

SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

markets

Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC and Chartr Limited produce fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and are fully owned subsidiaries of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Money, LLC, Robinhood U.K. Ltd, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, Robinhood Gold, LLC, Robinhood Asset Management, LLC, Robinhood Credit, Inc., Robinhood Ventures DE, LLC and, where applicable, its managed investment vehicles.