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Wall Street reacts to Robinhood’s Q2 numbers
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Robinhood’s Q2: Here’s what Wall Street thinks

Analysts revised estimates higher following Robinhood’s Q2 results, but there’s still that question of valuation.

Matt Phillips

Robinhood Markets shares fluctuated in early trading Thursday, a day after the company posted Q2 earnings that, in the aggregate, seemed to please Wall Street. Analysts subsequently revised their expectations for full-year 2025 earnings and sales higher, typically a sign the numbers were well received.

(Robinhood Markets, Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company.)

Here’s some of the chatter from scribes on the Street...

Barclays (Rating: “Overweight”; Price target: $120):

“While momentum appeared to decelerate in Q2 (softer deposits every month sequentially; worsening churn and slowing new funded accounts), July saw more of a pick up in a number of KPIs including deposits, margin balances, and trading volumes. With the stock trading around all time highs, it is not yet clear if the Q2 beat (some of which, like Securities lending and the options take rate, may not recur) was enough, but we are encouraged by the ongoing momentum in the US brokerage business in particular.”

Mizuho (Rating: “Outperform”; Price target: $120):

“We think Robinhood will aim to leverage its already massive (and growing) user base, simple interface, and ecosystem to cross-sell lending products, which will continue to push the company closer to its 10-year vision of being the #1 global financial ecosystem.”

Citi (Rating: “Neutral/High Risk”; Price target: $120):

“While HOOD continues to see solid momentum across the platform, we believe the stock is pricing in much of the growth potential in our view (currently trading at 59x/48x our 2026/2027 EPS estimates). Although we see a number of long-term growth opportunities and an improving fundamental outlook, we prefer to wait for a more reasonable entry point at present.”

Morgan Stanley (Rating: “Equal-weight”; Price target: $110):

“We remain convicted in HOOD’s long-term growth on the back of strong 2Q earnings where mgmt continues to demonstrate strong account growth and organic asset growth, illustrating that the value prop of the HOOD ecosystem continues to resonate.”

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Rani Molla

Amazon just matched its longest losing streak in 20 years

Amazon shares marked their ninth straight day of losses — the company’s longest losing streak since 2006.

The milestone follows a fourth-quarter earnings miss, downbeat guidance, and a plan to spend a whopping $200 billion on capital expenditure this year.

Amazon is hoping that by spending big on AI infrastructure now, it will reap rewards from the technology later. Investors aren’t so sure.

Interestingly enough, the current situation sounds quite similar to the one Amazon was in two decades ago. Back then, Amazon endured a similar stretch as it was upping spending on tech and an online toy store — moves that would eat into its profits.

At the time, an asset manager told Bloomberg, “They want to capture as many eyeballs as they can on the Internet and be the go-to place on the Internet, but thats costing them earnings, at least right now.”

Sound familiar? In case you’re wondering, Amazon stock has risen 14,849% since that quote.

markets

Rivian is on pace for its best-ever trading day as analysts dig into Q4 results

EV maker Rivian is on track to log its best trading day on record Friday, as investors pour in following its fourth-quarter earnings report and 2026 guidance and analysts issue bullish appraisals of the shares.

Rivian shares are up more than 30% on Friday afternoon, easily surpassing its previous best trading day, which came in January 2025.

“We continue to remain confident in the long-term vision that RIVN is amid a massive transformation,” Wedbush Securities’ Dan Ives wrote in a fresh note on Friday. The firm maintained its $25 price target and “outperform” outlook and said that the launch of Rivian’s upcoming lower-cost SUV, the R2, is “crucial.”

Rivian received upgrades from Deutsche Bank (to “buy” from “hold”) and UBS (to “neutral” from “sell”) following its results.

On its Thursday earnings call, Rivian said it expects its delivery volume of its existing vehicle lineup to land “roughly in line with... 2025 total volumes.” Given the automaker’s full-year delivery guidance, that statement implies 2026 R2 deliveries to land between 20,000 and 25,000 units.

Self-driving features also appear to be boosting investor optimism. On Thursday’s earnings call, CEO RJ Scaringe said the company would enable “point-to-point” driving in its vehicles later this year. In a podcast interview released Thursday, Scaringe predicted that by 2030, it will be “inconceivable to buy a car and not expect it to drive itself.” Rivian is targeting “a little sooner than that,” he added.

Rivian shares are also likely benefiting from something of a snapback: before the release of its Q4 results, Rivian shares had been hammered recently, down 38% since their recent high in December.

“We continue to remain confident in the long-term vision that RIVN is amid a massive transformation,” Wedbush Securities’ Dan Ives wrote in a fresh note on Friday. The firm maintained its $25 price target and “outperform” outlook and said that the launch of Rivian’s upcoming lower-cost SUV, the R2, is “crucial.”

Rivian received upgrades from Deutsche Bank (to “buy” from “hold”) and UBS (to “neutral” from “sell”) following its results.

On its Thursday earnings call, Rivian said it expects its delivery volume of its existing vehicle lineup to land “roughly in line with... 2025 total volumes.” Given the automaker’s full-year delivery guidance, that statement implies 2026 R2 deliveries to land between 20,000 and 25,000 units.

Self-driving features also appear to be boosting investor optimism. On Thursday’s earnings call, CEO RJ Scaringe said the company would enable “point-to-point” driving in its vehicles later this year. In a podcast interview released Thursday, Scaringe predicted that by 2030, it will be “inconceivable to buy a car and not expect it to drive itself.” Rivian is targeting “a little sooner than that,” he added.

Rivian shares are also likely benefiting from something of a snapback: before the release of its Q4 results, Rivian shares had been hammered recently, down 38% since their recent high in December.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.