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Roku’s “outstanding” quarter, aided by strong political ad spending, sends shares soaring

Roku’s stock surged 14% in after-hours trading Thursday, after the streaming giant posted a smaller-than-expected Q4 loss of $0.24 per share, beating analysts’ expected $0.41 loss. Revenue rose 22% year over year to $1.2 billion, ahead of Wall Street’s $1.15 billion estimate, per Barron’s.

The earnings beat was driven by Roku’s main revenue generator, its platform business — consisting of ad sales and streaming subscriptions — which crossed the $1 billion mark for the first time in Q4, up 25% from the previous year.

The company had an “outstanding advertising quarter,” according to CEO Anthony Wood, fueled by strong political ad spending during the election cycle as well as expanding partnerships with small and midsize businesses. In Q4, Roku’s ad business outperformed both the overall ad market and the OTT ad market in the US, the company said.

Streaming subscription revenue also climbed, with Roku reaching nearly 90 million global households and approximately 145 million people in the US, which represents more than half of the nation’s broadband households.

Once a pandemic darling as people flocked to its streaming services during lockdowns, Roku has reported quarterly losses since 2022 — yet in yesterday’s letter to shareholders, the company said it expects to deliver positive operating income for 2026.

The earnings beat was driven by Roku’s main revenue generator, its platform business — consisting of ad sales and streaming subscriptions — which crossed the $1 billion mark for the first time in Q4, up 25% from the previous year.

The company had an “outstanding advertising quarter,” according to CEO Anthony Wood, fueled by strong political ad spending during the election cycle as well as expanding partnerships with small and midsize businesses. In Q4, Roku’s ad business outperformed both the overall ad market and the OTT ad market in the US, the company said.

Streaming subscription revenue also climbed, with Roku reaching nearly 90 million global households and approximately 145 million people in the US, which represents more than half of the nation’s broadband households.

Once a pandemic darling as people flocked to its streaming services during lockdowns, Roku has reported quarterly losses since 2022 — yet in yesterday’s letter to shareholders, the company said it expects to deliver positive operating income for 2026.

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Sandisk and Micron slip as Samsung rushes new product into production

Sandisk and Micron, which have boomed along with prices for the memory chips needed for the AI data center build-out, are limping behind the broader market Monday after a weekend report that South Korean chip giant Samsung is beginning “mass production” of its latest memory product, HBM4, slightly earlier than expected.

US memory chip maker Micron also makes HBM (high-bandwidth memory), which is essentially a large memory product designed for AI applications.

Sandisk doesn’t make HBM. But it is developing a kind of high-bandwidth flash NAND memory product that is intended to function as an HBM option for AI data centers.

More broadly, signs that Asian production giants are responding to high prices by ramping up supply means that the nosebleed pricing of memory chips that quintupled Sandisk’s profit over the last year might not last forever.

US memory chip maker Micron also makes HBM (high-bandwidth memory), which is essentially a large memory product designed for AI applications.

Sandisk doesn’t make HBM. But it is developing a kind of high-bandwidth flash NAND memory product that is intended to function as an HBM option for AI data centers.

More broadly, signs that Asian production giants are responding to high prices by ramping up supply means that the nosebleed pricing of memory chips that quintupled Sandisk’s profit over the last year might not last forever.

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Oracle rises as DA Davidson gives it a “buy” rating because of OpenAI positivity

Oracle rose after receiving an upgrade to start the week. Analysts at DA Davidson bumped up their view on the stock from “neutral” to “buy” and kept their $180 price target on the shares. That’s about 27% higher than Friday’s close.

Their shift isn’t so much about Oracle but about OpenAI, which Davidson folks now think is increasingly likely to be able to make good on billions of dollars’ worth of planned spending on computing power at Oracle and other hyperscalers. They wrote:

We are now more positive on OpenAI, based on changes in strategy, new frontier models, the pressure on Google’s competitors from its recent ascent, and progress on its fundraising efforts. Most importantly, we believe OpenAI already has as much as $40B of cash on hand and may be raising as much as another $100B by the end of the quarter, which should help pay for the data centers Oracle is building for OpenAI. Since the market is currently assigning the OpenAI relationship a negative value, we believe the fundraise will serve as a catalyst for outperformance.

For OpenAI’s part, CEO Sam Altman just told employees that the company was “back to exceeding 10% monthly growth,” according to CNBC reporting.

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Roblox rises following upgrade and price target hike from Roth Capital as growth in older players boosts optimism

Shares of Roblox are up in early trading on Monday following a price target hike and an upgrade from “neutral” to “buy” from Roth Capital.

Roth bumped its price target up from $78 to $84, with analyst Eric Handler citing the company’s “sustainable virtuous circle where continuously improving creator/development tools are producing higher quality games, which enhances the user experience, and drives higher engagement.”

Handler also noted Roblox’s success in growing its 18-plus player base, which increased 50% last year and, per Roth, “monetized 40% higher than under-18-users.”

The platform surged after reporting its fourth-quarter earnings last week, with stronger-than-expected full-year bookings guidance. Still, the stock remains below levels in January, before the debut of Google’s AI interactive worlds generator, Project Genie.

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