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Luke Kawa

Investors stampede into small caps, flows hit 2024 peak

The sharp rotation in the US stock market last week included a massive dash into small-cap stocks.

Investors are betting that softer US inflation will pave the way for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and disproportionately benefit smaller firms, which tend to have higher shares of floating rate debt and are more sensitive to the ebbs and flows of the economic cycle.

Flows into the iShares Russell 2000 exchange traded fund surged to about $3.7 billion for the five days ending Friday, the product’s highest one-week net inflow of 2024.

On top of that, 2.1 million call options on IWM changed hands, the highest one-day volume for bullish derivative bets on the fund since 2009. 

“Greater confidence around Fed cuts coming soon clearly helps to make the case for moving back into small caps, and we confess that we exited last week more comfortable nibbling on small caps,” writes Lori Calvasina, head of global equity strategy research at RBC Capital Markets.

Last Thursday, the equity market clearly bore the hallmark of a fierce rotation (i.e., buying some segments of the market while selling others). But across the ETF space, the inflow story was more uniform — everything from broad S&P 500 funds, equal weight, the Nasdaq 100, and semiconductors received relatively robust net flows.

“Greater confidence around Fed cuts coming soon clearly helps to make the case for moving back into small caps, and we confess that we exited last week more comfortable nibbling on small caps,” writes Lori Calvasina, head of global equity strategy research at RBC Capital Markets.

Last Thursday, the equity market clearly bore the hallmark of a fierce rotation (i.e., buying some segments of the market while selling others). But across the ETF space, the inflow story was more uniform — everything from broad S&P 500 funds, equal weight, the Nasdaq 100, and semiconductors received relatively robust net flows.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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