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Luke Kawa

Investors stampede into small caps, flows hit 2024 peak

The sharp rotation in the US stock market last week included a massive dash into small-cap stocks.

Investors are betting that softer US inflation will pave the way for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and disproportionately benefit smaller firms, which tend to have higher shares of floating rate debt and are more sensitive to the ebbs and flows of the economic cycle.

Flows into the iShares Russell 2000 exchange traded fund surged to about $3.7 billion for the five days ending Friday, the product’s highest one-week net inflow of 2024.

On top of that, 2.1 million call options on IWM changed hands, the highest one-day volume for bullish derivative bets on the fund since 2009. 

“Greater confidence around Fed cuts coming soon clearly helps to make the case for moving back into small caps, and we confess that we exited last week more comfortable nibbling on small caps,” writes Lori Calvasina, head of global equity strategy research at RBC Capital Markets.

Last Thursday, the equity market clearly bore the hallmark of a fierce rotation (i.e., buying some segments of the market while selling others). But across the ETF space, the inflow story was more uniform — everything from broad S&P 500 funds, equal weight, the Nasdaq 100, and semiconductors received relatively robust net flows.

“Greater confidence around Fed cuts coming soon clearly helps to make the case for moving back into small caps, and we confess that we exited last week more comfortable nibbling on small caps,” writes Lori Calvasina, head of global equity strategy research at RBC Capital Markets.

Last Thursday, the equity market clearly bore the hallmark of a fierce rotation (i.e., buying some segments of the market while selling others). But across the ETF space, the inflow story was more uniform — everything from broad S&P 500 funds, equal weight, the Nasdaq 100, and semiconductors received relatively robust net flows.

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WSJ reports GameStop is preparing an offer for eBay and has quietly been building a stake in the company

GameStop is preparing an offer for eBay and has been quietly building a stake in the company, according to a report from The Wall Street Journal, a move it calls “part of CEO Ryan Cohen’s audacious plan to turn the trailer into a $100 billion-plus juggernaut.”

From WSJ:

GameStop, which has a market value of around $12 billion, has been quietly building a stake in eBay’s shares ahead of a potential offer, the people said. EBay is several times GameStop’s size, with a market value of around $46 billion. 

GameStop could submit an offer for eBay as soon as later this month, the people said. 

If eBay isn’t receptive, Cohen could decide to take the offer directly to eBay’s shareholders, one of the people added. Details of the potential offer for eBay couldn’t be learned. 

Shares of GameStop rose 7.4% after hours following the report, while eBay soared 12%. 

GameStop, which has a market value of around $12 billion, has been quietly building a stake in eBay’s shares ahead of a potential offer, the people said. EBay is several times GameStop’s size, with a market value of around $46 billion. 

GameStop could submit an offer for eBay as soon as later this month, the people said. 

If eBay isn’t receptive, Cohen could decide to take the offer directly to eBay’s shareholders, one of the people added. Details of the potential offer for eBay couldn’t be learned. 

Shares of GameStop rose 7.4% after hours following the report, while eBay soared 12%. 

US airlines pop on report Spirit preparing to shut down as government rescue deal fails to gain support

US airlines are spiking on Friday following a Wall Street Journal report that low-budget carrier Spirit Airlines is preparing to shut down. According to CBS News, the airline could cease operations as early as Saturday, barring an intervention.

In late April, President Trump said he would “love somebody to buy Spirit.” The administration weighed a $500 million rescue package, though it received significant blowback from members of Congress and ultimately didn’t receive support from Spirit’s creditors.

On Friday, Trump told reporters that the administration has given Spirit a “final proposal.”

Shares of Spirit’s rivals surged on the report, with budget carriers like Frontier Airlines and JetBlue climbing by double digits. The big four — Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, American Airlines, and Southwest Airlines — rose by low single digits. Alaska Air and Allegiant also saw a bump.

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Estée Lauder gets a glow-up after earnings beat, guidance hike

Estée Lauder shares are soaring after the beauty giant released Q3 earnings results that topped expectations and raised its full-year outlook, while also expanding its restructuring plan.

The key numbers:

  • Revenue of $3.71 billion (compared to analysts’ estimate of $3.69 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.91 (estimate: $0.65).

Estée Lauder also lifted its full-year earnings outlook to a range of $2.35 to $2.45 per share, up from $2.05 to $2.25 previously.

The bottom line is getting flattered by job cuts, with management increasing that target to as many as 10,000 roles, up from a prior range of 5,800 to 7,000, as part of a broader effort to streamline operations and shift toward faster-growing sales channels.

The rally comes after a tough stretch for the stock, which is down more than 20% year to date, with the results inspiring hope that its turnaround efforts will bear fruit.

CEO Stéphane de La Faverie said fiscal 2026 is “promising to be the pivotal year we intended,” with the company expecting to restore organic sales growth and expand margins for the first time in four years.

Amid these positive signals, Estée Lauder flagged risks from tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and potential disruptions tied to the Middle East.

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