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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer speak to the media after trade talks with China in Geneva, May 11, 2025 (Valentin Flauraud/Getty Images)

Stock futures soar as US agrees to slash Chinese tariffs to 30% for 90 days

Futures tied to the S&P 500 Index (SPY) rose as much as 3% early on Monday morning.

Global markets were jolted into the green early on Monday after a bilateral statement from the United States and China signaled a reprieve in the trade war that has been top of investors’ concerns for much of this year.

Per the statement, the additional levies added by two of President Trump’s executive orders, those numbered 14259 and 14266, are set to be removed, with the earlier order, EO 14257, modified so that the US is “suspending 24 percentage points of that rate for an initial period of 90 days, while retaining the remaining ad valorem rate of 10 percent on those articles pursuant to the terms of said Order.” China is also modifying its rates. The end result of the relevant arithmetic is such that:

  • US tariffs on Chinese goods will drop to 30%, from 145%.*

  • Chinese tariffs on US goods will drop to 10%, from 125%.

The announcement resets the trade clock for the world’s two largest economies, giving representatives 90 days to hammer out a more detailed deal.

At the time of writing, the SPDR S&P 500 Trust is up as much as 3%, similar to the rise of Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index, which closed up 2.98%.

Futures contracts tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were even more elevated, rising more than 3.5%, led higher by tech giants like Apple, Nvidia, and Tesla.

European markets were more modestly green, with the STOXX 600 up 0.5%. In early trading in London, the FTSE 100 was broadly flat, with investors pausing buying after a breathless rally that saw the index notch 15 consecutive gains.

*This includes the original 20% levy, introduced by the Trump administration in response to fentanyl.

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Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemons geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected halo effect across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemons valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retails richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi ONeill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brands growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

markets

US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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