Markets
Yiwen Lu

US stocks bounce back after worst week in over a year

The S&P 500 was up 1.2% on Monday, recovering some of the losses from Friday’s sell-off. The Nasdaq 100 gained 1.3%, while the Russell 2000 rose 0.3%.

All of the major S&P sector ETFs advanced. Tech took the lead with a 1.6% gain.

The market’s focus will turn back to inflation this week, as the August consumer price index is due Wednesday and the producer price index is due Thursday. Treasuries changed little, with the yields on two-year Treasury yields rose a mild 3 basis points.

In megacap stock news, Nvidia led the Magnificent Seven with a 3.5% gain after losing as much as 14% last week. Apple was virtually flat, finishing with a tiny gain after some volatility during an event that introduced the iPhone 16.

US crude oil benchmark WTI futures jumped more than 1.4% following the worst week for oil since October. The US dollar gained against all G10 currencies besides the Canadian loonie, with the Dollar Spot Index up 0.4%.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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