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A cargo ship pictured off the coast of Fujairah in the Strait of Hormuz on February 25, 2026 (Giuseppe Cacace/Getty Images)

Oil plunges and stocks jump as Trump and Iranian foreign minister say Strait of Hormuz is open, though uncertainty remains

Citing Israel-Lebanon agreement, Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi said on social media that the strait is “completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire.” President Trump confirmed the news shortly thereafter.

Matt Phillips

Stocks rose (SPDR S&P 500 ETF) and crude oil prices remained deeply in the red Friday as both the US and Iran declared the Strait of Hormuz open, though there was uncertainty about the extent of the reopening.

A senior Iranian official told Reuters that while ships can now pass through the strait, transit needs to be coordinated with Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

Separately, President Trump declared on social media that the US blockade of Iran’s ports would remain in full force until “until such time as our transaction with Iran is 100% complete.”

Meanwhile, a US Navy advisory suggested shippers consider avoiding the area, as the threat of mines “is not fully understood.” A maritime security company advised clients not to try to cross, telling them to wait for additional guidance, according to Dow Jones.

Speaking to Barrons, Matt Smith, director of commodities research at energy data firm Kpler, said it will take hours to know whether the reopening is in fact taking place.

The market’s gains began with Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi’s post early Friday declaring the strait open for the duration of the ceasefire, as a result of the deal between Israel and Lebanon to halt hostilities.

Shortly after Araghchi’s statement, President Trump posted on Truth Social that “IRAN HAS JUST ANNOUNCED THAT THE STRAIT OF IRAN IS FULLY OPEN AND READY FOR FULL PASSAGE. THANK YOU!”

As of midday, the S&P 500 (SPDR S&P 500 ETF), Nasdaq 100 (ProShares UltraPro QQQ), and Russell 2000 (iShares Russell 2000 ETF) all remained in solidly positive territory.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, tumbled on the announcement. Shortly before noon, both Brent and West Texas Intermediate futures were down by more than 10%.

Fuel-sensitive sectors of the stock market, like airlines and cruise companies, are up big. United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, and Southwest Airlines all jumped, as did cruise lines Carnival, Norwegian Cruise Line, and Royal Caribbean.

Going the other way were chemical and energy shares, which had soared along with prices of goods whose supply was constrained by the closure of the choke point to the Persian Gulf.

Chemical stocks — Dow, Inc., CF Industries, and LyondellBasell among them — tumbled, as did natural gas drillers APA Corporation, EOG Resources, Devon Energy, and Coterra Energy.  

While the announcement about the strait didn’t signal that hostilities with Iran have conclusively ended, a broad swath of investors and traders rushed to buy.

They included fundamentally minded investors who expected lower US gasoline prices in the future, as well as retail traders eager to ride the growing wave of good vibes that have washed over the market recently, carrying the S&P 500 to new record highs.

Goldman Sachs’ meme stock basket jumped more than 3% in early trading, with constituents like Hims & Hers, Strategy, and SoundHound AI rallying.

A separate Goldman basket of companies tied to spending by middle-income consumers was up even more, with large gains for companies like Boot Barn, Yeti, and restaurant chain Brinker International as the market seemed to price in a decline in gasoline prices, which act as a tax on consumers.

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HP Enterprise skyrockets on strong Q2 earnings and full-year guidance boost

HP Enterprise shares soared Monday afternoon following the enterprise software companys Q2 earnings report, which detailed a blockbuster quarter.

The stock was up more than 30% — not a typo — after-hours.

Here are the numbers for Q2:

  • Revenue of $10.7 billion (compared to the analyst estimate of $9.78 billion, per FactSet).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.79 (estimate: $0.53).

The company raised its guidance for the full fiscal year, saying it sees revenue growth of 29% to 33%, compared with its previous guidance for 17% to 22%. It also guided for adjusted EPS of $3.35 to $3.45 for the full year, up from the $2.30 to $2.50 it had estimated in its Q1 earnings release.

For its early fiscal 2027 guidance, HPE said it expects revenue to grow 8% to 12%, compared with analysts expectations for 5.5% growth. It also said it expects adjusted EPS growth of 12% to 16%, compared to analysts forecasts of a 13.5% rise.

Unlike HP, which makes consumer products like PCs and printers, HP Enterprise is primed to support the AI boom — specializing in cloud servers, data storage systems, and AI infrastructure. HPE has gained 90% since January.

Last week, competitor Dell saw a similarly rosy earnings report, which boosted its stock nearly 40%.

On Monday at Computex, HPE announced a new project with Nvidia: a new server powered by the semiconductor company. Agentic AI has arrived, and it needs a new CPU, said Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. According to the companies, the plan is to support and optimize the New York Stock Exchanges day-to-day infrastructure with industry leading agentic AI CPU performance, memory bandwidth and low latency.

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Credo Technology tanks, despite beating on earnings and revenue for Q4

Credo Technology Group shares cratered in after-hours trading after releasing Q4 earnings after the bell, despite crushing analyst expectations for earnings and revenue.

The stock dropped 15% in after-hours trading.

For Q4, the company — which makes high-speed connectivity solutions for data centers — posted:

  • Revenues of $437 million (estimate: $431.8 million).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $1.16 (estimate: $1.02).

And for the first quarter, the company estimated revenue ranging from $465 million to $475 million, compared with analysts’ estimates for $461 million.

Shares of the company are up 63% year to date, and hit their all-time high of $247 today.

Shares soared earlier in the month after Credo announced its acquisition of DustPhotonics, which makes silicon photonic integrated circuits for high-speed networking in data centers. The acquisition means that Credo will be able to play both ends of the data center connectivity business, by adding advanced photonics to its bread and butter of active electrical cables.

Credo stock was down over 14% in after-hours trading.

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AMC, Cinemark climb on record May movie theater attendance

Shares of movie theater chains AMC and Cinemark are surging on Monday, following impressive May attendance tallies for both companies.

AMC logged 25.5 million moviegoers last month, the company’s best May since 2019. Cinemark said it achieved its highest May US box office tally ever.

Both companies cited the success of popular horror titles “Backrooms” and “Obsession,” which were each born out of the minds of popular TikTok creators. The Michael Jackson biopic “Michael” and Disney’s “The Mandalorian and Grogu” also performed well.

“Audiences are showing up for a wide range of content, with particular strength in younger moviegoers, resulting in impressive performances across blockbusters and varied small- to mid-tier titles,” said Cinemark CEO Sean Gamble.

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IBM surges after Barclays initiates with a buy, video of Trump in 2025 saying stock will “go up a lot more” resurfaces

IBM shares are jumping in early trading because of both old and new praise. The old: a video featuring President Donald Trump complimenting the companys CEO, Arvind Krishna, was reshared by Polymarket Money’s X account, but without the context of it being from December. The new: Barclays initiated coverage of IBM at “overweight” with a $350 price target.

Barclays analyst Raimo Lenschow urged investors to stop looking at IBM through the lens of legacy hardware in a Monday note. Instead, he said to focus on the sheer defensive dominance of IBMs highly specialized software segment, which currently generates nearly half of the corporation’s overall revenue and the vast majority of its net profit.

“While software has a negative investor connotation at the moment, IBM is offering infrastructure software (the good part) to large, often heavily regulated customers, which creates a very sticky set-up that should not see negative AI implications,” Lenschow noted.

Compounding the institutional buying enthusiasm is a wave of retail momentum triggered by social media posts, as traders on X and TikTok began widely sharing a video clip from 2025 where Trump explicitly praises the technology company, confidently stating that IBM stock is going to “go up a lot more.”

IBM’s move builds on momentum from last week following its commitment to spend $10 billion in quantum computing over the next five years to build the first large-scale quantum computer. This comes after the Trump administration signed a number of letters of intent to award a total of $2 billion in grants to nine quantum companies, including IBM, in deals that also include equity stakes.

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