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Luke Kawa8/5/25

Super Micro craters after earnings and revenues miss

Super Micro Computer is down double digits after posting fiscal fourth-quarter results that missed on the top and bottom lines.

For the three months ending June 30, the AI server company reported:

Adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.41 (estimated $0.44, guidance for $0.40 to $0.50).
Net sales of $5.76 billion (estimated $6 billion, guidance for $5.6 billion to $6.4 billion).

Super Micro had been warning that it would take time for Nvidia’s Blackwell ramp to pay dividends for the company, and it looks like the payoff will have to wait a little longer.

Management said first-quarter net sales would come in between $6 billion and $7 billion, which fits neatly with the Street’s view, but that adjusted earnings per share would range from $0.40 to $0.52, well below the $0.59 consensus estimate.

And so begins a massive fiscal year for Super Micro, as CEO Charles Liang had previously outlined a massive $40 billion revenue target for the 12 months ending June 2026, which is now lowered to at least $33 billion. That’s still higher than the $30 billion analysts had anticipated.

Prior to Friday’s sell-off, Super Micro had been at its 2025 highs in what’s been a tumultuous year so far. The stock doubled in February as management filed the necessary paperwork to stay listed on the Nasdaq on the heels of its accounting issues last year.

The stock’s price was then cut in half during the ensuing rout in momentum stocks and tariff-driven angst that brought the S&P 500 to the verge of a bear market in April.

Shares rebounded as President Donald Trump watered down and paused tariffs, with Super Micro’s $20 billion deal with a Saudi Arabian data center firm and a renewed AI boom powering the stock higher once again.

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Jon Keegan, Nate Becker

Nvidia jumps on plans to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI as part of data center expansion

Shares of Nvidia vaulted on the news, as CEO Jensen Huang says the new project would involve 4 million to 5 million GPUs.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang

J. Edward Moreno

Moderna rises after RFK Jr. vaccine panel’s less-draconian-than-expected Covid recommendation

While ACIP’s vote means less people may be able to access Moderna’s vaccine than before, it’s less severe than the outright ban some were expecting.

NewVax

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Matt Phillips1h

US toys with making the world’s worst investment

Argentinian government bonds are up big today on reports that the US is considering some sort of a bailout for the chronically messy Latin American economy currently led by Trump-allied right-wing populist Javier Millei.

The country’s foreign minister knocked down previous reports that Argentina was negotiating a $30 billion loan with the US.

But Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent just came out saying that “all options” are being considered to stabilize the country’s currency, which plunged as Millei’s attempt to radically remake the economy with deep spending and tax cuts has shown signs of sputtering amid a series of government corruption scandals. Bessent even went so far as to say Argentina is a “systemically important” US ally, using a term of art that’s often bandied about when bailouts are in the offing.

For the record, lending Argentina US taxpayer money seems a bad idea.

The country has defaulted on foreign loans nine times, giving it one of the world’s worst credit histories. In fact, it’s defaulted three times since 2000, including in 2019, after the last attempt to “reform” the country lured in foreign lenders once again.

Bessent Says ‘All Options’ on Table to Steady Milei’s Argentina

Bessent Says ‘All Options’ on Table to Steady Milei’s Argentina

But Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent just came out saying that “all options” are being considered to stabilize the country’s currency, which plunged as Millei’s attempt to radically remake the economy with deep spending and tax cuts has shown signs of sputtering amid a series of government corruption scandals. Bessent even went so far as to say Argentina is a “systemically important” US ally, using a term of art that’s often bandied about when bailouts are in the offing.

For the record, lending Argentina US taxpayer money seems a bad idea.

The country has defaulted on foreign loans nine times, giving it one of the world’s worst credit histories. In fact, it’s defaulted three times since 2000, including in 2019, after the last attempt to “reform” the country lured in foreign lenders once again.

markets

Max Knoblauch3h

BYD dips following report that Warren Buffett’s Berkshire dumped its entire stake after 17 years

Berkshire Hathaway has fully exited its stake in the world’s largest EV maker, BYD, sending shares of the Chinese auto giant down on Monday.

A CNBC report over the weekend highlighted the change, which was disclosed back in March in a quarterly filing by subsidiary Berkshire Hathaway Energy. Berkshire confirmed that it sold its full position.

Buffett’s fund first invested in BYD in 2008 at the urging of then Vice Chair Charlie Munger, who died in 2023. Berkshire acquired nearly 10% of the company for $232 million at the time.

Berkshire’s position peaked at $9 billion in June 2022, before it began selling its shares — including a 76% cut last July. Analysis by Business Insider found that the fund made approximately $7 billion from its investment, a return on investment of more than 30x.

markets

Wedbush boosts price target on Oklo — a pre-revenues nuclear power AI play — to $150

Oklo is the 449th-largest stock in the US coming into this week, boasting a market cap above that of Dick’s Sporting Goods, Dollar Tree, or Halliburton.

It also happens to have generated zero sales, making it the largest pre-revenue stock listed on US exchanges, per an equity screen run on Bloomberg.

(Hat tip to @SilbergleitJr on X, who drew this to our attention.)

Oklo is in the nuclear power business, and has positioned itself as a potential power provider to help facilitate the AI boom.

Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives boosted his price target on the stock to a whopping $150 from $80 on Sunday, citing “incremental confidence in the company’s nuclear growth strategy as the AI Revolution hits its next stride of growth.” It’s also on his Ives AI 30 list of stocks that, in his view, offer the most exposure to the AI boom.

“Given the recent focus on nuclear energy following the Trump Administration Executive Order we view this as ‘just the start’ of the nuclear focus for energy in the US over the coming year with OKLO leading the sector,” he added. “Our time spent in the Beltway last week with meetings on the Hill gave us incremental confidence that the push for nuclear energy in the US is now underway and positions OKLO very well for this wave of spending/growth/regulatory approval.”

The company announced that it’s holding a groundbreaking ceremony for its Idaho-based “first Aurora powerhouse” today, which will be attended by EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin, Governors Bradley Little (Idaho) and Spencer Cox (Utah), US Senators Mike Crapo and James Risch, Congressman Mike Simpson, Nuclear Regulatory Commission chief Bradley Crowell, and the Department of Energy’s Michael Goff and Robert Boston, to name a few.

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