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Taser maker Axon dives after whiffing on earnings; announces acquisition

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Taser and body camera maker Axon reported much softer-than-expected Q3 earnings after the close of trading in New York on Tuesday, and simultaneously announced plans to acquire emergency communications platform Carbyne at a valuation of $625 million.

The market is responding quite negatively to the big whiff on earnings, with the stock tanking by more than 20% in the after-hours session shortly after the results came out.

The company reported:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $1.17 vs. the $1.52 consensus estimate.

  • Q3 sales of $711 million vs. the $704.8 million forecast.

  • A non-GAAP gross margin of 62.7% vs. the 62.3% anticipated.

  • Full-year revenue guidance of ~$2.74 billion vs. the $2.72 billion currently expected by Wall Street and up from previous guidance of between $2.65 billion and $2.73 billion.

Axon rallied sharply in the days after President Donald Trump won the 2024 election, as investors seemed to price in a surge in funding for police under the Trump administration. The stock was one of a number of so-called “Trump trades” that appeared well positioned to do well under a Trump administration, either because of personal connections with the White House or because its business was well aligned with expected policy priorities.

Axon was up as much as 90% between the election and early August, but since then the stock’s gains have fizzled down to 62% since Trump defeated former Vice President Kamala Harris. Another Trump trade, federal deportation contractor GEO Group, has done worse, losing virtually all of its post-election gains, which at one time pushed the shares up 133%.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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