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Tariff man (Saul Loeb/Getty Images)

Tech analyst on tariffs: “Worse than the worst case scenario”

“Tech stocks will clearly be under major pressure on this announcement,” said Wedbush’s Dan Ives.

Matt Phillips

Megacap tech stocks tumbled in the after-hours session following the Trump administration’s announcement of across-the-board tariffs on US trading partners, as well as higher-than-expected trade levies on countries like China and Taiwan that run large trade surpluses with the US.

At last glance Apple was down nearly 6%, Nvidia more than 3%, and Meta nearly 4%. At roughly 6 p.m. ET, Nasdaq 100 futures are down enough to imply a 3% drop in the large-cap stock index when it opens on Thursday.

Quick-fingered tech analyst Dan Ives over at Wedbush has one of the first assessments of the impact of the tariff announcements on tech stocks, in a note published Wednesday. He wrote:

President Trump just finished his tariff speech at the White House and we would characterize this slate of tariffs as worse than the worst case scenariothe Street was fearing. While there are many details to be worked out and investors will focus on the specifics over the coming 24 hours, the jaw dropper was the China reciprocal tariff of 34%. Taiwan at 32% is the other major one along with the EU at 20%...

Tech stocks will clearly be under major pressure on this announcement as the worries about demand destruction, supply chains, and especially the China/Taiwan piece of the tariffs. Apple produces basically all their iPhones in China and the question will be around exceptions/exemptions on this tariff policy if those companies are building more operations/factories/plants in the US like Apple announced in February.

For Nvidia and other chip players with significant exposure to China and Taiwan supply chains the worry will be around pricing and margin impacts along with what this means for the global supply chain looking forward.

Ives may have been a little too quick on the trigger, however, when it comes to semiconductors: a fact sheet from the White House says that chips are exempt from the reciprocal tariff.

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Bloom Energy soars amid parade of price target hikes

Bloom Energy soars amid parade of post-earnings target hikes

Bloom’s share price is booming on Wednesday.

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Fubo climbs as Disney merges the platform with Hulu Live TV

Shares of streamer FuboTV are surging on Wednesday, after Disney announced it completed its majority stake acquisition of the company.

Fubo will be merged with Hulu Live TV, creating a juggernaut virtual pay-TV company rivaling YouTube. With about 6 million subscribers, the program will also become the sixth-largest pay-TV operator in the US. According to the companies, Fubo and Hulu Live will also continue to be available as separate services, “each offering consumers multiple plan options from skinny to robust at compelling price points.”

Disney now owns 70% of the joint venture. As part of the deal, which was first announced in January, Fubo dropped its lawsuit against Disney, which sought to block its planned joint sports streaming venture, Venu Sports. Venu was dissolved within a week after the deal. Fubo shares closed up more than 250% on the day the deal was first announced.

As part of the transaction, Fubo will have access to a $145 million term loan from Disney next year.

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Caterpillar soars on Q3 earnings beat and better-than-expected outlook

Caterpillar jumped Wednesday morning after the construction equipment giant delivered strong third-quarter results and an upbeat full-year outlook.

Adjusted earnings per share reached $4.95, topping Wall Street’s estimate of $4.53. Meanwhile, revenue rose 10% to a record $17.6 billion, coming in well ahead of expectations around $16.8 billion.

Caterpillars Energy & Transportation unit was a standout, with sales up 17% as demand for power generation equipment used in data centers helped push the company’s backlog to a record $39.8 billion.

On the call, management said the results position Caterpillar “for sustained momentum and long-term profitable growth,” citing stronger demand tied to cloud computing and AI-driven infrastructure. Caterpillar now expects “modestly higher” sales for the full year, including a strong fourth quarter, after analysts had previously forecast a decline. 

The stock is now up more than 63% year to date.

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Applied Digital has “more near-term catalysts than the market expects,” says Needham

Applied Digital is up in early trading as Needham & Co. analyst John Todaro bangs the table on the Nvidia-backed data center upstart’s ability to secure energy to expand its operations.

In a note to clients, the analyst reiterated his “buy” rating while “calling attention to the possibility of more near-term catalysts than the market expects.”

The company recently announced a $5 billion, 15-year AI factory lease from a “US based investment grade hyperscaler” at its Polaris Forge 2 campus, which came on the heels of comments from its earnings call earlier this month about negotiations with two additional hyperscalers for two new locations.

The AI boom is resource-constrained in a variety of ways, including power. But after a recent conversation with Applied Digital’s management, Todaro thinks “there is a real pathway to source more power than previously thought,” writing, “APLD has received numerous calls from operators over the last few weeks offering stranded power; APLD is fairly confident it can continuously source power over the next five years.”

The Trump administration is reportedly pushing for a speedier approval process for data centers to connect to the power grid.

Todaro thinks the company’s goal of net operating income of $1 billion over the next five years “could prove conservative given the ongoing demand and ability to source available power.”

Wall Street is universally bullish on Applied Digital, with all 10 analysts who cover the stock having a “buy” (or equivalent) rating.

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