Markets
Tempus AI short seller report Eric Lefkofsky
Tempus CEO Eric Lefkofsky (Big Event Media/Getty Images)

Tempus AI hammered by short seller’s report

The short seller warned that the shares could drop 60%, spotlighting what it described as “aggressive accounting, financial reporting, and suspicious revenue-generating partnerships.”

Matt Phillips

Tempus AI, a healthcare data and diagnostics company that’s recently piqued the interest of retail traders, plunged Wednesday after bearish hedge fund Spruce Point Capital unloaded a searing report on the company, warning that it sees a “50% - 60% potential long-term downside and market underperformance risk.”

Spruce Point wrote:

We believe the Tempus equity growth story is built on hype and appeal to retail investors that it is an exciting and disruptive technology play with AI appeal which could have the next Tesla or Nvidia-type inflection.

Rather, we think investors should focus on its aggressive accounting, financial engineering, related party dealings, and earnings quality.

Tempus AI responded:

We do not intend to respond to a report that is riddled with hypotheticals and inaccuracies and fails to address Tempus history of strong financial performance and impressive growth. We remain focused on delivering shareholder value, taking advantage of the enormous opportunity of bringing AI to healthcare, and helping patients live longer and healthier lives.

Tempus AI emerged earlier this year in a list of the top 100 holdings among Robinhood investors, after ETF manager Cathie Wood — who has her own following among individual traders — began building a position in the stock. As of Tuesday’s close, the shares of the company, which has reported fast revenue growth but remains unprofitable, were up 95% for the year.

Spruce Point’s report criticized the company’s CEO, Eric Lefkofsky, saying he “is surrounded by a group of loyalists with a record of disappointing public investors at prior ventures such as Starbelly.com / HA-LO Industries (bankruptcy), Groupon (restatement), and InnerWorkings (restatement). We believe history may repeat and that Tempus investors are likely to be disappointed by a combination of aspirational goals that fail to materialize. In the past, Lefkofsky and partners positioned their companies to be the next Dell and Costco. Today, they talk about Tempus having technology leadership and upcoming inflection points like Nvidia or Tesla.”

It also noted that “Tempus insiders have not waited long since the IPO in April 2024 to start selling stock. In fact, each of the top 5% stockholders have recently sold shares.”

Coincidentally, we spoke with Lefkofsky on Tuesday for an interview, and asked him about the recent string of recent stock sales, including sales of some $190 million in shares in February by entities controlled in part by Lefkofsky.

“Im a limited partner in a fund,” he said. “And that fund had to sell its stock because it doesnt hold public company stocks. So, part of that was attributed to me.”

Other stock sales, he said, were related to tax withholding requirements.

“I intend to be a very long-term shareholder and a very slow seller as I have in other places,” Lefkofsky said.

More Markets

See all Markets
Bull with Nose Ring

US stocks end volatile week on a positive note

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 both ended well in the green, while the Russell 2000 suffered a loss.

Toby Bochan10/17/25
markets

Margins, and selling the news: analysts look to explain Oracle’s tumble

The somewhat counterintuitive tumble in Oracle shares continued into afternoon trading Friday, despite Wall Street analysts’ more or less favorable reaction to Oracle’s investor day presentation Thursday, where executives said the company’s AI cloud business would eventually sport margins of between 30% and 40%, far better than the figures reported by The Information back on September 7.

And yet, the stock is on its way to its worst day in the last six months. What gives?

Gil Lauria, who covers Oracle for D.A. Davidson & Co. — who has it at “hold” with a $300 price target — has a theory, telling Sherwood News:

“Investors are disappointed that the entire growth acceleration in Oracle is from the Oracle Cloud Infrastructure business, and that Oracle expects the rest of the business to grow low single digits.

The other disappointment came from Oracle acknowledging that the GPU rental business only had 30-40% gross margins, far lower than the 80% gross margins for the rest of the business.”

Other analysts we’ve chatted with on background say they’re not convinced the margin story is the source of today’s slump, suggesting the also plausible explanation that the drop might just be a sign traders bought the stock ahead of the presentation to analysts on Thursday anticipating positive announcements, and now they’re selling simply selling the news.

Gil Lauria, who covers Oracle for D.A. Davidson & Co. — who has it at “hold” with a $300 price target — has a theory, telling Sherwood News:

“Investors are disappointed that the entire growth acceleration in Oracle is from the Oracle Cloud Infrastructure business, and that Oracle expects the rest of the business to grow low single digits.

The other disappointment came from Oracle acknowledging that the GPU rental business only had 30-40% gross margins, far lower than the 80% gross margins for the rest of the business.”

Other analysts we’ve chatted with on background say they’re not convinced the margin story is the source of today’s slump, suggesting the also plausible explanation that the drop might just be a sign traders bought the stock ahead of the presentation to analysts on Thursday anticipating positive announcements, and now they’re selling simply selling the news.

markets
Jon Keegan

Analysts generally like what they heard from Oracle, but shares are down

The big news out from the Oracle AI World conference was broadly positive: that margins on cloud infrastructure can be as high as 35%, and that the company predicts $166 billion in infrastructure revenue by 2030.

And in the wake of that news, today UBS raised its price target for Oracle shares to $380 from $360, saying they are undervalued.

But investors appear to have some concerns about Oracle’s huge capex plans, which are fueled by huge AI infrastructure deals with OpenAI and Meta, as shares dropped over 7% in Friday trading.

Analysts have pointed to Oracle’s high cash burn as it pursues its AI build-out and potential financing needs as flies in the ointment that could blunt the impact of the company’s strong longer-term growth forecasts.

On Friday, Jefferies analysts wrote:

“Questions remain about ORCL’s capex requirements to meet growing demand, as there was no forward-looking commentary on capex at the Analyst Day. Capex will need to ramp in line with [Oracle cloud infrastructure] revenue growth, raising concerns about ORCL’s financing options to support this expansion.”

However, if that’s the reason why the stock is getting hit today, it would mark a distinct change in how investors are evaluating the AI trade. Companies have tended to be increasingly rewarded for their aggressive capex commitments to enhance the boom, based on optimism that investments in this would-be revolutionary technology will bear fruit.

Friday’s dip comes on the back of a strong run leading up to the yesterday’s investor conference, fueled by a flurry of AI headlines. Oracle shares have gained over 18% in the past three months and more than 70% so far this year, well outpacing the Nasdaq’s approximately 7% and 16% rise over the same time periods.

markets

AST SpaceMobile drops after Barclays cuts rating to “underweight”

AST SpaceMobile, which provides cellular services from space, dove in early trading after Barclays analysts cut their rating on the shares to “underweight” (essentially a sell) from “overweight” (or a buy), citing “excessive” valuation on the still money-burning company. The fact that analysts went from “buy” to “sell” — with no momentary stop at a “hold” or “neutral” rating — makes it a fairly rare “double downgrade.”

They wrote:

“Valuation has run ahead of fundamentals... In our last update, we increased our price target from $38 to $60 as we took a more constructive view on pricing; we found it supportive that TMUS/Starlink launched a text only service for $10 per month and believe that AST products which will be richer (text, call, broadband) could see higher prices points. Since then the stock price has doubled from $48 to $95.7.”

With the shares up almost 120% over the last month through Thursday, and a price-to-forward-sales ratio of 140x — the Nasdaq Composite is around 5x — the stock might be due for a cooling-off period.

'There's nothing perfect in this world of growing apples.' Extreme weather could complicate future harvests.

The remarkable rise of the Honeycrisp and Cosmic Crisp apples

When it comes to apples, America cannot get enough of the crunch factor.

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.