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Latest rally takes Tesla’s price-to-earnings ratio over 130x

The world’s most valuable automaker has been riding a postelection wave unlike almost any other company. Since the start of November, Tesla’s stock has risen 75%, taking the company’s market cap north of $1.37 trillion at the time of writing — and making Elon Musk richer than any human being has ever been, with his own personal net worth topping $400 billion.

The enthusiasm among investors to own Tesla, which has seen vehicle-delivery growth grind to a halt this year, has stretched the company’s valuation once again. Per data from FactSet, the company’s price-to-earnings ratio (looking at earnings forecasted over the next 12 months) has hit 131x, the highest figure since late 2021, when the company was just beginning to rack up consistent profits quarter after quarter.

Tesla price-to-earnings ratio
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With equity valuations more of an art than a science, Tesla’s valuation has been hotly debated on Wall Street for more than a decade. Those arguing that Tesla is overvalued tend to point to the rest of the automotive industry, which can often trade on single-digit price-to-earnings ratios. Ford, for example, is trading on 6x P/E, and General Motors is on 5x, per FactSet. The counterargument often made is that given its leadership in electric vehicles and investment in autonomous-driving technology, Tesla shouldn’t be valued like a car company, but a tech company — a sector where investors are often happy to invest at triple-digit P/E ratios or in completely unprofitable companies, expecting innovation to drive serious profits in the future.

As we stated earlier this year, the fastest-growing part of Tesla’s business in its latest quarter was its energy-generation and storage division, where revenues rose to nearly $2.4 billion, up 52% year on year.

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Archer surges on speculation that Tesla’s announcement has something to do with them

Shares of air taxi maker Archer Aviation rose more than 16% on Monday afternoon amid speculation that the company is somehow involved in an October 7 announcement Tesla has been teasing.

The latest speculation appears to revolve around the inclusion of a Tesla Optimus robot and vehicle alongside Archer’s Midnight air taxi in a video Archer posted on X last week. On Sunday, the Tesla X account uploaded a video featuring its logo on a spinning wheel or propeller, leading some to further connect tomorrow’s announcement to the EVTOL industry.

Archer is prone to big swings — the stock has closed up or down 10% 29 times in the past twelve months. Monday’s move propelled the stock to its highest level since July. Archer rival Joby Aviation was also up more than 6% on the day.

markets

CDC signs off on narrower Covid shot recommendation

Moderna slipped after the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced on Monday that it is adopting a narrower recommendation for when COVID-19 booster shots are appropriate.

The CDCs recommendation aligns with what its advisory committee voted for last month, which was for a healthcare provider to sign off on each individual immunization. While that is much narrower than the broad backing of the shot, its less draconian than some investors previously priced in.

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Sony shares climb to their highest level in 25 years as Abenomics supporter Sanae Takaichi is likely to become Japanese PM

Shares of Sony rose 4% on Monday, sending the stock up to levels it last reached in March of 2000.

The move was even more impressive in its home listing, where the stock outperformed with a 4.75% jump on Japan’s Nikkei 225 that propelled that index to a record high on Monday.

Boosting the market was the victory of Shinzo Abe protege Sanae Takaichi in a race to lead Japan’s ruling political party, setting the lawmaker up to become the country’s first female prime minister. Takaichi, a hard-line conservative who claims Margaret Thatcher as a personal hero, advocates for “Abenomics”: higher spending and tax cuts. Takaichi previously described the Bank of Japan’s recent interest rate hikes as “stupid.”

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Klarna ticks higher as Wall Street rolls out coverage on the “buy now, pay later” giant

Shares of Klarna jumped as much as 6.5% Monday morning in early trading after a wave of analysts initiated coverage on the “buy now, pay later” giant, as the so-called post-IPO “quiet period” came to an end.

The Stockholm-based fintech company, which competes with Affirm and Afterpay, has 111 million active users and partnerships with over 790,000 merchants worldwide. Analysts highlighted Klarna’s rapid US growth, improving profitability, and ongoing BNPL adoption as reasons for optimism.

Here’s where analysts netted out:

  • Bank of America — Rating: Buy | Price target: $58

  • Citigroup — Rating: Buy | Price target: $58

  • Deutsche Bank — Rating: Buy | Price target: $48

  • BNP Paribas — Rating: Neutral | Price target: $46

  • UBS — Rating: Buy | Price target: $48

  • Goldman Sachs — Rating: Buy | Price target: $55

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