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Tesla Model Y (VCG / Getty Images)

Tesla’s market share is down, but its valuation is still sky-high

Tesla’s competitors are elbowing in, but it’s still easily worth more than Ford and GM combined

The New York Times reported yesterday that Tesla’s share of the US electric car market fell below 50%:

Tesla accounted for 49.7% of electric vehicles sales from April through June, down from 59.3% a year earlier as the company led by Elon Musk lost ground to General Motors, Ford Motor, Hyundai and Kia, the research firm, Cox Automotive said. It was the first time the company’s market share fell below 50% in a quarter, according to Cox.

I’d like to share a few stats on Tesla, Ford, and General Motors:

Tesla sells fewer cars than General Motors and Ford. Tesla is also worth ~$500 billion more than General Motors and Ford, combined. Why is that? The market has, for a while, valued Tesla as some combination of a technology company and a growth company due to its position as the market leader in electric vehicles and its high revenue growth.

In April, when the “growth” argument weakened after Tesla posted an 8.5% annual decline in deliveries, I pointed out that because Tesla’s margins were in line with those of traditional auto manufacturers, as opposed to tech companies, and Tesla’s deliveries were flatlining, shouldn’t Tesla’s valuation fall more in-line with auto manufacturers?

And now, Tesla has slipped below 50% market share in the US, its biggest market. I guess, if you wanted, you could have previously made the argument that EVs are inherently more valuable than regular cars because “EVs are the future” (even though their gross margins are similar), and give Tesla a premium valuation as it dominated the EV market. But Tesla now only represents half of the EV market. As EV adoption continues to grow, and competitors increase their EV sales, Tesla’s market share will likely continue to decline (even if its total deliveries increase). My question is this: at what point will the value of Tesla’s EVs converge with the value of other car companies’ EVs? Because right now, either 1) Tesla’s cars are overvalued or 2) competitors’ EVs are undervalued.

Of course, maybe I’m overthinking this, and Tesla will always be worth more than its competitors, combined, regardless of sales, because it’s Tesla, and Tesla has Elon Musk, and you can’t assign a dollar value to their CEO and his… engaged following.

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Momentum stocks sputter, weighing on markets

Risky momentum stocks that retail traders piled into this year sputtered on Wednesday, throwing a bit of sand in the the market rally.

Recent retail favorites like Rocket Lab, Hims & Hers, Palantir, Oklo and SoundHound AI — all members of Goldman Sachs’ thematic basket of “high beta momentum stocks” — were in the red on the day, with little specific company news, suggesting the pullback is more about the market rethinking a broad-based trade, rather than expressing specific concerns about individual companies.

Shortly before 1 pm ET, the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF was down 0.7%, its worst day since late August.

Why is momentum suddenly sputtering? That’s the tricky bit.

The current crop of momentum stocks tend to be stocks with very high valuation ratios — suggesting that traders buying them are betting their earnings will come far in the future, rather than any time soon. (That is, of course, if they’re not just buying them based on the fact that they’ve gone up a lot.) But it’s impossible to say exactly why the momentum trade is fizzling a bit today.

It could be that after a giant romp — Rocket Lab, for example, is up almost 50% over the last three months — these stocks just need a breather.

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Canopy rallies after CEO stock purchase

Canopy Growth rallied on Wednesday after its CEO, Luc Mongeau, disclosed an unplanned stock purchase on Tuesday.

Mongeau, who joined Canopy from Mars in January, bought 27,469 shares at CA$1.84. The buy is worth about US$36,259.

It has been a tumultuous time for cannabis stocks, as the market in Canada (where Canopy is located) stagnates and cannabis reform in the US has yet to move forward.

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Robinhood, new S&P 500 leader, the subject of favorable analyst chatter

Robinhood Markets briefly touched a new all-time intraday high in early trading after the newly minted — and now top-performing — member of the the S&P 500 received some favorable write-ups from Wall Street analysts.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions. I own stock as part of my compensation.)

Piper Sandler analysts highlighted momentum in the company’s prediction markets business thanks to the rollout of contracts on college and profession football, noting that the event contracts business was running at a $200 million annualized rate so far in September. They raised their price target on the shares to $140 from $120.

“Prediction Markets (aka event contracts) present significant upside opportunity for Robinhood,” Piper Sandler’s Patrick Moley wrote.

Elsewhere, Citi analysts raised their Q3 and full-year 2025 estimates and upped their price target on the shares to $135, but kept a “neutral” rating on the stock.

“While HOOD continues to see solid momentum across the platform, we believe the stock is pricing in much of the growth potential in our view. Given current valuations and where we are in the retail cycle (closer to the highs than the lows from an activity perspective from our viewpoint), we prefer to wait for a more reasonable entry point at present.”

The stock has clearly had a heck of a run.

Through yesterday’s close, Robinhood was up nearly 240% in 2025. Since it was added to the S&P 500 on Monday, it’s now the top performer among the blue chips, trouncing previous leaders Seagate Technology Holdings and Palantir.

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UniQure surges after encouraging trial results for Huntington’s treatment

UniQure rose more than 150% in early trading Wednesday after it released trial results that showed its experimental gene therapy for Huntington’s disease slowed its progression by 75% after three years.

The treatment, AMT-130, is a one-time treatment for Huntington’s, a genetic brain disease that degrades cognitive function and muscle control. There is currently no cure for the disease.

UniQure said it plans to submit the treatment for approval to the Food and Drug Administration in the first quarter of 2026, meaning it could become available to patients later that year. The company currently makes nearly all of its revenue from gene therapies that treat hemophilia.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.