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Protestors in Seattle on February 19, 2025 (David Ryder/Getty Images)

Tesla’s postelection romp now a lot less impressive

Gains of more than 90% in the immediate aftermath of Trump’s victory have largely been lost.

Matt Phillips

With the end of the trading day coming into view, Tesla is on track for its second-worst daily drop of the year.

The decline, ostensibly triggered by a sharp drop in Tesla sales in Europe, underscores the reversal in the share price of the electric vehicle maker in the aftermath of the US presidential election.

Tesla shares were part of an idiosyncratic pack of stocks — along with Palantir and taser maker Axon — that exploded in the aftermath of Trump’s victory in the US presidential election on November 5, 2024, as such stocks were thought likely to benefit in some way from their alignment with some aspects of Trump’s political agenda.

After the election, the stock was up more than 90% at one point, but since then those gains have been pared to just 20%.

Some would-be Tesla buyers are seemingly a bit turned off by CEO Elon Musk’s immersion in right-wing politics in both the US and Europe; investors may likewise be leery.

The stock price gyrations of the electric vehicle maker continue to be a more closely tied to crypto, an asset that famously lacks fundamentals, than the US stock market. Over the past three months, the correlation of weekly returns for Tesla and the S&P 500 is 41%. For Tesla and bitcoin, that’s sitting at 52%.

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Bitcoin-sensitive stocks hammered as crypto declines

Bitcoin-sensitive stocks tumbled Monday, enduring a much steeper drop than the keystone crypto asset itself, which was down nearly 4%, falling below $87,000, as of 12:20 p.m. ET.

Goldman Sachs’ themed basket of bitcoin-sensitive equities was down more than 8%. (It consists of companies tied to bitcoin, either through mining, digital payments, crypto investment, or blockchain technology.) It was one of the worst performers among Goldman’s thematically curated baskets of shares on Monday.

Among the basket’s constituents, miners Cipher Mining, CleanSpark, Hut 8, TeraWulf, and IREN were getting the worst of it.

At midday, the basket was on its way to its worst day since November 24, when bitcoin was also languishing below $90,000 and the broader tech sector was going through a brief downturn related to rising worries about durability of the AI boom.

Among the basket’s constituents, miners Cipher Mining, CleanSpark, Hut 8, TeraWulf, and IREN were getting the worst of it.

At midday, the basket was on its way to its worst day since November 24, when bitcoin was also languishing below $90,000 and the broader tech sector was going through a brief downturn related to rising worries about durability of the AI boom.

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Nvidia’s favorite stocks are getting shellacked as AI credit risk spreads

Nvidia’s “House of GPUs” is looking a little wobbly.

Shares of Applied Digital, CoreWeave, and Nebius — three of the four biggest equity positions held by the chip designer as of September 30 — are getting crushed on Monday.

Nvidia owned about $3.6 billion worth of these data center and neocloud stocks (with the overwhelming majority in CoreWeave) per its most recent 13F filing.

The AI credit risk that’s been most talked about in reference to Oracle’s widening credit default swaps spreads is also present in some of these firms, as well.

An Applied Digital bond due in 2030 is trading below $96 for the first time this month. That issuance was made to support data centers where CoreWeave will be the main tenant.

CoreWeave, which earlier this year received warrants enabling it to purchase a large chunk of Applied Digital shares as part of a data center leasing deal, sank last week after announcing a $2 billion convertible note offering that was later upsized.

Of course, it’s not just Nvidia-owned stocks, but the entire data center ecosystem that’s under pressure on Monday. Cipher Mining and IREN are also getting walloped — with Monday’s crypto tumble also likely weighing on these two bitcoin miners turned data center companies.

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