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Texas Instruments surges after snapping multiyear streak of falling sales

CEO Haviv Ilan called a decisive bottom in the semiconductor cycle and said demand is trending “up and to the right.”

Luke Kawa

For anyone who has a stake in the global semiconductor cycle — and if you own any broad US stock ETF, that means you! — the quarterly commentary of Texas Instruments CEO Haviv Ilan has been a useful lens into tracking demand for the components that seemingly go into everything we use.

Shares of the chipmaker are up nearly double digits in premarket trading after its Q1 results impressed, with earnings per share of $1.28 trouncing estimates of $1.07 and revenues of nearly $4.1 billion also ahead of projections.

The company snapped a nine-quarter streak of falling revenues with double-digit growth, while its guidance for the current quarter was also higher than what the Street had penciled in for its top and bottom lines. And the encouraging remarks from Ilan, especially compared to previous quarters, really drill home this positive inflection.

During Texas Instruments’ Q4 earnings call, he suggested that industrial chip demand was “hovering at the bottom, maybe found a bottom” — remarks echoing what he said three months ago. A long time spent around the trough? That pointed to an ugly, L-shaped recovery in ex-AI chip demand, which is to say, not much of a recovery to speak of. (Texas Instruments’ sales are more concentrated to industrial and automotive segments than computer electronics, without much of a footprint in AI to speak of, either.)

He’s singing a more optimistic, decisive tune this time. “The cycle has hit the bottom because we are seeing more and more evidence from customers that they are really, really short on inventory,” he said. “You can kind of say that the markets are now pointing, pre the trade challenges, all up and to the right.”

“Based on what weve seen in Q1, I think this is a real recovery,” he added, rather than pulled-forward demand from customers fearing higher prices due to tariffs in the future, while cautioning that it’s difficult to pin down buyers’ motivations in the second quarter.

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Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemons geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected halo effect across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemons valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retails richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi ONeill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brands growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

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US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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