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The job-openings-to-job-seekers ratio is getting smaller

On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released some pretty underwhelming US jobs data, with only 12,000 nonfarm payroll jobs added last month — the lowest figure since December 2020, and considerably less than the reported 223,000 new jobs added this September.

The last major economic report before America heads to the polls, the smaller-than-expected growth is explained in part by the unprecedented impact of hurricanes Helene and Milton, as well as recent national strike action. But, as Luke Kawa noted, what was more worrying were the revisions to previous months: August job growth, first reported as +142K, was revised to +78K, the worst reading since December 2020.

Job openings vs unemployment chart
Sherwood News

Though it might not have always felt like it, for much of the past six years (pandemic-craziness aside), it’s been a job seeker’s market, with more job openings than people unemployed. The latest JOLTS data revealed that the ratio of job openings to job seekers is narrowing, as job growth has continued to slow.

The last major economic report before America heads to the polls, the smaller-than-expected growth is explained in part by the unprecedented impact of hurricanes Helene and Milton, as well as recent national strike action. But, as Luke Kawa noted, what was more worrying were the revisions to previous months: August job growth, first reported as +142K, was revised to +78K, the worst reading since December 2020.

Job openings vs unemployment chart
Sherwood News

Though it might not have always felt like it, for much of the past six years (pandemic-craziness aside), it’s been a job seeker’s market, with more job openings than people unemployed. The latest JOLTS data revealed that the ratio of job openings to job seekers is narrowing, as job growth has continued to slow.

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The negative reaction after Palantir’s earnings is spreading to other volatile retail favorites

Palantir is the poster child for a richly valued, retail darling, megacap momentum stock. It’s going down on largely good news, and that’s cascading to hit smaller, volatile segments of the market also beloved by the retail community.

Goldman Sachs baskets that track retail favorites and nonprofitable tech stocks are down more than 2% and 3% as of 9:43 a.m. ET, respectively, while the Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF is also off more than 2%.

Long Island highway patrol officer using radar to check speed

Stocks are getting speed checked

A retail favorite failing to build momentum even when it “deserves” to, the most important part of the stock market being told it’s overheating, and the heads of banks warning of a broader pullback.

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Spotify notches another quarter of strong active user growth and improved profitability

Spotify shares are up 3.25% as of 6:45 a.m. ET as investors digest the streaming giant’s Q3 earnings, in which the company reported that it added more than 70 million monthly active users, posted revenues that were up 7% from last year, and improved profitability.

Total revenues climbed to €4.27 billion, or around $4.91 billion, for the quarter, while net income came in at €899 million ($1.03 billion), which translated into adjusted earnings per share of €3.28 — ahead of the ~€1.96 that analysts had expected, per FactSet figures cited by The Wall Street Journal. Spotify now counts a whopping 713 million monthly active users, including 281 million premium subscribers, compared to 640 million and 252 million, respectively, on the same quarter last year.

The boosted figures come on the back of a host of new features that the streaming platform’s introduced, such as “lossless listening,” playlist mixing controls, and direct messages. The company is now forecasting that its total monthly active users will climb to 745 million by the end of the fourth quarter.

With the latest gains today, Spotify is now up ~48% year to date, even as cofounder Daniel Ek announced in September that he’d be stepping down as CEO at the end of the year, almost 20 years on from the company’s inception.

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Michael Burry, of “Big Short” fame, discloses ~$1.1 billion options bet against Nvidia and Palantir

“The Big Short” investor Michael Burry, famous for predicting the 2008 housing crash — and a number of crashes since that haven’t materialized quite as spectacularly — has placed massive bets against Nvidia and Palantir, according to a new regulatory filing for the quarter ended September 30.

The 13-F filing released Monday discloses that Burrys fund, Scion Asset Management, bought put options on roughly 5 million Palantir shares worth $912 million, and 1 million Nvidia shares worth $187 million. Together, the two positions make up 80% of Scions disclosed US equity holdings, per the 13-F.

The 13-F filing released Monday discloses that Burrys fund, Scion Asset Management, bought put options on roughly 5 million Palantir shares worth $912 million, and 1 million Nvidia shares worth $187 million. Together, the two positions make up 80% of Scions disclosed US equity holdings, per the 13-F.

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