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Luke Kawa

The Magnificent 7 are finally acting as a group — besides Apple, they’re all tumbling together

Well, perhaps there’s one reason to continue to refer to the Magnificent 7 as an amorphous collective after all. And it’s a bad news story: with the exception of Apple, the group of stocks is trading like a cohesive unit. By falling, a lot.

2024 was a year defined by the ability of these megacap tech companies to trade largely independently of one another, even as most were getting more and more levered to the AI theme, either through sales or capex.

The correlation disinflation between these trillion-dollar companies was one of the most critical factors in keeping overall stock market volatility compressed. That’s gone out the window.

We’ve seen that turn on a dime from the S&P 500’s record highs until now. At the time of the benchmark US stock index’s closing peak, the average correlation between members of the Magnificent 7 over the trailing month was its lowest since 2021. That has since exploded during a market rout that’s been principally characterized by a breakdown in high-flying momentum stocks, especially those tied to AI.

In a crisis, as they say, correlations go to one.

Apple, with just a 34% correlation to the other members of the cohort over the past 21 sessions, is playing the biggest role as a volatility dampener at the moment. But the world’s biggest publicly traded company is just a sandbag in the face of a tsunami at the moment.

Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon all hit fresh 2025 lows this morning.

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Oil settles Friday at highest level since start of war

US oil prices moved higher in afternoon trading Friday, sapping strength from the stock market as they posted their highest close since the start of the Iran war.

After another day where the Strait of Hormuz was essentially closed to global tanker traffic, US futures for West Texas Intermediate settled up 3.1% at $98.71 a barrel for an 8.6% weekly gain, per Dow Jones data.

American officials have discussed using the US Navy to escort tankers through the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, but have said plans for such convoys are not ready yet. However, it is unclear if military convoys would bring an end to the war-related dislocations in the oil market.

“It could help,” Tom Liles, senior vice president of upstream research at energy consulting firm Rystad, told Sherwood News in a recent interview. “It could also go in a lot of different directions if a Navy ship is hit or if a tanker is hit.”

American officials have discussed using the US Navy to escort tankers through the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman, but have said plans for such convoys are not ready yet. However, it is unclear if military convoys would bring an end to the war-related dislocations in the oil market.

“It could help,” Tom Liles, senior vice president of upstream research at energy consulting firm Rystad, told Sherwood News in a recent interview. “It could also go in a lot of different directions if a Navy ship is hit or if a tanker is hit.”

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Memory stocks rebound off last weeks losses

Memory stocks Micron, Sandisk, Western Digital, and Seagate Technology Holdings rose again Friday, putting these crucial providers of chips for AI inference work on track for big weekly gains after last week’s steep losses following the outbreak of war with Iran.

There’s no obvious trigger for the move higher for these shares this week, other than a bit of a recovery in the AI trade more broadly — AI beneficiaries like IT cable and connections maker Amphenol and custom chip and networking company Marvell Technology clawed back some gains this week — perhaps due Oracle’s earnings earlier, and some mean reversion to boot.

Micron is due to report earnings after the close of trading on Wednesday, with the company catching a couple price target hikes this week, including one from Wedbush on Friday.

Sandisk is something of a different story, as its enormous gains over the last 12 months — roughly 1,200% — have made it a momentum play beloved by the retail crowd.

It was up about 20% this week at around 11 a.m. ET. And its nearly 170% gain this year keeps the stock on top of the S&P 500, in terms of price performance.

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