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Luke Kawa

The S&P 500’s recovery off the lows is all about the return of the AI trade

The S&P 500 is about 1.4% off the lows as of 2:00 p.m. ET.

If the benchmark gauge is going to cleanly hold its 200-day moving average (which roughly marked the trough so far today), then today’s leaders off the lows may be poised to be the names that also drive any potential recovery in the days to come. If this isn’t the “true bottom,” then... well, you overprepared and know what to do next time the market falls out of bed and then attempts to get its act together.

To this end, we looked at the top 20 S&P 500 stocks since 11:29 a.m. ET, which is roughly the double bottom on an intraday basis.

One noteworthy trend is that half of these have been big beneficiaries of the AI boom:

The tenor of the tape since a little before midday looks a lot like a bounce in the beaten-up momentum names, as Tesla and Palantir Technologies are also among the leaders. In other words, the momentum names with ugly, broken charts are what’s keeping the S&P 500 from having an ugly, broken chart.

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Cisco’s quarterly results beat expectations for sales and EPS

Cisco beat Wall Street expectations for sales and earnings in its fiscal second-quarter results, which it released after the close of trading Wednesday.

For the fiscal second quarter of 2026, the computer networking equipment giant reported:

  • Non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.04 vs. the $1.02 expected by Wall Street analysts, according to FactSet.

  • Sales of $15.35 billion vs. the $15.11 billion consensus expectation.

Along with other companies like Lumentum, Corning, and new S&P 500 member Ciena, which provide things like the wiring and networking equipment needed to connect server racks, Cisco shares have had a strong start to 2026 as the AI data center boom continues to roll.   

This is a developing story.

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McDonald's Q4 earnings, sales beat Wall Street estimates

McDonald’s reported Q4 results on Wednesday that beat Wall Street’s expectations, which the company attributes to its "value leadership."

For the last three months of 2025, the fast food giant reported:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $3.12, compared to $3.05 analysts polled by FactSet were expecting.

  • Revenue at $7 billion, higher than the $6.8 billion analysts were penciling in.

  • Global comparable sales growth of 5.7%, compared to the 3.9% growth analysts were expecting. In the US, comparable sales grew 6.8% compared to the 5.4% that was expected. The company said this was driven by "driven by positive check and guest count growth primarily from successful marketing promotions."

McDonald's has emphasized discounts and promotions, such as its $5 meal deals. “McDonald's value leadership is working,” CEO Chris Kempczinski said in a statement.

Shares were little changed in after-hours trading.

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Gilead rises after earnings beat driven by HIV drug sales

Gilead rose more than 5% on Wednesday after it reported quarterly earnings and revenue that beat Wall Street estimates, driven by sales of its HIV drugs.

For the last three months of 2025, Gilead reported:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $1.86, compared to the $1.81 the Street was expecting.

  • $7.9 billion in revenue, more than the $7.6 billion the Street was penciling in. Late last year the company began selling Yeztugo, a twice-yearly HIV prevention shot. CEO Daniel O’Day told analysts it “has already exceeded our coverage goals and is rapidly gaining market share.”

For the full year in 2026, the company expects:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $8.45 to $8.85, compared to the $8.79 analysts forecast.

  • Revenue of $29.6 billion to $30 billion, compared to the $29.92 billion the Street was expecting. The company anticipates Yeztugo will contribute $800 million in revenue in 2026.

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