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Luke Kawa

Trump Media riding the bull run its namesake created to reportedly acquire crypto-trading platform

Bakkt Holdings Inc. is one of the most actively traded US stocks in the premarket session after the FT reports that Trump Media & Technology Group is pursuing an acquisition of the crypto-trading platform.

The stock more than doubled late in trading on Monday following the news, and continues to gain ahead of the open. As of 8:45 a.m. ET, 2.15 million shares have already changed hands in the premarket, which is already 10x its one-month average daily volume traded heading into this week.

President-elect Donald Trump’s election victory — along with wins for congressional candidates backed by the crypto industry — has been hailed as the catalyst behind the recent surges in the likes of bitcoin and dogecoin, among others.

Trump Media, the parent company of Truth Social, has paltry revenues (equivalent to that of the average US McDonald’s franchise) and continues to lose money. But one thing it does have is a relatively strong balance sheet: almost $670 million in cash and no debt to speak of. That gives the company a bit of a war chest to pull off smaller-scale acquisitions.

That being said, though Bakkt Holdings Inc. was worth just over $150 million to start the week, this deal would reportedly be an all-share purchase, according to the FT. DJT has a market cap in excess of $7 billion, and a significant portion of the president-elect’s wealth ($6.3 billion, per Bloomberg) is attributable to his 52.9% ownership stake in the company. This acquisition, if completed, would entrench Trump’s net worth more directly with a volatile industry he’s championed.

The stock more than doubled late in trading on Monday following the news, and continues to gain ahead of the open. As of 8:45 a.m. ET, 2.15 million shares have already changed hands in the premarket, which is already 10x its one-month average daily volume traded heading into this week.

President-elect Donald Trump’s election victory — along with wins for congressional candidates backed by the crypto industry — has been hailed as the catalyst behind the recent surges in the likes of bitcoin and dogecoin, among others.

Trump Media, the parent company of Truth Social, has paltry revenues (equivalent to that of the average US McDonald’s franchise) and continues to lose money. But one thing it does have is a relatively strong balance sheet: almost $670 million in cash and no debt to speak of. That gives the company a bit of a war chest to pull off smaller-scale acquisitions.

That being said, though Bakkt Holdings Inc. was worth just over $150 million to start the week, this deal would reportedly be an all-share purchase, according to the FT. DJT has a market cap in excess of $7 billion, and a significant portion of the president-elect’s wealth ($6.3 billion, per Bloomberg) is attributable to his 52.9% ownership stake in the company. This acquisition, if completed, would entrench Trump’s net worth more directly with a volatile industry he’s championed.

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Cava may be an unlikely victim of a potential US government shutdown

Government shutdowns typically aren’t a big deal for the stock market as a whole.

But for Cava, which was founded in Maryland and is headquartered in Washington, DC, there’s the prospect of forgone sales in the event that government employees suddenly have no cause to frequent the fast-casual Mediterranean chain, which means emptier tills as bellies get filled elsewhere.

At the end of Q2, Cava had 398 locations. It currently boasts seven in the district proper, at least 14 a close drive away in Virginia, and 25 in Maryland.

Cava’s annual report singled out the Washington, DC/Maryland/Virginia metropolitan area as having “a high concentration of restaurants,” in discussing risk factors for the company. And it may be a particularly bad time to be a slop bowl seller around the nation’s capital.

The potential shutdown would be the latest challenge for Cava amid struggles to stand out amid a myriad of lunch options for working professionals and the recently announced departure of COO Jennifer Somers.

For what it’s worth, this is not the first time this year Cava has faced concerns about potential weakness in DC. During its Q1 earnings call, Bank of America analyst Sara Senatore questioned Cava’s leadership about a potential impact from DOGE given its “fairly big footprint” in the metro area, and CFO Tricia Tolivar said the company hadn’t really seen evidence of metro-specific softness.

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Robinhood surges as prediction markets gain traction

Robinhood jumped to an all-time intraday record of more than $132 late Monday morning on growing optimism about the brokerage’s prediction markets business both on Wall Street and within the company’s own executive suite.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions. I own stock as part of my compensation.)

Earlier in the day, Robinhood Chief Executive Vlad Tenev posted this tweet spotlighting that more than 4 billion event contracts have been traded on the platform since they began to be offered in February.

Analysts have also been focusing on the uptick in activity in the events contract business as a potential boon for the shares.

Piper Sandler analyst Patrick Moley published a note on Monday highlighting how trading volumes at prediction market company Kalshi soared to new records over the weekend as traders took positions on the outcomes of college and pro football games using event contracts.

Moley estimates that users at Robinhood — which partnered with Kalshi to offer contracts on games — account for between 25% and 35% of Kalshi’s daily event contract activity.

“We continue to expect HOOD will report ~2.5B of event contracts traded in 3Q25 which, at $0.01/contract, translates to ~$25M in revenue,” Moley wrote.

markets

Nvidia jumps as Jefferies hikes price target to $220 from $205

Nvidia is off to a great start this week, buoyed by Jefferies analyst Blayne Curtis hiking his price target on the $4 trillion chip designer to $220 from $205 thanks to the recent announcement of its $100 million investment in OpenAI to enhance and accelerate the build-out of data centers.

Curtis wrote:

“Management made clear the strategic partnership represents incremental demand for NVDA and does not overlap with existing OAI plans with ORCL or MSFT. Raising estimates based on the new partnership. Raising revenue for C26/C27 to $282B/$334B (vs St. $279B/$328B) from $269B/$300B, respectively. Raising EPS for C26/C27 to $6.55/$7.72 (vs St. $6.49/$7.57) from $6.09/$6.71.”

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.